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Egor Fedorov ... (+2)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

After some relief for markets on the data front this week, a period of quiet in terms of macro news should offer a further window for new supply to come from EM issuers ahead of an expected summer lull. Spread levels remain well anchored and EM credit should continue to see robust demand from yield-seeking investors.

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BFT PW; MTELEKOM HB; PBK RO; GEV CP; MBR PW; DAT PW; IGN1L...

HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: strong 1Q24, but May card base estimate disappoints POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: 1Q24E results review – EBITDA up 46% yoy, 6% above the consensus; 2024E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Patria Bank: strong bottom-line print in 1Q24, but loan book development remains absent POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: 1Q24 EBITDA up 24% yoy, 17% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 1Q24 EBITDA 5% above our forecast, 6% miss vs. the consensus NEUTRAL • DataWalk: 1Q24 numbers fully in line with ...

Emna Ben Bdira ... (+2)
  • Emna Ben Bdira
  • Maxime Kogge

voestalpine : On track for a decent Q4 despite one-offs; still unfavou...

>On track for a robust Q4 despite high one-offs - voestalpine is due to publish its Q4 2023-24 results on 5 June (closing 31 March). Despite a sluggish European backdrop, we think the quarter should post robust activity driven by favourable seasonality and resilient end-markets (energy, rail systems and, to a lesser extent, automotive). We are forecasting EBITDA of € 361m, down 2% on Q4 which puts us 4% below the below the Visible Alpha consensus of.€ 373m. Excluding ...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Flughafen Wien AG Reports a Positive First Quarter of 2024: ...

EQS-News: Flughafen Wien AG / Key word(s): Quarterly / Interim Statement Flughafen Wien AG Reports a Positive First Quarter of 2024: Increase in passenger traffic, revenue and earnings 16.05.2024 / 07:30 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Flughafen Wien AG Reports a Positive First Quarter of 2024: Increase in passenger traffic, revenue and earnings   Strong passenger growth in Q1/2024: 7.6 million passengers in the Flughafen Wien Group (+13.8%)   Financial performance indicators in Q1/2024: Revenue up 16.6% to € 210.3 milli...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Flughafen Wien AG mit positivem ersten Quartal 2024: Plus be...

EQS-News: Flughafen Wien AG / Schlagwort(e): Quartals-/Zwischenmitteilung Flughafen Wien AG mit positivem ersten Quartal 2024: Plus bei Passagieren, Umsatz und Gewinn 16.05.2024 / 07:30 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. Flughafen Wien AG mit positivem ersten Quartal 2024: Plus bei Passagieren, Umsatz und Gewinn   Deutliches Passagierwachstum im Q1/2024 mit 7,6 Mio. Passagieren in der Gruppe (+13,8%)   Finanzkennzahlen Q1/2024: 16,6% Umsatzplus auf € 210,3 Mio., Periodenergebnis verbessert sich auf € 37,2 Mio. (+48,9%)...

Emna Ben Bdira ... (+2)
  • Emna Ben Bdira
  • Maxime Kogge

voestalpine : Vers un T4 correct malgré les exceptionnels, le contexte...

>Vers un T4 solide malgré des one offs élevés - voestalpine publiera le 5 juin ses résultats T4 2023-24 (clos au 31 mars). Malgré un contexte difficile en Europe, le trimestre devrait voir, selon nous, une activité solide tirée par la saisonnalité favorable et la résilience de certains débouchés (énergie, systèmes ferroviaires et dans une moindre mesure l’automobile). Nous tablons sur un EBITDA de 361 M€ en baisse de 2% sur le T3 ce qui nous place 4% sous le consensus...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GSPARK HB; SFG RO; H2O RO; DIGI RO; AROBS RO; PG...

HEADLINES: • InPost: strong 1Q24, as expected; FY24E guidance maintained; slight volume deceleration in 2Q24 so far POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q24 – occupancy and results stable so far; guidance maintained POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q24 above our expectations POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: 1Q24 – lower power prices offset by no tax on producers NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 1Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 22% yoy, 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • AROBS Transilvania Software: weak 1Q24 results, ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 14 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLIS...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, COLONIAL, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, LOGISTA, NH HOTELES, UNICAJA. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Jornada de transición en las bolsas En una sesión sin referencias macroeconómicas y con la campaña de resultados com...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 14 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADEL...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, COLONIAL, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, LOGISTA, NH HOTELES, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. A transition session for stock markets In a session without macroeconomic references and with the earnings season being the only catalyst, most European indices (with t...

Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

OTP beat estimates in Q1

OTP reported higher than expected profit for Q1/24. Consolidated PAT totalled HUF 240bn(+8% vs. consensus), driven by improving NIM QoQ, cost efficiency and credit quality.Total risk cost surprisingly comprised HUF +7bn, massively beating analysts’ expectationsof HUF -20bn and our estimate of HUF -25bn) due to provision releases in OTP Core, CRand UKR, offset by UZB, RU and RO. Importantly, Uzbekistan risk cost dropped two-thirdQoQ. Total assets grew +5% QoQ to HUF 41,482bn), driven by a 1% incr...

Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Embracer Group (Buy, TP: SEK47.00) - An attractive spin-off story

We have raised our target price to SEK47 (38) and reiterate our BUY, after increasing our 2024/25e adj. FCF by >30% on the divestment of parts of Saber. We expect Q4 adj. EBIT of SEK1.5bn, up 65% YOY, in line with the guidance, and more visible cash flow improvement. Our target price corresponds to a c10% discount to our SOTP, based on our scenario analysis for the three entities in the planned spin-offs.

Research Team
  • Research Team
BRE MBANK SA
MOL MOL NYRT ... (+15)

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; OTP HB; MIL PW; CCC PW; DNP PW; EAT PW; MOL HB; M ...

HEADLINES: • mBank: solid 1Q24 results justify one of the top market valuations (1Q24 P/BV of 2.1x) POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24 results in line • CCC: 40% EBITDA beat in 1Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA miss in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • AmRest: 1Q24 broadly in line with our forecasts, but below the consensus NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q24 results – EBITDA below expectations on maintenance NEUTRAL • MedLife: 1Q24 results poin...

Egor Fedorov ... (+4)
  • Egor Fedorov
  • James Wilson
  • Oleksiy Soroka
  • CFA

EM Credit Spark/EM credit weekly

Some signs of cooling economic data out of the US, and the start of DM rate-cutting cycles has offered some optimism for EM assets, with the grind tighter in credit spreads continuing as seen for much of this year. We expect the benign environment to offer further opportunities for new issuance, while spread levels look fairly tight.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; KRU PW; BHW PW; NLBR SV; PGSUS TI; ADNOCDIS UH; CT...

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: strong 1Q24, with 9% beat, but big part due to lower quarterly tax charge POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q24 results in line with earlier communication; strong trend continues, but digested by the market already NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: books neutral 1Q24, questions on future capital management NEUTRAL • NLB Group: guidance upgrade spices up vanilla 1Q24 bottom-line beat POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 1Q24 in line, guidance for mild margin compression and 10-12% ASK growth maintained NEUTR...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BDX PW; EU Oil & Gas Monthly; BHW PW; PKO PW; MIL PW; CAR ...

HEADLINES: • Budimex: 1Q24 EBIT 13% above our forecast on solid gross margin, but broadly in line with the consensus POSITIVE • European oil and gas monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating • Bank Handlowy: to pay PLN 10/share dividend NEUTRAL • PKO BP: estimates cost of credit holidays extension at PLN 489m NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: expects a PLN 201-247m impact from the 2024E credit holidays extension for PLN mortgagors NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: April sales recover by 19.5% yoy POSITIVE • MOL: 1Q...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; GEV CP; DAT PW; WPL PW; GPP PW; ACP PW

HEADLINES: • mBank: revises up 1Q24 FX mortgage saga costs NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 4Q23 results broadly in line; new contracts from Poland and Sweden NEUTRAL • DataWalk: preliminary 1Q24 results – sales up 100% yoy, to PLN 6.43m POSITIVE • DataWalk: key takeaways from the 1Q24 preliminary earnings call POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: real users in April 2024 NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q24E preview – 9% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 21 May) • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q24E results preview – flat y...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: United Benefits Holding acquires City Tower Vienna for EURO ...

EQS-News: IMMOFINANZ AG / Key word(s): Real Estate/Disposal United Benefits Holding acquires City Tower Vienna for EURO REAL ESTATE from IMMOFINANZ 06.05.2024 / 08:30 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. United Benefits Holding acquires City Tower Vienna for EURO REAL ESTATE from IMMOFINANZ   Landmark property with 26,600 sqm of usable space at top location in Wien Mitte United Benefits Holding realises acquisition of the “Justizzentrum Wien Mitte“ for EURO REAL ESTATE with a transaction volume of more than 150 million Euros ...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: United Benefits Holding erwirbt für EURO REAL ESTATE den Cit...

EQS-News: IMMOFINANZ AG / Schlagwort(e): Immobilien/Verkauf United Benefits Holding erwirbt für EURO REAL ESTATE den City Tower Vienna von der IMMOFINANZ 06.05.2024 / 08:30 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. United Benefits Holding erwirbt für EURO REAL ESTATE den City Tower Vienna von der IMMOFINANZ   Landmark-Immobilie mit 26.600 m² Gesamtnutzfläche an Top-Standort in Wien Mitte United Benefits Holding realisiert für EURO REAL ESTATE den Ankauf des „Justizzentrum Wien Mitte“ mit einem Transaktionsvolumen von mehr als...

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