reports
- Fatma Agnès Hamdani
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/09/2024
A specialist in fluid treatment, Sulzer is a global player present in the energy, natural resources and industrial process markets. With two centuries’ experience, Sulzer offers a solid profile with structural mid-single growth and EBITDA margin improvement to 17% out to 2028 (vs 13.3% in 2023), thanks to the strategic plan based on a favourable product mix and industrial efficiency. Despite the stock’s strong performance, it is trading at a discount of 22% to its historical multiples...
- Fatma Agnès Hamdani
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/10/2024
Spécialiste du traitement des fluides, Sulzer est un acteur mondial évoluant sur les marchés de l’énergie, des ressources naturelles et des process industriels. Fort de 2 siècles d’expérience, Sulzer offre un profil solide avec une croissance structurelle mid-single digit et une amélioration de la marge d’EBITDA à 17% d’ici 2028 (vs 13.3% en 2023), grâce à son plan stratégique reposant sur un mix-produits favorable et une efficience industrielle. Malgré la forte performance du titre,...
- Robert Jan Vos
Corbion N.V. : FY guidance seen raised on 29 October; TP raised to € 3...
>Q3 2024 results due 29 October: EBITDA growth of more than 40% expected - Corbion is set to report its Q3 2024 trading update (reporting on sales and EBITDA only) on 29 October at 07:00, and host a conference call later that morning at 11:00.Health & Nutrition: growth engine Algae Ingredients running smoothly - In Health & Nutrition, we forecast organic sales growth of 17.5% (volume/mix: 16%) and sales of € 67.5m in Q3 2024. We expect ongoing solid g...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 04/10/2024
Le lock-up de Wendel sur ses titres BVI expire le 6 octobre. Une cession d’actions BVI serait bénéfique à tous, selon nous : i/ pour BVI (Surperformance, OC 33 €), il augmenterait le flottant et la liquidité pour se rapprocher du CAC 40 (2025e) ; ii/ pour Wendel (Surperformance, OC relevé à 110 € vs 100 €), il lui donnerait les moyens de ses ambitions (AM pour tiers, mais aussi investissement direct et soutien M&A au portefeuille) et iii/ pour Wendel-Participations, il permettrait d’e...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/04/2024
Wendel's lock-up period for BVI expires on October 6th. As we see it, disposing a block of BVI shares would be a win-win deal. i/ For BVI (Outperform, TP € 33), it would increase the free float and push liquidity closer to the CAC 40 (2025 est.); ii/ for Wendel (Outperform, TP raised to € 110 vs € 100), it would give it the means to meet its ambitions (third-party AM platform, direct investment, and M&A support to its portfolio) and iii/ for Wendel-Participations, it would enable it t...
- Robert Jan Vos
Heineken N.V. : Q3 2024 not seen as easiest of quarters for Heineken; ...
>Q3 2024 trading update due on 23 October - Heineken is set to report its Q3 2024 trading update on 23 October (at 08:00). The first and third quarter updates only address volumes and revenue. The brewer will host a conference call with its CFO Harold van den Broek at 14:00 that same day. For several reasons, we expect that Q3 2024 has not been the easiest of quarters for Heineken. We forecast group organic beer volume growth of 0.8%, organic revenue growth of 3.8%, a...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: The Saga continues. ASM International: KKR reportedly interested in ASM PT. D'Ieteren: Belron €8.1bn debt financing at better rates than expected. Elia: Challenges ahead, CEO appointment necessary. Gimv: €150-250m bond issue by Gimv controlling anchor investor WorxInvest. PostNL: Preparation letter on future of Dutch mail market sent to Parliament. Vonovia: Good progress on disposals
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update October 2024 – Adding NN Group
We maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated expectations for interest rate cuts by central banks will finally come to pass. The election fever in the US is reaching boiling point and the conversations are becoming more polarised than before. Also corporate profit growth in Europe slows and the French elections have cast a negative spell. In Germany by-elections in the Eastern part showed a shift to extreme right and left that will make budget decisions even more ...
