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Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 17 MAY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR, CELLNEX, COLONIAL, FCC, GRIFOLS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, OHLA. European stock markets pause for a break European stock markets saw moderate corrections after several sessions of gains that led the Stoxx 600 to record highs and the Ibex to 2015 highs above 11,300 pints. In the STOXX 600, Insurance and Basic Resources were the best performers vs. the losses of Autos and industrials. On the macro side, in the US, April’s industrial output stagnated, contrary to expectatio...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 17 MAYO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX, COLONIAL, FCC, MERLIN PROPERTIES, GRIFOLS, OHLA, SECTOR BANCARIO ESPAÑA. EUROPA: PROSUS. Respiro en las bolsas europeas Jornada de pérdidas moderadas en Europa, tras varios días de subidas que han llevado al STOXX 600 a máximos históricos y al Ibex a máximos de 2015, superando los 11.300 puntos. Dentro del STOXX 600, Seguros y R. Básicos mostraron el mejor comportamiento frente a las pérdidas de Autos e Industriales. Desde la macro, en la E...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : IEA report: market still in deficit despite a downward revision...

>IEA adjusts down its demand growth forecasts by 140kb/d to 1.1mb/d - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has revised down its demand growth estimates for 2024 by 140kb/d from +1.2mb/d to +1.1mb/d. This revision takes account of the weak demand in Q1 (400kb/d below forecasts) in OECD countries and notably in Europe where it contracted by 70kb/d. For 2025, the IEA is leaving its growth estimates unchanged at +1.2mb/d (to 104.3mb/d) with the assu...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Rapport AIE : un marché toujours déficitaire malgré une demande...

>L’AIE révise en baisse sa croissance de la demande de 140 kb/j à 1.1Mb/j - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel dans lequel elle abaisse ses estimations de croissance de la demande pour 2024 de 140 kb/j passant ainsi de +1.2 Mb/j à +1.1 Mb/j. Cette révision tient compte d’une demande qui était faible au T1 (400 kb/j en dessous des attentes) dans les pays de l’OCDE et notamment en Europe où elle s’est contractée de 70 kb/j. Pour 2025, l’AIE a maintenu inchangé...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 16 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADEL...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAIXABANK, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets continue to rally It was a new session of gains, with the Ibex standing out and consolidating 2015 highs, and with sovereign yields tightening significantly after the US inflatio...

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/15/2024

With 71% of the companies in the Stoxx 600 having released their Q1 2024 results, the picture at this stage is encouraging, with 58% of positive surprises on results. Materials and financials were the sectors that delivered the most positive surprises. If the Q4 2023 earnings season put an end to a downward revision of EPS, the Q1 2024 earnings season has triggered the start of an upward EPS revision, more markedly in the US than in Europe. In terms of sectors, re-rating effects conti...

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 15/05/2024

Alors que 71% des sociétés du Stoxx 600 ont publié, le bilan est à ce stade positif avec 58% de surprises positives sur les résultats. Matériaux et Financières sont les secteurs ayant apporté le plus de surprises positives. Le consensus – qui avait stoppé sa baisse durant les publications T4-23, est désormais reparti à la hausse, plus nettement aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe. Sectoriellement, les effets de rerating ont continué de dominer les révisions de BPA. - ...

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

GRIFOLS: 1Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

1Q’24 Results vs. 1Q'23: Sales: € 1.63 Bn (+4.2% vs. +3.9% BS(e) and +5.1% consensus); EBITDA: € 310 M (+78.6% vs. +88.8% BS(e) and +117.2% consensus); Net Profit: € 21 M (€ -108.0 M in 1Q'23 vs. € 8.18 M BS(e) and € 37.6 M consensus).

Ana Arjona-Martinez ... (+2)
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Antonio Rodriguez Vicens

ACS : Results and cash flow, both evolving largely as expected

>Results in line with our estimates, both at the P&L and the cash flow generation - The company’s Q1 2024 results were largely in line with our estimates once excluding the Hochtief results, already reported: Dragados, the main operating division outside Hochtief, and now part of the E&C division, showed EBITDA 1% ahead of our estimates, whilst the differences in net financial expenses, equity method, taxes and minorities were negligible and largely offsetting themse...

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

GRIFOLS: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: Ventas: 1.626 M euros (+4,2% vs +3,9% BS(e) y +5,1% consenso); EBITDA: 310,0 M euros (+78,6% vs +88,8% BS(e) y +117,2% consenso); BDI: 21,0 M euros (-108,0 M euros en 1T'23 vs 8,18 M euros BS(e) y 37,6 M euros consenso).

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 15 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. REST OF PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO...

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, NATURGY, REPSOL. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The Ibex near 2015 levels Italy and Spain stood out once more in a session with slight gains for the rest of European indices. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Telecoms led gains, whereas Travel&Leisure and Energy saw the worst perform...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 15 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLIS...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, NATURGY, REPSOL. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex, cerca de niveles de 2015 Jornada de tímidos avances en las bolsas europeas, donde destacó en positivo la periferia (Italia y España). De...

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

ACS: 1Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23 Results Sales: € 8.706 Bn (+7.3% vs. +4.0% BS(e) and +5.4% consensus); EBITDA: € 461.0 M (-0.2% vs. +0.7% BS(e) and +1.7% consensus); EBIT: € 327.0 M (-0.3% vs. +0.1% BS(e) and +1.5% consensus); Net Profit: € 177.0 M (+8.6% vs. -4.2% BS(e) and +1.2% consensus);

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

ACS: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: Ventas: 8.706 M euros (+7,3% vs +4,0% BS(e) y +5,4% consenso); EBITDA: 461,0 M euros (-0,2% vs +0,7% BS(e) y +1,7% consenso); EBIT: 327,0 M euros (-0,3% vs +0,1% BS(e) y +1,5% consenso); BDI: 177,0 M euros (+8,6% vs -4,2% BS(e) y +1,2% consenso).

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

GRIFOLS: NUEVO INFORME DE GOTHAM CITY RESEARCH (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADEL...

Gotham City Research ha publicado un nuevo informe en el que acusa a la compañía de transferir caja a Scranton (sociedad que tiene un 7% de GRF) por unos 266 M euros (~6% capitalización) a lo largo de varios años a través de su filial BPC con fondos recibidos de la propia GRF (vía deterioro contable de préstamos concedidos).

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 14 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLIS...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, COLONIAL, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, LOGISTA, NH HOTELES, UNICAJA. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Jornada de transición en las bolsas En una sesión sin referencias macroeconómicas y con la campaña de resultados com...

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