HEADLINES: • AmRest/Sphera Group: no beauty and no beast (AmRest stays BUY, Sphera downgraded to HOLD) • InPost: EUR 15.6 offer from FedEx, Advent, A&R and PPF consortium POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: solid 4Q25 delivery, beat due to tax differences NEUTRAL • PGE: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: January sales growth drops to 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Develia: 4Q25E preview – 30% EBITDA drop, following margin normalisation (due on 3 April) • 4iG: 4Q25E preview – 4%...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Titan: three deals cemented, more to come (stays BUY) • Eurocash: wins court battle with antimonopoly watchdog POSITIVE • PKO BP: 4Q25E preview (due on 12 March) • Mo-BRUK: 4Q25E – 21% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 23 April) • Hungary macro: MNB on hold • Hidroelectrica: shareholders’ approval for key strategic projects • DIGI Communications: hires Linklaters and Uría Menéndez for legal work in its Spanish IPO NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI – consultations under way to reclassify...
A director at OTP Bank Plc sold 8,000 shares at 39,625.000HUF and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: structural headwinds ahead (downgraded to SELL) • EME Strategy: OFEs' 2025 annual assets structure • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl reached 368k in 2H25, down 2% yoy NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 4Q25E preview (due on 9 February) • ING BSK: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • mBank: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • MOL: to buy NIS in Serbia POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: concludes construction of 72MW of BESS projects NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: solid traffic growth...
HEADLINES: • Kety: still fuel in the tank (stays BUY) • Allegro: disposal of Mall’s Slovenian and Croatian business with a PLN 235m loss POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: net addition of 145.6k sports cards in 4Q25, acceleration in Türkiye POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: SKO cancels increased fees for 2016 and 2020 NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: 4Q25 bookings up 12.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 4Q25 NEUTRAL • GEK Terna / Motor Oil Hellas: EC cle...
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Eurocash: key takeaways from the strategy presentation NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: Allegro launches C2X locker service NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 2.6bn bid from BDX's consortium selected in PKP PLK tender NEUTRAL • Theon International: signs its largest ever contract, worth EUR 1bn, with OCCAR POSITIVE • Mavi: strong beat in 3Q25 results POSITIVE • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: wins 10-year contract to operate advertising at Prince Mohammad bin Abdulaziz Airport (PMIA) in Madinah POSIT...
HEADLINES: • XTB S.A.: morphing into a Pan-European super app (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Eurocash: new strategy aiming at 2027E EBIT of PLN 600m POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: winter season pre-sales growth accelerates to 8.2% yoy POSITIVE • Budimex: PLN 276m bid from BDX consortium scores highest in tender for district heat network construction NEUTRAL • 4iG: signs strategic partnership agreements in Türkiye POSITIVE • 4iG: sells 4iG Broadcast Infrastructure NEUTRAL • Short News (4iG)
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
2025e: resilient but stagnant amid elevated competition – Autohellas has maintained solid top line momentum across its core activities despite an increasingly demanding backdrop, continuing to gain share in key segments. Against this environment we have modestly trimmed our 2025 forecasts to reflect the soft patch in international rentals and the intensified competition in both Greek rentals and Autotrade. At the same time, profitability remains constrained by elevated depreciation tied to a mor...
2025e: resilient but stagnant amid elevated competition – Autohellas has maintained solid top line momentum across its core activities despite an increasingly demanding backdrop, continuing to gain share in key segments. Against this environment we have modestly trimmed our 2025 forecasts to reflect the soft patch in international rentals and the intensified competition in both Greek rentals and Autotrade. At the same time, profitability remains constrained by elevated depreciation tied to a mor...
Following a very strong run and the partial normalization of the core valuation anomaly that underpinned our initial call, we have downgraded Aygaz to Hold from Buy and simultaneously remove it from our model portfolio, while retaining a constructive fundamental stance. Since the inclusion in our model portfolio, the shares are up 23% in USD, outperforming the BIST-100 by 22%. At the time of our rating upgrade, Aygaz’s participation portfolio (Tupras, Opet Aygaz REIC, United LPG, Sendeo) more t...
Downgraded to Hold on risk/reward normalization: Since our upgrade to Buy on 30 July 2025, Aygaz has delivered a 31% return in USD, outperforming the BIST-100 by 32% and Tupras by 12%. This has substantially eroded the relative valuation cushion. Our 12M TP of TL272/share is unchanged, but implied upside has compressed to 30%, versus 43% for our coverage universe and 40% for our ex-banks coverage. On a 12M rating basis, this moves Aygaz into Hold territory: we continue to like the name fundament...
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