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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 19.05.2022

 AT: Flughafen Wien - Q1 in line, very strong April traffic figures, potential guidance hike hinted with H1 results (positive)  AT: UNIQA - EBT ahead of RBIe on better than expected investment income, strong combined ratio (positive)  PL: PKO BP - Q1 22 bottom-line marginally ahead of expectations (neutral)  PL: PZU - Q1 earnings slightly ahead of expectations on better than expected claims performance (positive)  RU: Gazprom Neft - Gazprom Neft BoD recommends final dividends (positive)  R...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 29.04.2022

 AT: AMAG - Q1 results in line with RBIe but above consensus, major cash drain from NWC, FY 22 EBITDA guidance of > EUR 200 mn heralds (expected) upside to estimates (neutral)  AT: Andritz - Record order backlog, in-line results and guidance confirmed (positive)  AT: Erste Group - Q1 22 net profit beating expectations / strong core revenues offset by higher opex and weak trading result / guidance for 2022 marginally tweaked upwards / CET1 drop should be only temporary (positive)  AT: Oester...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+8)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - February 18, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - NEW RUSSIA-US DIPLOMATIC MEETING EASES SOME MARKET CONCERNSThe RTS sank 4.9% to 1,450 yesterday, sharply underperforming peers after a series of concerning political headlines in the afternoon. However, the announcement of a meeting next week between the top Russian and US diplomats has helped ease the tensions, and RTS futures are up 1.8% early this morning. The global backdrop has also improved to mixed after a weak day for global stock markets.STORIES> EPFR: Russia sees bette...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+9)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 18 февраля 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - НОВАЯ ЗАПЛАНИРОВАННАЯ ВСТРЕЧА ПРЕДСТАВИТЕЛЕЙ РОССИИ И США НЕСКОЛЬКО УСПОКОИЛА РЫНОКИндекс РТС вчера снизился на 4,9% до 1 450 пунктов, сильно отстав от других развивающихся рынков после ряда тревожных политических новостей. Однако сообщение о запланированной на следующую неделю встрече российских и американских дипломатов немного сгладило ситуацию, и сегодня утром фьючерсы на индекс РТС прибавили 1,8%. Ситуация на глобальных фондовых рынках также немного улучшилась. НОВОС...

Gazprom Neft Q4 21 - WC release pushed Q4 21 FCF above expectations

EBITDA and net income were in line with projections We estimate final DPS for 2021 at RUB 15.4 Free cash flow exceeded estimates thanks to a positive WC effect of USD 0.85 bn Q4 21 results are considered as slightly positive for the stock

Anastasia Khakhaeva ... (+6)
  • Anastasia Khakhaeva
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - February 16, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - LIMITED TROOP RECALLS, CONSTRUCTIVE POLITICAL REMARKS DRIVE RALLYThe RTS soared 5% yesterday to 1,498, and morning indicators imply another sharp gain early today. A bullish global backdrop has helped, but Russia is outperforming on apparent investor hopes that limited troop recalls and constructive remarks from President Vladimir Putin and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz signal an end for now to rising political risk perceptions for the market. Novatek's results and a NATO defens...

Anastasia Khakhaeva ... (+9)
  • Anastasia Khakhaeva
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 16 февраля 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - БЛАГОПРИЯТНЫЕ ПОЛИТИЧЕСКИЕ НОВОСТИ И ЗАЯВЛЕНИЯ ВЫЗВАЛИ РАЛЛИ НА РЫНКЕВчера индекс РТС вырос на 5% до 1 498 пунктов. Позитивное влияние оказал оптимизм на глобальных рынках, однако российский рынок вырвался вперед, очевидно, на надеждах инвесторов, что отвод российских воинских частей от границы с Украиной и заявления президента России Владимира Путина и канцлера Германии Олафа Шольца могут сигнализировать о снижении, по крайней мере временном, политических рисков для рынк...

Gazprom Neft Q4 21 Earnings Preview - Final DPS for 2021e might reach ...

Higher qoq oil prices and production to maintain Q4 21e revenue and EBITDA We estimate final 2021e DPS at RUB 15.5 under payout ratio of 50% of IFRS net income Q4 21e FCF should be pressed by spike qoq in capex The company is to report Q4 2021e results next week on February 17

Andrey Gromadin ... (+2)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Konstantin Samarin

Oil and Gas - Strong 4Q21 Results Expected, 1Q22 Outlook Even Brighter

The 4Q21 earnings season is about to kick off starting with Rosneft on Friday, followed by Novatek (February 16) and Gazprom Neft (February 17) next week. Lukoil, Tatneft and Gazprom will report 4Q21 financials in March-April. We expect sector EBITDA to rise again, particularly in the gas segment amid record high European gas prices. Dividend distributions should rise across the sector as well. Based on our estimates for 4Q21, most of the companies should see their full-year financials bounce ba...

GAZPROM NEFT loses on its star level and is downgraded to Slightly Pos...

