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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TBCG LN; KRKG SV; GEKTERNA GA; DOC AV; HTO GA

HEADLINES: • TBC Bank: good run, approaching fair value (downgraded to HOLD) • Krka: preliminary 2Q25 numbers – a mixed bag NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 50/50 JV with Motor Oil Hellas over their electricity supply and gas-fired power generation activities POSITIVE • DO & CO: EUR 2.00/share dividend approved, in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • OTE: 2Q25E results preview – 2% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 6 August)

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, £1.20, +50%) Tele Columbus (Overweight) German TV refr...

Over the past year, Vodafone and TeleColumbus have been hugely affected by the MDU bulk migration. However, going into the second half of 2025, we will start to lap this impact so trends will revert to something more “normal”.

Blair Levin ... (+2)
  • Blair Levin
  • Jonathan Chaplin

Mobile and broadband pair trades to consider this summer

While we have been intensively focused on such things as a Presidential intervention to prevent a Chapter 11, we admit that our mind occasionally drifts to thoughts of summer. So to help others who may have similar thoughts, we thought, in honor of summer beginning, we should provide our thoughts as to which alcohols pair best with the purchase of the stocks we cover (actually, we just asked ChatGPT and, given its attitude about intellectual property, we have no fears about just cutting and pas...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

OTE (Neutral, TP: €17, +4%) OTE: Downgrade to Neutral following PPC e...

OTE shares are up 13% YTD vs the sector 10% (inc dividends for both). We have been long-term Buyers, but downgrade to Neutral given new retail offers from PPC (launched yesterday) that are at a c50% to market offers.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone to Virgin spectrum sale: More details revealed

As part of the Vodafone-Three merger (VOD3UK), the merging companies committed to sell a portfolio of spectrum to VMO2. The details of that spectrum portfolio have now been formally disclosed by Ofcom, which has published a notification listing the frequencies that are due to be transferred (LINK). In this note, we run through the final decisions and implications for potential UK revenue share.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

NOS (Sell, TP: €3.11, -18%) Digi (Underweight) Altice International (E...

One of the key questions in European Telecoms at the moment is how successful will Digi be in Portugal, Spain and Belgium; and to a lesser extent, how successful can the challengers be in general: Salt, Iliad Italy, and so on. In this report, we take a top-down look at how spectrum drives success in European mobile, and what that means for future outcomes.

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Loewen Play, TeamSystem, Eircom, United Group, Telecom Italia, Cheplapharm, Virgin Media O2, Tata Motors, Benteler International, Lottomatica (formerly Gamenet), Crown Holdings

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 06/16/2025

Renault: Luca de Meo to step down as CEO|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 16/06/2025

Luca de Meo (Renault) devrait devenir CEO de Kering|

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Telefonica, BT

S&P constructive on Telefonica, Telefonica sells another daughter company. BT's CEO shares how she wants to improve BT's performance

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

BT (Buy, 265p, +47%) Was 240p Upside beyond the mythical £3bn FCF t...

BT’s target to reach £3bn FCF by the end of the decade has almost become mythical in status. Initially set back in 2021, is it the longest-standing piece of guidance (ever) in the telecoms sector? Quite possibly – and yet we are only half-way there.

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 16 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS HOMES, CAIXABANK, CHANGES IBEX, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, NEINOR HOMES, TELEFÓNICA. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East halt stock market gains The trade agreement between the US and China, and the solid inflation data in the US, were overshadowed by the increased geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors and the only ones in positive territory were Energy, Utilities and Pharma, with Financial Services and Telecoms falling th...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 16 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS, CAIXABANK, CAMBIOS IBEX, NEINOR, SECTOR ELECTRICO ESPAÑA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: KERING, UNICREDIT. La tensión geopolítica en Oriente Medio frena la subidas de las bolsas El acuerdo comercial entre EE.UU. y China y los buenos datos de inflación en EE.UU. se vieron ensombrecidos por el incremento de las tensiones geopolíticas entre Irán e Israel. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores y los únicos en positivo fueron Energía, Utilities y Farma, fr...

Jeroen van den Broek ... (+2)
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Timothy Rahill

Credit Outlook update/An unstoppable force against an immovable object

As we approach summer and reflect upon the already very busy and volatile first half of the year, we review our Credit Markets Outlook for 2025 and offer an update on our views, positioning and forecasts for the remainder of the year. We include our Picks and Pans on the Utilities, TMT, Real Estate and Bank sectors.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 06/10/2025

Telefonica and MasOrange have reportedly held informal talks about a potential acquisition of Vodafone Espagne (Bloomberg)|Review of Swiss banking regulation – Impact on UBS and Swiss Banks’ AT1|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 10/06/2025

Telefonica et MasOrange aurait eu des discussions informelles sur une éventuelle acquisition de Vodafone Espagne (Bloomberg)|Suisse : révision de la réglementation bancaire – Impacts pour UBS et les AT1 des banques suisses|

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 09 JUNE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, ENCE, FERROVIAL, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA, VISCOFAN. Stock markets try to climb above highs Despite the absence of good macroeconomic data last week, stock markets ended with gains, fuelled by the US (the S&P500 rose around +1.7%) and by the better employment data at the end of the week. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors last weekk were Technology and Pharma, whereas Autos and Media ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, the 1Q’25 GDP ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 09 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, ENCE, FERROVIAL, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA, VISCOFAN. Las bolsas siguen intentando superar los máximos A pesar de una semana sin buenos datos macro, las bolsas terminaron al alza con el empuje de EE.UU. donde el S&P 500 subió un +1,1%. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores de la semana fueron Tecnología y Farma frente a Autos y Media que fueron los que más cayeron. En la Eurozona el PIB 1T’25 se revisó al alza 0,3 p.p. hasta el 1,5% a/a mientras...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the green in...

EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.

EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Deutsche Telekom

Telecom - S&P has put the ratings of Deutsche Telekom on positive outlook

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