MARKET COMMENT - MOSCOW EQUITIES TO BE CLOSED ANOTHER WEEK WHILE VALUE STOCKS OUTPERFORMThe CBR has announced that equity trading will be closed another week. Possible negotiations between Russia and Ukraine are the focal point for Russia investors this week, while main themes elsewhere include resumed rotation to value stocks and above $100/bbl oil prices, all of which would be benefiting Russia in a normal market environment, but not this one.STORIES> Government allocates R1 trln to support th...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ТОРГИ В МОСКВЕ НЕ БУДУТ ПРОВОДИТЬСЯ ЕЩЕ НЕДЕЛЮ; НА ГЛОБАЛЬНОМ РЫНКЕ ОПЕРЕЖАЮЩУЮ ДИНАМИКУ ПОКАЗЫВАЮТ АКЦИИ СТОИМОСТИЦБ РФ принял решение еще неделю не возобновлять торги на МосБирже в секции фондового рынка. На текущей неделе в центре внимания будут возможные переговоры между Россией и Украиной. НОВОСТИ> Правительство выделило 1 трлн руб. на поддержку экономики> Нефтяные котировки консолидировались около минимумов прошлой недели в преддверии многочисленных событий на этой ...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to unprecedented dislocations of capital and resources, on top of human tragedies. The sanctions imposed, by the world’s key nations, on Russia, its politicians, institutions, companies and businessmen, as well as the counter-measures introduced by the Russian government, are wide-ranging and continue to be imposed on a daily basis. The most severe sanctions are related to the freezing of the CBR’s FX reserves, as well as the freezing of non-residents’ assets...
HEADLINES: • MOL: prices, pumps, and polyol (upgraded to BUY) • TeraPlast: waiting for demand to boost margins (stays HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: forecasts revision guidance • Hellenic Petroleum: 4Q21 results - big beat on net income; EUR 0.4 dividend • MedLife: 4Q21 earnings miss on third-party costs and drug distribution NEGATIVE • Transgaz: 4Q21 results - better than expected on higher financial gains • Alro: 4Q21 results - better-than-expected net profit • Conpet: 4Q21 results - close ...
MARKET COMMENT - RTS PLUNGES, RUSSIA RECOGNIZES DNR AND LNR, EYES ON FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS TODAYThe RTS yesterday fell 13.2% to 1,208. Such a sharp fall had not been seen since 2008, and before that 1999. Yesterday's market collapse coincided with public discussions and the after-market announcement of the Russian government's recognition of the independence of the DNR and LNR. STORIES> RTS declines most since 2008, 1999; DNR/LNR recognition> VTB 4Q21 IFRS review: Modest end to year of ...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - СИЛЬНЕЙШЕЕ С 2008 ГОДА СНИЖЕНИЕ ИНДЕКСА РТС СВЯЗАНО С ПРИЗНАНИЕМ РОССИЕЙ НЕЗАВИСИМОСТИ ДНР И ЛНРВчера индекс РТС снизился на 13,2% до 1 208 пунктов. Это самое значительное снижение с 2008 года, а до этого рынок проседал так сильно лишь в 1999 году. Торговый оборот в анализируемых нами бумагах достиг $9,6 млрд. Вчерашний обвал на рынке связан с объявлением о признании российскими властями независимости ДНР и ЛНР. НОВОСТИ> Нефть дорожает на фоне роста напряженности в связи ...
MARKET COMMENT - GLOBAL, RUSSIA RALLY CONTINUE; SENATORS SAY US BILL STILL IMMINENTAfter mixed indicators early in the day, the MSCI ACWI gained 0.9% on bullish trends across regions. Russia was among the best performing EMs, the RTS rising 1.6% to reach 1,458 as top politicians and diplomats made constructive but noncommittal remarks. Indicators look bullish this morning, while US senators continue to tell journalists that a new, harsher sanctions bill is imminent.STORIES> Magnit to report dece...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - РОСТ ПРОДОЛЖИЛСЯ И НА ГЛОБАЛЬНЫХ РЫНКАХ, И В РОССИИВчера утром рыночные индикаторы изменялись разнонаправленно. Индекс MSCI ACWI поднялся на 0,9% на фоне позитивной динамики в разных регионах. Россия была в числе лидеров среди развивающихся рынков, индекс РТС вырос на 1,6% до 1 458 пунктов, т. к. ведущие политики и дипломаты выступили с конструктивными, но ни к чему не обязывающими комментариями. Сегодня утром настрой позитивный. НОВОСТИ> Рынок нефти стабилен в преддверии...
EME Equity Market – January 2022 Market performance – Russia’s equities lost 9.3%, while Turkish and Hungarian stocks advanced 8.6% and 9.3%, respectively, in January. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 4.5% in EUR terms and 5.9% in USD. Hungary’s equities were the best performers in January, adding 9.3% in EUR and 5.4% in HUF terms; followed by Turkish equities, with an 8.6% gain in EUR and an 8.8% gain in TRY. In Greece, the ASE Index added 4.9%, while the PX Index, the Czech benchmark, gained ...
