In the run-up to the publication of results, attention is focused on signs of a reversal in momentum. We are more concerned about the balance sheet situation. Its deterioration is underestimated and could trigger dividend cuts but, more significantly, strategic adjustments. The quest for premiumisation has undoubtedly overlooked capital intensity. We maintain our preference for quality with Diageo (Outperform, target price 2,400p). Campari upgraded to Neutral (target price € 6.6 vs € 4.2) for it...
En amont de la publication des résultats, l’attention se focalise sur les signes d’inversion du momentum. Nous sommes plus inquiets quant à la situation bilancielle. Sa dégradation est sous-estimée et pourrait provoquer des coupes de dividendes mais surtout des ajustements stratégiques. La quête de premiumisation a sans doute négligé l’intensité capitalistique. Préférence maintenue pour la qualité avec Diageo (Surperformance, OC 2?400p). Campari relevé à Neutre (OC de 6.6 € vs 4.2 €) pour son p...
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