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Glencore plc - December 2023 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Alison Turner
  • Alison Turner

Pan American Silver - La Arena divestment

Pan American Silver (PAAS) has announced a sale of the La Arena and La Arena II projects to Zijin Mining for US$245m in cash, US$50m in a contingent payment and a 1.5% NSR gold royalty. La Arena II is a copper and gold sulphide deposit that sits underneath the currently producing La Arena gold project. We view the transaction as positive for PAAS, given La Arena’s very short mine life, significant capex required to bring La Arena II into production and the fact that copper is not PAAS’s core com...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Long-Term Breakouts for Emerging & Frontier Markets The bullish outlook we initiated in early November 2023 remains intact. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) still refuse to close below their 20-day MAs/21-day EMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days -- and even if/when they do, important supports are close by, including at 4983-5050 on the S&P 500 and $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24). The Fed's next move is almost guaranteed to be a cut (though when it happens is up for debate). And ...

Pan American Silver Corp: 1 director

A director at Pan American Silver Corp bought 25,000 shares at 13.326CAD and the significance rating of the trade was 81/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ye...

Alison Turner
  • Alison Turner

Pan American Silver - FY23 results: Follow the cash flow

Pan American Silver (PAAS) has released its FY23 financial results, which are in line with our estimates at the EBITDA level, an encouraging outcome given the operationally challenging year. While the bottom line was once again affected by non-cash one-offs, cash flow generation was robust, with FY23 operating cash flow of US$450m. We have slightly adjusted our FY24 estimates and rolled the model forward, resulting in a marginally updated valuation of US$22.2/share. The company’s decision to lau...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

MarketLine Department
  • MarketLine Department

First Majestic Silver Corp. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnershi...

Summary Marketline's First Majestic Silver Corp. Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments report includes business description, detailed reports on mergers and acquisitions (M&A), divestments, capital raisings, venture capital investments, ownership and partnership transactions undertaken by First Majestic Silver Corp. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances since January2007. Marketline's Company Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Allia...

MarketLine Department
  • MarketLine Department

McEwen Mining Inc. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alli...

Summary Marketline's McEwen Mining Inc. Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments report includes business description, detailed reports on mergers and acquisitions (M&A), divestments, capital raisings, venture capital investments, ownership and partnership transactions undertaken by McEwen Mining Inc. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances since January2007. Marketline's Company Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investmen...

Alison Turner
  • Alison Turner

Pan American Silver - Consistent growth at higher costs

Pan American Silver (PAAS) provided an update on its FY23 operational performance and FY24 guidance. While total silver production came in below guidance at 20.4Moz and gold output of 883koz was within guidance, the main highlight of the results was the record Q4 gold sales of 270koz (FY23 894koz). FY24 production expectations for gold and silver are broadly in line with FY23 guidance ranges, while costs are seen growing further. Despite our expectations of near-term cost normalisation, industry...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: December Edition

What you need to know: • Gold continued to rise in December, gaining 1.3% on the month and closed out 2023 up 13% to $2,062/oz. Notably, gold hit an all-time high, reaching $2,135/oz, rising above the previous record of $2,072 in August 2020. • Besides gold, other precious metals and commodities had a mixed month, while battery metals continued to underperform. • The mining equities slightly underperformed broader markets as capital flowed into the TSX & S&P500 on the back of a more defined Fe...

Alison Turner
  • Alison Turner

Pan American Silver - Adjusting valuation on Skarn

Following our short update on the La Colorada Skarn preliminary economic assessment (PEA), we are revising our valuation of Pan American Silver (PAAS) to incorporate the Skarn’s risked NPV. We have also reflected up-to-date commodity prices and lower WACC thanks to the reduction in bond yields. Overall, our valuation of PAAS increases from US$22.7 to US$23.5/share. While the stock has recently been propped up by the strong gold price, we see the upcoming publication of the FY24 outlook and FY23 ...

Alison Turner
  • Alison Turner

Pan American Silver - Skarn PEA confirms its early potential

Pan American Silver (PAAS) released a preliminary economic assessment (PEA) of the La Colorada Skarn project, confirming its potential to become a large-scale operation producing an average 17.2Moz of silver per annum over the first 10 years of its 17-year mine life. At a base case throughput rate of 50ktpd, the company estimates the project’s post-tax NPV8 at US$1.1bn, with an IRR of 14% and a payback period of 4.3 years. We intend to update our valuation shortly to incorporate the PEA and the ...

Glencore plc: Key facts and statistics - LTM June 2023

A summary company profile, detailing Glencore's business operations and financial highlights.

MarketLine Department
  • MarketLine Department

McEwen Mining Inc - Strategy, SWOT and Corporate Finance Report

Summary McEwen Mining Inc - Strategy, SWOT and Corporate Finance Report, is a source of comprehensive company data and information. The report covers the company's structure, operation, SWOT analysis, product and service offerings and corporate actions, providing a 360˚ view of the company. Key Highlights McEwen Mining Inc (McEwen) is a mining company. The company is involved in the exploration and production of precious metals such as gold, silver and copper commodities. McEwen owns and oper...

Glencore: 1 director

A director at Glencore bought 11,000 shares at 446p and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing C...

Glencore plc: Update to analysis - Acquisition adds to cash flow gener...

Our credit view reflects its scale and conservative financial policy, incl. historically low net debt, against its mixed although improving governance track record and thermal coal exposure.

Alison Turner
  • Alison Turner

Pan American Silver - Q323: La Colorada continues to underperform

Pan American’s Q3 results did not bring any major surprises at the group level, with lower EBITDA of US$159m, down 22% q-o-q, mainly a result of the continuing underperformance of La Colorada and lower-than-expected gold grades at El Penon. Yet the company reported flat (quarter-on-quarter) net operating cash flow of US$115m and broadly reiterated its FY23 operating guidance. We have revised downwards our near-term earnings estimates on the back of the results. However, our valuation has increas...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: October Edition

What you need to know: • Precious metal prices were up substantially in October, rebounding from two months of consolidation, significantly outperforming broader markets which were down during the month. Other commodities and battery metals held in relatively flat. • The price of uranium continued to perform well over the last month and resulted in significant equity financings. • Deteriorating economic data leads us to believe we are approaching a long-awaited pivot after both the BoC and the...

Glencore plc: Update to analysis - metrics remain strong while Teck pr...

Our view reflects historically low net debt, a comprehensive and conservative financial policy, but also high thermal coal exposure and need to continue to build its governance track record.

Alison Turner
  • Alison Turner

Pan American Silver - La Colorada to restart after suspension

Pan American Silver (PAAS) has announced that it will begin restarting operations at the La Colorada mine on 16 October. Operating activities at the project have temporarily been suspended since 5 October due to security concerns at the mine site following the concentrate robbery. The company does not expect any impact on the FY23 production and cost guidance from the suspension of production. We maintain our estimates and valuation.

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