The independent financial analyst theScreener just slightly lowered the general evaluation of GAZPROM NEFT (RU), active in the Integrated Oil & Gas industry. The title has lost a star(s) at the fundamental level and now shows 2 out of 4 stars. Its exposure to market risk remains nonetheless the same and can be still described as defensive. theScreener slightly downgrades the general evaluation to Slightly Positive for the title on account of the lost star(s). As of the analysis date February 8, ...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 02.02.2022

 AT: Atrium - Announcement of the amount and payment dates of dividends based on adj. FFO (neutral)  AT: Palfinger - Contract of CFO Strohbichler extended until the end of 2027 (neutral)  AT: Raiffeisen Bank International - Q4 2021 consolidated net profit of EUR 317 mn 24% ahead of consensus / FY 22 guidance announced and proposed EUR 1.15 DPS from 2021  HU: MOL - January model refinery and petchem margins lower mom mainly due to higher gas prices (negative)  PL: AmRest - Development agree...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+10)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - January 27, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - HAWKISH FED, MIXED POLITICAL NEWS LEAVE TODAY'S OUTLOOK WEAKThe RTS climbed 2.1% to 1,324, one of the best EM performances. However, global and Russian markets look weaker today after the Fed's expectedly hawkish turn. Also in focus will be the Russian government's replies to US and NATO security proposals.STORIES> Looking further ahead after Normandy session, US security proposal submission> Weekly inflation remains elevated at 0.2%> Gazprom Neft CEO comments on operational pla...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+11)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 27 января 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ЖЕСТКАЯ РИТОРИКА ФРС И НЕОДНОЗНАЧНЫЕ ПОЛИТИЧЕСКИЕ НОВОСТИ СЕГОДНЯ МОГУТ ОКАЗАТЬ ДАВЛЕНИЕ НА РЫНОКИндекс РТС вчера вырос на 2,1% до 1 324 пунктов. Россия стала одним лидеров среди развивающихся рынков. Однако сегодня утром глобальный и российский рынки отступают, т. к. риторика ФРС по итогам заседания, как и ожидалась, была жесткой. Сегодня в центре внимания будет ответ российских властей на предложения США и НАТО по вопросам безопасности. НОВОСТИ> Недельная инфляция в РФ ...

Andrew Keeley ... (+9)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 13 января 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - УСКОРЕНИЕ ИНФЛЯЦИИ ДО МНОГОЛЕТНЕГО МАКСИМУМА И НОВЫЙ ЗАКОНОПРОЕКТ О САНКЦИЯХ В СШАГлобальное ралли вчера замедлилось после публикации данных по инфляции в США (годовой показатель за декабрь достиг многолетнего максимума - 7,0%). Российский рынок завершил день слабее аналогов: индекс РТС поднялся на 1,1%. Сегодня в центре внимания будут саммит ОБСЕ и слушания в Конгрессе для одобрения кандидатуры Лейл Брейнард на пост вице-председателя ФРС США. НОВОСТИ> Инфляция в России в...

Andrew Keeley ... (+8)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - January 13, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - MULTI-DECADE HIGH FOR US INFLATION AND A NEW US SANCTIONS BILLThe global rally slowed after the US printed the highest inflation reading in decades of 7.0% y-o-y. Russia lagged peers with a 1.1% gain on the RTS amid at best neutral commentary from the Russia-NATO meeting and the unveiling of a new US sanctions bill. The OSCE summit and Fed vice chair nominee Lael Brainard's testimony are among key items to watch. STORIES> US senators unveil new sanctions bill with White House ba...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+7)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team
  • Yaroslav Lissovolik

CIS Market Daily - December 29, 2021

MARKET COMMENT - GLOBAL PERFORMANCES MIXED AMID WEAK VOLUMESUS markets pulled back a bit yesterday after their substantial gains in the days prior, with benchmark stock indexes closing down 0.1-0.6%. European stock indexes finished with gains of up to 0.6%. The Russian market continued to advance amid thin trading, the RTS rising 0.6% on the back of strong oil prices.STORIES> Russia calls for an expeditious response to its security proposals> State Statistics Service's CPI methodology to change ...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+7)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 29 декабря 2021

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - РАЗНОНАПРАВЛЕННАЯ ДИНАМИКА НА ФОНЕ НИЗКИХ ОБЪЕМОВАмериканский рынок акций умеренно скорректировался после значительного роста в последние несколько дней. Фондовые индексы в США снизились на 0,1-0,6%. Европейские индексы выросли в пределах 0,6%. Российский рынок продолжил расти на фоне низких объемов торгов, индекс РТС прибавил 0,6% благодаря повышению цен на нефть. НОВОСТИ> Росстат с 2022 года будет использовать новую методологию расчета инфляции> Нефть может подорожать ...

Andrew Keeley ... (+9)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team
  • Yaroslav Lissovolik

CIS Market Daily - December 28, 2021

MARKET COMMENT - TRADERS RETURN FROM HOLIDAY WEEKEND IN A RISK-ON MOODUS markets resumed trading yesterday, and the mood was generally positive. Benchmark US and European stock indexes closed higher. The RTS notched a 1.2% gain on the back of the positive global sentiment and stronger oil prices. STORIES> US sets dates for meetings with Russia on security issues> Gazprom Neft announces start-up of oil rims project in Yamal> VTB posts 11m21 IFRS results> Aeroflot publishes weak November trading u...

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