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Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

Santander : A robust start to 2024 and guidance confirmed

>Outperform rating maintained - Target price raised to € 5.5 (vs € 5.4) - Santander’s Q1 2024 results underpin our Outperform rating and lead us to increase our net profit estimates (+2% on average over the period 2024-2026e), due to a slightly more favourable stance on the top line trend. Our target price has thus been lifted to € 5.5 (vs € 5.4). The trend in the group’s operating performances remains broadly solid with the validation of the main financial targets se...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

Santander : Début d’année 2024 solide & guidances confirmées

>Opinion Surperformance maintenue – OC porté à 5.5 € (vs 5.4 €) - Les résultats T1 2024 de Santander viennent conforter notre opinion Surperformance et nous amènent à rehausser nos estimations de RN (+2% en moyenne sur la période 2024-26), en raison d’un biais un peu plus favorable notamment sur l’évolution de la topline. Notre OC est en conséquence porté à 5.5 € (vs 5.4 €). L’évolution des performances opérationnelles du groupe reste globalement solides avec une vali...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all geographies in the green in Ap...

EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
M MED LIFE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE SHOPER SA
AIRA BOROUGE
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
GEVORKYAN A.S.
Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 04/30/2024

Iliad Holding plans to issue new bonds to fund the investment in Tele2 and a tender on Iliad Holding 2026 notesIsabel Marant: well preserved liquidity but further deep fall in the wholesale order bookVerisure markets new bonds with two special covenants linked to a potential IPOBUT/Mobilux: new bond offering with the inclusion of Conforama into the scope>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 30/04/2024

Isabel Marant : liquidité supérieure aux attentes mais nouvelle chute du carnet de commandesBUT/Mobilux : Nouvelle émission obligataire avec intégration de Conforama dans le périmètreIliad Holding compte émettre des de nouvelles obligations pour financer l’investissement dans Tele2 et un tender sur la souche Iliad Holding 2026Verisure commercialise des nouvelles obligations avec deux covenants spéciaux liés à une potentielle IPO>...

Javier Esteban
  • Javier Esteban

SANTANDER: MENSAJES DE LA CONFERENCE CALL RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO ...

De la conference call de Rdos. 1T’24 destacamos pocas novedades:  Reitera guidance’24: (i) 16% ROTE vs 14,9% a 1T’24 (16,2% si se anualiza el impuesto a la banca);

Javier Esteban
  • Javier Esteban

SANTANDER: 1Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23: NII: € 11.983 Bn (+17.7% vs. +11.5% BS(e) and +12.6% consensus); Total Revenues: € 15.380 Bn (+10.4% vs. +8.4% BS(e) and +8.5% consensus); Operating Income: € 8.833 Bn (+13.4% vs. +10.5% BS(e) and +10.8% consensus); Net Profit: € 2.852 Bn (+10.9% vs. +12.2% BS(e) and 12.3% consensus). 1Q'24 vs. 4Q'23: NII: € 11.983 Bn (+7.7% vs. +2.1% BS(e) and +3.1% consensus); Total Revenues: € 15.380 Bn (+5.7% vs. +3.8% BS(e) and +3.9% consensus); Operating Income: € 8.833 Bn (+9.2% vs. +6.4...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SPL PW; PEO PW; PCF PW; EBS AV; OMV AV; BOROUGE UH; SNP RO...

HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: 1Q24 results – 19%+ headline ROE affected only slightly by FX mortgage saga costs • Bank Pekao: 1Q24 results in line with market's expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 4Q23 headlines hit heavily by write-offs, but a more limited EBITDA loss than we had expected NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • OMV: 1Q24 results – chemicals stronger than expected NEUTRAL • Borouge: 1Q24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • Garan...

Javier Esteban
  • Javier Esteban

SANTANDER: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: M. Intereses: 11.983 M euros (+17,7% vs +11,5% BS(e) y +12,6% consenso); M. Bruto: 15.380 M euros (+10,4% vs +8,4% BS(e) y +8,5% consenso); M. Neto: 8.833 M euros (+13,4% vs +10,5% BS(e) y +10,8% consenso); BDI: 2.852 M euros (+10,9% vs +12,2% BS(e) y 12,3% consenso). Rdos. 1T'24 vs 4T'23: M. Intereses: 11.983 M euros (+7,7% vs +2,1% BS(e) y +3,1% consenso); M. Bruto: 15.380 M euros (+5,7% vs +3,8% BS(e) y +3,9% consenso); M. Neto: 8.833M euros (+9,2% vs +6,4% BS(e) y +6,7...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 30 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEW...

