Upgrade Staples to Overweight; Downgrading Services We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we went to neutral. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6780-6824 on SPX and $255-$257 on IWM continue to hold; every minor dip below these levels has been for no longer than a day, before buyers have stepped-in. We continue to see more det...
Company Update | PTT Exploration and Production (PTTEP TB/BUY/Bt129.50/Target: Bt150.00) The energy market remains under pressure in 2026 on oversupply in both crude oil and LNG. However, geopolitical risks remain a key factor in limiting the downside of crude oil prices. We are positive on the earnings outlook for 1Q26 and full-year 2026, supported by record-high sales volumes and declining unit costs. PTTEP announced a 2H25 dividend of Bt4.65/share. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of B...
Top Stories Company Results | PTT Oil and Retail (OR TB/HOLD/Bt13.90/Target: Bt14.50) OR reported a 4Q25 net profit of Bt2.1b, down both qoq and yoy, in line with our expectations but 33% above consensus forecasts. The mobility business remained seasonally strong, with higher sales volumes, while the marketing margin in 4Q25 was flat qoq. Although we expect core profit to recover qoq in 1Q26, we are still cautious about rising impairment risks, particularly those related to assets in Cambodia....
Greater China Strategy | Small/Mid Cap Monthly ‒ 2025 Results Preview We expect names under our coverage to report resilient earnings growth for 2025. For names with generous dividend payouts, we are eyeing the possibilities of special dividends for 2025 on the back of robust balance sheets and solid results: Crystal, Plover Bay, SHK& Co. We are also monitoring capex plans for Crystal and Kingboard Laminates. Our most preferred pick is Crystal, given its attractive valuation (10.2x 2026F PE, 6.4...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy Exploration (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.20 per share: Momentum accelerating. Potential resources increase in Austria – The Welchau‑1 well is scheduled for re‑entry in February to test the Reifling reservoir. An acid stimulation will be performed on the perforated interval to address wellbore damage and improve productivity in the carbonate section. The operation should also yield additional insight into the deeper Welchau...
Greater China Company Results | Yum China Holdings, Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$392.40) In 4Q25, YUMC’s total revenue reached US$2,823m, up 9% yoy. Total system sales grew 7% yoy, with a 3% increase in same-store sales. Operating profit rose 25% yoy to US$187m, with operating margin at 6.6% (+80bp). For 1Q26, management targets positive SSS. It aims to maintain flat yoy restaurant margin and operating profit margin on a high base. For 2026, it expects to open more than 1,900 net new stores, wi...
HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: From MSCI Shock To Policy-Driven Rebala...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property CRIC data show that the top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% yoy in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below the five-year mean, and PE and yield near the five-year average....
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
Three Directors at Canadian Natural Resources Ltd sold after exercising options/sold 26,512 shares at between 49.890CAD and 50.130CAD. The significance rating of the trade was 73/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary ...
HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: preliminary 2025 results, and initial 2026E guidance • Budimex: consortium wins PLN 4bn PKP PLK Rail Baltica tender POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: 3Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA up 15% qoq (due on 20 March) • OMV: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Krka: preliminary 4Q25 revenues in line, but operating earnings miss NEGATIVE • Short News (HTO, ASELS)
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