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
FAGR FAGRON SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SOLB SOLVAY SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
FUR FUGRO NV
SYENS SYENSQO
- Christophe Chaput
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : The recovery is only beginning and the best is yet to come
The rate cut carried out and yet to come (ECB: -125bp to -150bp to come by end-2025e) is a real driver for listed real estate and creates the conditions enabling it to outperform. In this context, we are lifting 23 target prices for the 42 stocks covered. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing are now our Top Picks. Aedifica (Outperform vs Neutral) should also benefit. Lastly, we are lowering Care Property to Neutral and SFL to Underperform. - >...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Christophe Chaput
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : La reprise ne fait que commencer et le meilleur est à venir
La baisse de taux actée et à venir (BCE : -125 à 150 pb à venir d’ici fin 2025e) agit comme un véritable catalyseur pour l’immobilier côté et crée les conditions lui permettant de surperformer. Dans ce cadre, nous relevons 23 objectifs de cours sur 42 valeurs suivies. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing constituent désormais nos top picks. Aedifica (Surperformance vs Neutre) devrait également en bénéficier. Enfin, nous abaissons Care Property à N...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Wim Lewi
Elia Group Analyst Day Take-Aways
Elia hosted its first Analyst day on the site of its National Control Center (NCC) in Vilvoorde (BXL). Elia intended mainly to educate Analysts on its operations, but also provided a Q&A session with the (interim) CEO and CFO. A new CEO is expected before the year end. Elia is examining different scenario's on the equity needs. There is a lot of noise at the moment with a new government shift in BE, potential early elections in GE and the pending sale of Tennet. The visit to the NCC gave a perfe...
- Baptiste Salaville
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Michael B. Schäfer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 02/10/2024
Rechutant début septembre à cause des inquiétudes sur un risque de récession aux USA, les marchés actions se sont ensuite repris grâce au pivot de la Fed et au plan de relance chinois qu’on n’attendait plus. La baisse des taux courts permet de mettre fin à l’inversion de la courbe sur les rendements souverains. Autos, Energy et Healthcare ont nettement sous-performé le Stoxx 600. Demain, la Golden Week, l’élection US et le budget français seront clés pour une poursuite de la progressi...
- Baptiste Salaville
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Michael B. Schäfer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/02/2024
Falling back sharply in early September due to concerns about a risk of recession in the US, equity markets then recovered thanks to the Fed's pivot and the Chinese stimulus plan that was no longer expected. The fall in short-term rates did put an end to the inversion of the curve on sovereign yields. Autos, energy and healthcare significantly underperformed the Stoxx 600. To come, Golden Week, the US election and the French budget will be key to a continued market progress. With, of ...
- Thijs Berkelder
Elia Group : Not yet a new CEO but on track to deliver on its growth p...
>Feedback analyst day - Yesterday, Elia Group held its Analyst Day in its Belgian National Control Centre in Schaerbeek, near Brussel. Next to the expanded IR team also present were interim-CEO Catherine Vandenborre and interim-CFO Marco Nix. Selection new CEO takes more time. Where analysts were hoping for a surprise CEO reveal party, reality is that Elia is still busy with the selection of a new CEO preferable having experience in an international industrial gr...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
HEINEKEN ANNOUNCES PROPOSED CFO REAPPOINTMENT
HEINEKEN ANNOUNCES PROPOSED CFO REAPPOINTMENT Amsterdam, 1 October 2024 – The Supervisory Board of Heineken N.V. (HEINEKEN) intends to nominate Harold van den Broek for reappointment as member of the Executive Board of the company at its Annual General Meeting (AGM) in April 2025. The proposed reappointment is for a four-year term as per the AGM. Jean-Marc Huët, Chairman of the Supervisory Board of HEINEKEN, stated: "We are pleased to nominate Harold van den Broek for a next term. Under his leadership, HEINEKEN has realised significant revenue and operating profit growth, delivered a s...
- Reg Watson
- CFA
Heineken/The storm rages on/SELL
Heineken has missed consensus expectations for six quarters in a row. The share price has been punished accordingly but we don't believe that the pain is over yet. Near term headwinds will continue to pressure Heineken's results and long-term structural underinvestment by the company will make volume recovery difficult. As a result, we lower our 2024F EPS forecast by 15%, cut our 12-month target price to €64.62 from €69.54 and maintain our SELL recommendation.
- Reg Watson
- CFA
Corbion/Hope springs eternal/SELL
We revise our Corbion forecasts to account for the balance sheet restructuring and currency moves as well as the disappointing 1H24 results and headwinds from higher input costs. As a result, our 2024F revenues decline by 11% while adj. EPS falls by 5%. Peer group valuations have risen since our last report, and we increase our 12-month target price to €15.00 from €13.40.
- Quirijn Mulder
Elia/Rapid growth/HOLD
Elia is a good company in the sweetspot of the EU's ambitious plans to have one European electricity network and with Germany-specific plans to replace nuclear power with wind. Elia's asset base is growing fast, with €31bn in capex until FY28 being more than quadruple the FY19-23 level. This is good for profitability in its regulatory framework. While its growth means that the company deserves a premium to its peers, at the same time Elia falls >60% short of the dividend yield offered by peers. ...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.