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, SANTANDER. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The Ibex is far from highs European stock exchanges kicked off the Fed’s week (Wednesday) with slight corrections and with sovereign yields tightening. Within the STOXX 600 sectors, Basic Resources and Real Estate saw the biggest gains...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 30 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, SANTANDER. EUROPA: ADIDAS, MERCEDES BENZ GROUP, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex se aleja de máximos Las bolsas europeas comenzaron la semana de la Fed (miércoles) con ligeras pérdidas y caídas de las re...

Bank Polska Kasa Opieki S.A.: Update following ratings affirmation

Our credit view of Bank Polska Kasa Opieki S.A. reflects its good capitalisation, against its relatively high NPL ratio that is likely to deteriorate moderately.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; SIPCHEM AB; KRU PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; T...

HEADLINES: • Arcelik: weak bottom-line performance in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • Sipchem: 1Q24 results – weak net income NEGATIVE • Kruk: issues flash 1Q24 net profit of PLN 338m NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (22-28 April) • Türkiye macro: MPC takes a pause, but hiking cycle not over yet • OTP Bank: CEO Csanyi speaks at AGM on future acquisitions and Russian exposure POSITIVE • Budimex: BXF Energia acquires 60 MW photovoltaic project NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: dividend policy for 2023-25E and p...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MONET CP; ALR PW; SHO PW; MBR PW; WIZZ LN; ASELS TI; OPL P...

HEADLINES: • MONETA Money Bank: strong 1Q24 delivery, on better-than- expected revenues POSITIVE • Alior Bank: books small beat on 1Q24 delivery, driven by low credit risk charges; robust 2024E outlook supported POSITIVE • Shoper: 1Q24 adjusted EBITDA 9% above our expectations; FY23 results in line with prelims POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 4% miss vs. our 4Q23 adjusted EBITDA forecast, weak cash flows NEGATIVE • Wizz Air: fiscal 2024 post-close trading update POSITIVE • Aselsan: CEO's comments on exports...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPL PW; VGO PW; GTC PW; PL Macro; HU Macro; KRU PW; BHW PW...

HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 1Q24 results – EBITDAaL up 5% yoy, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: strong miss on EBITDA and bottom line NEGATIVE • GTC: 4Q23 – no material revaluation result, focus remains on refinancing ahead NEUTRAL • Poland macro: retail sales stay brisk in March • Hungary macro: MNB slows down pace of rate cuts • Kruk: 1Q24E preview (due on 8 May, after the close) • Bank Handlowy: 1Q24E preview (due on 9 May) • Eurocash: 1Q24E results preview – 16% yoy EBITDA ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KSPI LI; KRU PW; TUPRS TI; TL Banks; SIPCHEM AB; JMT PL; E...

HEADLINES: • Kaspi.kz: 1Q24 highlights Kruk: buys more portfolios in Italy • Tupras: launches USD 256m propylene investment NEUTRAL • Turkish banks: coverage UNDER REVIEW • Sipchem: 1Q24E results preview (due on 25 April) NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: 1Q24E results preview – 11% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 April, before the open) • Erste Bank: 1Q24E preview (due on 30 April) • BRD-GSG: 1Q24E preview (due on 2 May) NEUTRAL • PKO BP: 1Q24E preview (due on 9 May) • Banca Transilvania: 1Q24E...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LPP - the glass is half full (stays BUY), EUR PW, 11B PW, ...

• LPP: the glass is half full (stays BUY) • Eurocash: 4Q23 beat on costs, profit warning for 1Q24E • 11 bit studios: 4Q23 adjusted EBITDA beats expectations on a solid top line • Polish banks: 2024 contributions to the BFG • MOL: oil production starts on a new platform at ACG field • Ford Otosan: completes the Eurobond book-building process • Kalekim: 2023 IAS 29 results - strong operating results • Lamda: 4Q23 results - a significant step-up in Ellinikon revenues, revaluation gain on existing m...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LAMDA GA, EL RO, PEO PW, 11B PW, SNN RO, EMEA airlines, BU...

HEADLINES: • Lamda: 4Q23 results - significant step-up in Ellinikon revenues, revaluation gain on existing malls • Electrica: proposed changes to the regulatory framework • Bank Pekao: AGM chooses new Supervisory Board members, approves PLN 19.2 DPS • 11 bit studios: release date of INDIKA moved to 2 May • Nuclearelectrica: shareholders abstain from voting on the items from yesterday’s GMS • EMEA airlines: 1Q24 traffic - a good start to the year • Budimex: 1Q24E flat yoy - profitability improvem...

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