We continue to track the Ivanovs' savings and spending patterns, as well as their perceptions, to get an idea of how entire sectors and individual companies are performing and might perform in the future. We also look at competition among the public retailers. The main conclusions from the most recent survey are as follows:> The fieldwork took place from November 22 to December 10, when the number of new Covid-19 cases in Russia was close to a historic high, inflation was on the rise, the ruble ...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 3Q FY22 - miss on revenues, on lower ticket prices, EBIT largely in line NEUTRAL • Etalon: 2021 KPIs - prices drive higher yoy volumes sold; leverage down due to SPO, cash collections • Astarta Holding: 4Q21 trading update indicates 2021E revenues broadly in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • STS Group: PLN 3m fine for AML NEGATIVE • Hungary macro: MNB increases rates by 50bps, as inflation exceeds forecast • Addiko Bank: Slovenia to vote on a retroactive CHF loans law NE...
Etalon's 2021 was marked by steep apartment price growth, driven by: the broad-based market trend and changes in the product mix; the ongoing shift from St. Petersburg towards Moscow; and the shift within Moscow, from projects located further out to more central ones, such as Zil Yug and Nagatino-i-Land, which were launched during the year. Although Etalon sold 17% fewer sqm yoy, mainly as it struggled to replenish its offer in St. Petersburg, the growing prices meant that the sales in value ter...
HEADLINES: • Polyus/Polymetal: Russian gold majors - a good bet (BUYs - initiation of coverage) • Norilsk Nickel: 4Q21 production results - PD production exceeds guidance; 2022E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Famur: recognises c.PLN 95m asset impairment NEGATIVE • Etalon: FY21 KPIs - lower volumes made up for by stronger price environment NEUTRAL • Conpet: 2022 budget foresees flat profit yoy, at RON 50m NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: interview with CFO - ambitious targets for cards base recovery ...
MARKET COMMENT - SPIKING GLOBAL VOLATILITY, UNEASE AMID MILITARY AND EMBASSY NEWSStock markets fell until a late-session US rebound. Concerns about rising rates, high inflation, and slowing economic and earnings growth weighed on markets. An 8.1% drop on the RTS to 1,288 wiped out the last of 2021's price gains. Political headlines were mixed but overall more bearish, as discussed below. APAC markets and US futures signal another rough day for markets, though early morning Russia indicators are ...
Etalon Group posted its 4Q21 trading update yesterday, which surprisingly missed the company's sales guidance. However, robust prices in 4Q21, a high EBITDA margin guided for 2H21 and beyond, greatly improved leverage and a positive outlook for 2022 softened the initial weak impression from the numbers.> News sales dynamics improve in 4Q21... New sales grew 34% Q-o-Q in m2 terms and 35% in ruble terms, mainly due to seasonality. They were down a respective 23% and 6% y-o-y (-36% and -23% y-o-y i...
MARKET COMMENT - RUSSIA DRAGGED BY GEOPOLITICAL CONCERNS, GLOBE BY RATES AND INFLATIONGlobal markets saw significant declines on rate and inflation concerns, the MSCI ACWI falling 1.6% with weakness particularly in growth stocks. Despite relatively better appetites for energy and other cyclicals, Russia was the worst performing EM with a 7.3% drop on the RTS to 1,367. Geopolitical headlines will likely remain in focus for the Russian market, as detailed in our stories below, while inflation and ...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - НА РОССИЙСКИЙ АКЦИИ ОКАЗЫВАЮТ ДАВЛЕНИЕ ГЕОПОЛИТИЧЕСКИЕ РИСКИ, НА ГЛОБАЛЬНЫЕ РЫНКИ - ОПАСЕНИЯ НАСЧЕТ СТАВОК И ИНФЛЯЦИИГлобальные рынки вчера понесли большие потери из-за обеспокоенности ростом ставок и инфляцией. Индекс MSCI ACWI снизился на 1,6%, сильнее всего пострадали акции роста. Несмотря на относительно неплохой спрос на бумаги нефтегазового и прочих циклических секторов, Россия завершила вчерашние торги хуже всех развивающихся рынков: индекс РТС упал на 7,3% до 1 36...
MARKET COMMENT - POWELL REASSURANCES FUEL GLOBAL RALLY; RUSSIA-NATO TALKS IN FOCUSThe MSCI ACWI rose for the first time in five sessions, the rally given a fillip late in the day by reassurances from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell that a more hawkish turn will be coupled with a close monitoring of market effects. Russia was among the better performers with a 1.9% gain on the RTS to 1,595. Today's Russia-NATO Council meeting will be in focus as investors continue to monitor closely the developments r...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - КОММЕНТАРИИ ГЛАВЫ ФРС ПОДДЕРЖАЛИ ГЛОБАЛЬНЫЕ РЫНКИ АКЦИЙ; В ЦЕНТРЕ ВНИМАНИЯ ПЕРЕГОВОРЫ РОССИИ И НАТОИндекс MSCI ACWI вырос впервые за пять сессий, ближе к вечеру рынок акций поддержали комментарии главы ФРС Джерома Пауэлла. Российский рынок оказался в числе лидеров: индекс РТС вырос на 1,9% до 1 595 пунктов. НОВОСТИ> Нефть подорожала в преддверии выхода данных EIA по запасам> НОВАТЭК заключил долгосрочные договоры с китайскими компаниями на поставку СПГ> Президент ГК "Этал...
Мы продолжаем изучать динамику и структуру расходов и сбережений Ивановых, а также их восприятие экономической ситуации, чтобы прогнозировать перспективы развития различных секторов российской экономики и отдельных компаний. В этом выпуске мы также анализируем конкуренцию между российскими публичными продуктовыми розничными сетями. Выводы по итогам нашего исследования изложены ниже.> Опросы для данного обзора проводились с 3 по 20 сентября, когда число инфицированных коронавирусом в России продо...
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