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Jonathan Chaplin
  • Jonathan Chaplin

Altice Pre-3Q24 Model Update

This report covers changes to our model to incorporate recent management commentary at investor conferences. We have increased broadband losses estimate. We also lowered revenue and EBITDA slightly. The company needs to stabilize EBITDA and reduce leverage. Progress on the first remains sluggish and the second won’t be easy. We remain on the sidelines.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

Telecoms answer the call for a sustainable business model

Our economy can become more sustainable if we lower our electricity consumption. KPN and Telecom Italia show the way forward with a substantial reduction in electricity use. Telefonica and BT are less successful. In this article, we describe the transition to renewable electricity use and energy-saving options in both fixed and mobile networks

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/26/2024

‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In the U...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/26/2024

tonies is a pioneer in the children’s audio entertainment and educational industry, offering a screen-free and interactive listening experience (stories and music) through its Toniebox and Tonies figurines. With a proven track record of rapid international growth, portfolio expansion and strong brand recognition mainly in the DACH region (Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and North America, we see in the coming years: 1/ further strong revenue increases (CAGR 2024-2026e of 25%) with a...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 26/09/2024

“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffrent ma...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 26/09/2024

tonies is a pioneer in the children’s audio entertainment and educational industry, offering a screen-free and interactive listening experience (stories and music) through its Toniebox and Tonies figurines. With a proven track record of rapid international growth, portfolio expansion and strong brand recognition mainly in the DACH region (Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and North America, we see in the coming years: 1/ further strong revenue increases (CAGR 2024-2026e of 25%) with a...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : More users switching provider in France, Italy and the UK

>More consumers are looking to change provider in France, Italy and UK - The Oliver Wyman consultancy published yesterday a survey with 7,000 consumers in five countries (see page 2). These studies are not indisputable but offer additional indicators.Mobile market: according to the survey, the desire to switch operator within 24 months is up sharply in Italy (27%, +9pp), the UK (31%, +6pp) and France (27%, +4pp). No major shifts in Germany (26%, +2pp) or Spain (2...

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer
  • Russell Waller

EU TELECOMS REFRESH: Can the outperformance continue?

When was the last time we could write that the EU Telecoms sector has been the second best performing sector in the market YTD? As a result, this raises the question of whether the outperformance can continue. We believe regulation will ultimately determine the answer to this question.

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Plus d’envies de résiliations en France, Italie et au Royaume-U...

>Les consommateurs veulent plus bouger en France, Italie et Royaume-Uni - La cabinet Oliver Wyman a publié hier un sondage auprès de 7 000 consommateurs dans 5 pays (Cf. page 2). Ces études ne sont pas incontestables mais offrent des indicateurs de plus.Marché mobile : selon l’étude, la volonté de changer d’opérateur d’ici 24 mois est en nette hausse en Italie (27%, +9pp), au R-U (31%, +6pp) et en France (27%, +4pp). Pas de grand changement en Allemagne (26%, +2p...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 26 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ECOENER, GREENING, GRIFOLS, TELEFÓNICA. Optimism wanes It was a negative session on European stock markets after the gains from the past few days that had brought the IBEX above 11,800 points and a high since 2015. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Consumer Goods and Household Goods, with Energy and Autos suffering the biggest losses. On the macro side, in the US, new home sales fell less than expected. The Congress approved a measure to a avoid the shutdown until...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ECOENER, GREENING, GRIFOLS, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: BASF, UNICREDIT. Freno al optimismo en bolsa Jornada negativa en Europa después de las ganancias de las últimas sesiones que habían lanzado al Ibex por encima de los 11.800 puntos y máximos de 2015. Así, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron B. Consumo y Hogar frente a Energía y Autos que sufrieron las mayores caídas. Por el lado macro, en EE.UU. la venta de viviendas nuevas cayó menos de lo prev...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (Most Preferred) Our take on the latest reported offers

According to recent reports on Bloomberg, an offer has been made from the SSN creditors to Patrick Drahi which is in response to the offer made by Drahi in July.

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : More limited shareholder returns at T-Mobile US in ...

>Rating downgraded before the October CMD and the group’s fibre plan for Germany - We have downgraded our rating to Neutral: (i) with the share price having achieved our adjusted target price of € 27 (due to the increase in the TMUS share price over the past two months); (ii) T-Mobile US has announced a still good, albeit more modest, shareholder returns than hoped which could mean that at its CMD in October Deutsche Telekom could also announce shareholder returns tha...

Stephane Beyazian
  • Stephane Beyazian

Deutsche Telekom : T-Mobile US ne retournera plus autant ; opinion aba...

>Opinion abaissée à Neutre avant le CMD d’octobre et son plan fibre pour l’Allemagne - Nous abaissons notre opinion à Neutre : 1/ le cours ayant désormais atteint notre objectif de cours ajusté à 27 € (en raison de la hausse du cours TMUS ces deux derniers mois); 2/ T-Mobile US a annoncé un retour actionnarial toujours bon mais plus modeste qu’espéré, ce qui pourrait aboutir à ce que Deutsche Telekom annonce aussi lors du CMD d’octobre de retourner moins que les atten...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 19 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: LAR ESPAÑA, TELEFÓNICA. The Fed cut rates by 50bps in the end It was a transition session with slight corrections for European stock markets that put an end to the Ibex’s rally that led it to return to 2015 highs. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Automobiles and Energy were the only sector avoiding drops, which were led by Media, Food and Consumer Goods. On the macro side, in the euro zone, August’s final monthly inflation was cut by one tenth to 0.1% (with the YoY data unchanged at 2.2%). ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 19 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR ESPAÑA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: BASF, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, UNICREDIT. Finalmente la Fed se decanta por los 50 puntos de recorte Sesión de transición con leves caídas en las bolsas europeas, que cortó la racha alcista en el Ibex que le llevó a renovar máximos de 2015. Así, en el STOXX 600 tan sólo Autos y Energía esquivaron las caídas que estuvieron lideradas por Media, Alimentación y B. de Consumo. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la inflación mensual...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Deutsche Telekom (Buy, €36, +36%) After TMUS, what's coming at its o...

T-Mobile’s CMD has just wrapped up – and earlier my colleague Jonathan put out a couple of notes running through the new guidance and some more detailed thoughts on the fundamentals. In this note, we increase our DT target to €36/ share and now review the implications from T-Mobile's CMD for DT and what this could mean for their own CMD on 10/ 11 October.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau
AC ACCOR SA
AMS AMS AG ... (+10)

Credit Morning 09/13/2024

Elis: feedback from the ‘Credit conf call’Worldline: new profit warning, CEO resigns>...

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