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Benoit Valleaux
  • Benoit Valleaux

Allianz : Solid operating profit expected in Q1 2024

>We are forecasting Q1 2024 operating profit of € 3.9bn - Allianz is due to report its Q1 2024 results on 15 May. We are forecasting operating profit of € 3,886m (+4.2%), in line with the consensus (€ 3,897m, +4.4%e). Q1 operating profit should, in our view, confirm the fact that Allianz should report a full-year operating profit at the upper end of the guidance range (€ 14.8bn, +/- € 1bn, bearing in mind that 1/4 of the average point of the target range is equivalent...

Benoit Valleaux
  • Benoit Valleaux

Allianz : Un RO solide attendu au T1 2024

>Nous prévoyons un RO de 3.9 Md€ au T1 2024 - Allianz publiera son RN du T1 2024 le 15 mai prochain. Nous prévoyons un RO de 3 886 M€ (+4.2%), en ligne avec le consensus (3 897 M€, +4.4%e). Le T1 devrait ainsi, selon nous, confirmer la capacité d’Allianz de publier un RO en année pleine 2024 dans le haut de la fourchette cible (14.8 Md€, +/- 1 Md€, sachant que 1/4 du point moyen de la fourchette cible équivaudrait à 3.7 Md€ de RO/trimestre en moyenne sur 2024). Pour r...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 04/08/2024

Moody’s cuts Biogroup’s rating to B3/stable from B2/stableS&P upgrads CGG's rating to B-/stable from CCC+/positive>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 08/04/2024

Moody’s dégrade le rating de Biogroup de B2/stable à B3/stableS&P relève le rating de CGG de CCC+/positive à B-/stable>...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 26 MARCH (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, OHLA, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA. The Ibex near 11,000 points European stock markets continued to gain ground in an increasing session with low trading volume. In the STOXX 600, Energy and Travel&Leisure led gains, whereas Media and Household saw the biggest drops. On the macro side, in Spain, the production price index slowed down to -8.2% vs. -3.9% prev. From the ECB, F. Panetta (Bank of Italy’s governor) admitted that the moderation of inflation brings closer the beginning o...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 MARZO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, OHLA, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA. El Ibex testea los 11.000 puntos Las bolsas de Europa continuaron ganando altura en una jornada de menos a más y con bajo nivel de negociación. En el STOXX 600 lideraron las subidas Energía y Viajes&Ocio mientras que Media y Hogar fueron los peores con caídas cercanas al medio punto. Por el lado macro, en España el índice de precios de producción se contrajo hasta el -8,2% vs -3,9% ant. Desde el BCE, F. Panetta...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

BMW : Not much new, lacking catalysts

>2023 results and 2024 guidance broadly in line with expectations - After its preliminary earnings release on 14 March, BMW reported its complete full-year results yesterday before trading, with the main new item being the 2024 guidance. For the Autos business (70% of group EBIT), the guidance was slightly better-than-expected on volumes and in line on margins. Some other items of the P&L are set to be better than expected (particularly Eliminations which restates in...

Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

BMW : Peu d’éléments nouveaux…et de catalyseurs

>Résultats 2023 et guidance 2024 globalement conformes aux attentes - Après la publication des résultats préliminaires le 14/03, BMW a publié hier avant Bourse ses résultats annuels complets, dont le principal nouvel élément était la guidance 2024. Sur la partie Auto (70% de l’EBIT groupe), la guidance ressort légèrement supérieure sur les volumes et en ligne sur les marges. D’autres éléments du P&L devraient être meilleurs qu’attendu (en particulier la partie Elimin...

Anthony Dick ... (+5)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Maxime Kogge
  • Michael Foundoukidis

ODDO : Véhicules électriques : d’un excès à l’autre ?

Le momentum autour de l’électrification, moins favorable dernièrement, a conduit à un changement profond de perception, passant d’un optimisme sans doute excessif à un pessimisme qui le semble tout autant. En effet, si nous avons revu en baisse nos hypothèses, nous visons néanmoins toujours une croissance dans les années à venir (y compris cette année), bien supérieure à celle du marché automobile dans son ensemble. Face à ces changements, tous les acteurs au sein de la chaîne de...

Anthony Dick ... (+5)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Maxime Kogge
  • Michael Foundoukidis

ODDO : Electric vehicles: from one extreme to another?

With momentum around electrification less favourable of late, we have seen a major shift in perception, from doubtless overly rose-tinted optimism to what looks to be similarly excessive pessimism. While we have reduced our BEV assumptions, we nonetheless still anticipate growth in the next few years (including this year), well ahead of that of the automotive market as a whole. In the face of these changes, the players in the value chain (mines, semiconductors, auto) are differen...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Steven Boumans
Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

BMW : Feedback Neue Klasse event: technological disruption, unchanged ...

>Update on Neue Klasse: on-track for launch at end-2025 - BMW held a sell-side event in Munich on Friday. This was an opportunity to provide an update on its upcoming Neue Klasse platform which is scheduled for end-2025. The new platform, designed as BEV-first but conceived from its inception to accommodate ICE, should allow the group to generate significant gains in performance but also on costs. With the event taking place before the full-year earnings release this ...

Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

BMW : Feedback CMD Neue Klasse, disruption technologique, flexibilité ...

>Update Neue Klasse : en ordre de marche pour un lancement fin 2025 - BMW a tenu un événement sell-side à Munich vendredi, l’occasion de fournir quelques détails supplémentaires sur sa nouvelle plateforme Neue Klasse prévue pour fin 2025. La nouvelle plateforme, conçue pour le BEV mais prévue dès sa conception pour accommoder l’ICE afin de maintenir de la flexibilité face à l’évolution de la demande du marché, devrait permettre au groupe de générer des gains important...

Oscar Rodriguez
  • Oscar Rodriguez

BMW: PREPUBLICACIÓN RDOS. 4T'23, CAMBIO DE RECOMENDACIÓN A VENDER Y DE...

Rdos. 4T'23 vs 4T'22: Ventas: 42.968 M euros (+8,7% vs +4,6% BS(e) y +3,2% consenso); EBIT: 4.412 M euros (+26,1% vs +16,8% BS(e) y +11,8% consenso); Rdos. 2023 vs 2022: Ventas: 155.498 M euros (+9,0% vs +7,9% BS(e) y +7,5% consenso); EBIT: 18.515 M euros (+32,3% vs +29,9% BS(e) y +28,7% consenso).

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