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Niclas Gehin
  • Niclas Gehin

Yara (Buy, TP: NOK425.00) - Volumes/costs aid Q1 EBITDA beat

Q1 EBITDA beat our estimate by 19% and consensus by 22%, with help from solid volumes, lower energy costs and a higher share of premium products sold, FX tailwinds and further cost reductions. Its FID on the blue ammonia projects is still set for H1 2026 and it continues to highlight the strategic rationale of the investment. Our estimates are largely unchanged (no change to 2026–2027e EPS), with higher earnings following the report broadly offset by slightly lower nitrate prices in recent weeks...

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Signs of sector recovery, and more Q1 results

The markets were much quieter following the Easter break, with limited news; however, the names we cover saw their shares up 2.6% on average, with Atrium Ljungberg (7.1%), SBB (7.1%) and Pandox (4.8%) the top performers. JM released its Q1 results and we reiterated our BUY, believing it has passed the earnings trough, while we reiterated our HOLDs on Corem and Fabege following their quarterly reports. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 5.04% for 2025e and 5.34%...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, Vår Energi reported Q1 results very much in line with expectations. The company also reaffirmed its 2025 guidance and maintained its dividend. Also, OKEA reported a solid Q1, with production and prices slightly above our estimates. While a technical goodwill impairment reduces its dividend basket for 2025, we view this as non-material, as we do not expect any dividends before 2027. Meanwhile, we are 5% below consensus on Q1e EBIT ahead of Equinor’s Q1 results on 30 April (07:00 CET), ...

Stefan Gauffin
  • Stefan Gauffin

Telia Company (Buy, TP: SEK39.00) - On track towards full-year targets

Telia reported a solid Q1, with 1.8% service revenue growth YOY, 6.7% EBITDA growth, and SEK1.7bn in FCF. The performance strengthens our view that Telia can reach its full-year targets. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK39 (38.5).

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 25/04/2025

Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK49 per share: Reserves addition much larger than expected – YE24 2P reserves were independently estimated at 42.3 mmbbl (+7.6 mmbbl vs YE23, representing a Reserve Replacement Ration of 309%). This figure far exceeds our previous expectation of 34.5 mmbbl for YE24 2P reserves - an estimate that included a 4 mmbbl addition in 1H24 to counterbalance 2024 production. The higher than expected reserves addition is driven by robust reservoir performance in G...

ABGSC Chemicals Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Chemicals Research
  • Bengt Jonassen
  • Martin Melbye
 PRESS RELEASE

Yara reports strong deliveries and margins

Yara reports strong deliveries and margins Yara reports first quarter 2025 EBITDA excluding special items1 of USD 638 million compared with USD 435 million in first quarter 2024. Net income was USD 295 million compared with USD 16 million a year earlier. First quarter 2025 highlights: EBITDA excl. special items1 up 47%, with strong deliveries and marginsCost reductions on track and continuous improvements through portfolio optimizationSupportive nitrogen upgrading margins in the medium termYara’s scale and global optimization provide flexibility in volatile times “We are pleased with rep...

 PRESS RELEASE

Yara rapporterer sterke leveranser og marginer

Yara rapporterer sterke leveranser og marginer EBITDA eksklusive spesielle poster1 for første kvartal 2025 var 638 millioner USD sammenlignet med 435 millioner USD i første kvartal 2024. Resultat etter skatt var 295 millioner USD sammenlignet med 16 millioner USD året før. Hovedpunkter fra kvartalet: EBITDA eksklusive spesielle poster1 økte med 47% drevet av sterke leveranser og marginerKostnadsreduksjoner i rute og kontinuerlige forbedringer gjennom porteføljeoptimaliseringGode markedsutsikter for nitrogen på mellomlang siktYaras skala og globale forretningsmodell gir fleksibilitet  – V...

Telia Company AB: 2 directors

Two Directors at Telia Company AB bought 36,000 shares at between 35.430SEK and 35.750SEK. The significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over t...

 PRESS RELEASE

Golar LNG Limited – Q1 2025 results presentation

Golar LNG Limited – Q1 2025 results presentation Golar LNG's 1st Quarter 2025 results will be released before the NASDAQ opens on Wednesday, May 21, 2025. In connection with this, a webcast presentation will be held at 1:00 P.M (London Time) on Wednesday May 21, 2025. The presentation will be available to download from the Investor Relations section at We recommend that participants join the conference call via the listen-only live webcast link provided. Sell-side analysts interested in raising a question during the Q&A session that will immediately follow the presentation should access t...

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Telia (Neutral, TP: SEK 37, +5%) Q1 25: Impressive EBITDA acceleratio...

Telia has reported a good set of results, with SR, EBITDA, capex and all-in FCF all better than consensus expectations. The company sounded a note of caution on the call that Q1 Group trends were better than we should expect for the full year; having EBITDA and FCF in the bag already is a good thing, but full year guidance has been reiterated not raised.

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Solid NCS production in March

The Norwegian Offshore Directorate’s (NOD) preliminary NCS figures for March showed liquids production of 1,972kboed (1.6% above its forecast) and gas production of 351mcm/d (0.4% above its forecast). Overall, production was 4.18mmboed (1.1% above its forecast), flat MOM, but down 4.9% YOY. Company-wise, the February production figures should be well known as most companies have already reported their production figures for Q1.

 PRESS RELEASE

Reminder: Program for the publication of Yara International ASA first ...

Reminder: Program for the publication of Yara International ASA first quarter results 2025 Yara International ASA first quarter 2025 results will be published on Friday, 25 April 2025 at 08:00 CEST. You can follow the first-quarter results presentation online at 12:00 CEST. The presentation will be held in English. The report, presentation and webcast will be available at the above mentioned times at   There will also be a conference call at 13:00 CEST the same day with an opportunity to ask questions to Yara’s management. Please use the link to register for this session:   Registered c...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
 PRESS RELEASE

Q1 2025 Trading Update and Invitation to Earnings Call

Q1 2025 Trading Update and Invitation to Earnings Call Oslo, 23 April 2025 – DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, will publish its Q1 2025 operating and interim financial results on 15 May at 07:00 (CET). A videoconference call with executive management will follow at 14:00 (CET). Today the Company provides an update on production, sales volumes and other selected information for the quarter. Volumes (boepd)  Gross operated productionQ1 2025Q4 2024Q1 2024Kurdistan82,08174,16376,310North Sea8,8646,602-    Net entitlement productionQ1 2025Q4 2024Q1 2024Kurdistan18,46417,42420,503No...

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Golar LNG (Buy, TP: USD48.00) - Upside potential building

We believe focus for investors will be the potential contracts in Argentina rather than the Q1 report. Recent developments look to have left Golar LNG in pole position for two FLNGs for ~6mtpa Argentine LNG exports, and we would expect more visibility once the FID for Hilli is in place in Q2e. Moreover, we believe the project pipeline could allow for further announcements in due course as the company maintains an option for FLNG #4 at the shipyard. Hence, we find the risk/reward has improved des...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

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