reports
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren The engine that keeps on running
D'Ieteren's engine keeps on running, with the adj. PBT (gs) up 28.1% in 2023, driven by a strong performance at Belron, Auto, and the full consolidation of PHE. Going forward, we expect the adj. PBT (gs) to grow 9% in 2024, and to accelerate to +15.7% in 2025 driven by the completion of the transformation programme at Belron. With D'Ieteren trading at only 13.9x the adj. fwd P/E, we believe investors are not giving D'Ieteren enough credit for its excellent track record and growth prospects. In a...
- Lynn Hautekeete
Qrf City Retail Catalysts not translated in share price reaction
We update our model after the 1Q24 results and take into account the exit from the Dutch market, JV closing and non-strategic asset sales announced in 1Q24. We believe the stock price did not react enough to the positive catalyst of the Dutch sales and JV closing at 15.13% IRR. Hence, we repeat our BUY recommendation and EUR 13.0 TP. Standing asset valuations increased with 1.3% in 1Q24 signalling the revival of retail real estate. This is also reflected in the record high occupancy rate at 99....
D`ieteren Group: 1 director
A director at D`ieteren Group sold 5,000 shares at 205.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
- Fernand de Boer
Colruyt - Inflation tailwind ending
In the past year, Colruyt group unlocked most of the hidden value especially through the sale of Parkwind. It also simplified the structure and created more focus within the company. This is now all reflected in the numbers. With food CPI in Belgium dropping below general CPI, the “favorable” inflation conditions will come to end. Hence, after the very strong rise in earnings in FY23/24, we expect limited earnings growth in the coming years.Given the limited earnings growth, and with most of the...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update April 2024: Adding TINC
We continue our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List with a 50/50 cyclical/defensive selection, but with a focus on value stocks that have been left behind. Defensive segment like holdings are overweight. However, in the Benelux we have a selection of cyclical industrials at cheap valuations that have often underperformed the market. We favour Benelux value stocks as even a mild recession typically hits growth stocks proportionally harder. We notice that some stocks have been hit hard by minor s...
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
GIMB GIMV NV
VAN VAN DE VELDE S.A.
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
TUB FINANCIERE DE TUBIZE S.A.
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
TINC TINC COMM. VA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
SYENS SYENSQO
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
Real Asset Conference Soundbites 19-20 March 2024
This note gathers feedback from the group meetings and the break-out sessions. In total 23 companies presented in group meetings and/or break-out sessions. More than 100 guests found their way to the venue and some more followed virtual meetings. Physical attendance is clearly on the rise after the COVID disruption. Investing remains a people's business. The 4 break-out sessions made for informative additions to the C-level meetings and a nice platform for discussion. Tuesday morning concentrate...
LEAS LEASINVEST REAL ESTATE SCA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
RET RETAIL ESTATES NV
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
QRF QRF COMM
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ATEB ATENOR S.A.
VGP VGP NV
TINC TINC COMM. VA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Wim Lewi
KBCS Real Assets Conference Book 2024
This conference book is your guide to the KBCS Real Assets Conference 2024. It offers a program, an intro to the break-out sessions and company profiles with financial data and some useful info. The break-out sessions aim to educate and contemplate on certain trends. Last year we hosted “Energy as a business”. This year, we offer 4 break-outs on hot topics.
LEAS LEASINVEST REAL ESTATE SCA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
RET RETAIL ESTATES NV
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
QRF QRF COMM
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ATEB ATENOR S.A.
ASC ASCENCIO SCA
VGP VGP NV
TINC TINC COMM. VA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
FAST FASTNED
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Geoffroy Michalet
- Juan Ros-Padilla
- Robert Jan Vos
ODDO : In a decelerating inflation environment, we favour Jeronimo Mar...
Based on our local coverage from Spain, the Netherlands and France and in an environment of decelerating inflation, we set the following hierarchy: Jeronimo Martins as our Top Pick for its growth potential, while in the slow-growth retail category, we favour Ahold Delhaize over Carrefour (downgraded to Neutral) or Colruyt. - >Managing inflation & food inflation deceleration: the name of the game for 2024 - The key topic for food retailers in 2024 will be how they manag...
Deceuninck NV: 1 director
A director at Deceuninck NV bought 500,000 shares at 2.247EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
Colruyt Group N.V: 1 director
A director at Colruyt Group N.V bought 1,632,082 shares at 42.840EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update March 2024 : Replacing UCB by Tubize
We replace UCB by Tubize in our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List. Over the past few weeks, UCB has seen a strong rally in its share price, markedly outperforming the BEL-20 index. The rally came on the back of renewed investor confidence in its flagship product Bimzelx, which gained FDA approval for psoriasis in October 2023 albeit with unexpected warnings and precautions. In the meantime, we see that commercial traction is growing in line with our expectations, as phyicians and caregivers ...
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
UCB UCB S.A.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
GIMB GIMV NV
VAN VAN DE VELDE S.A.
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
TUB FINANCIERE DE TUBIZE S.A.
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
SYENS SYENSQO
- Maxime Stranart
- Stijn Demeester
Deceuninck/Model update post-FY23/HOLD
We reiterate our HOLD as we remain concerned by (1) the group's high exposure to emerging markets, with >50% of group Adj. EBITDA generated in Turkey, in a highly cyclical industry and (2) the significant impact raw materials can have on profitability. We however note some positives – with the Turkish division proving much more resilient than we had anticipated this year. We see limited room for upside at c.7x normalised PER 2025F; with Deceuninck trading in line with only listed peer Eurocell, ...
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Sharad Kumar S.P
Holdings Report - February 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Underperforms B...
1M Performance - Absolute: Over the last 1M period, the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -3.8% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-5.4%) while multi-asset holdings posted a less negative return og -2.8%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+8.7%), Whitestone Group (+7.7%), and Texaf (+3.0%) while the 3 worst performers were Heineken Holding (-8.3%), Compagnie Du Bois Sauvage (-7.7%), and Solvac (-7.5%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD ...
HAL HAL TRUST
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
SOLV SOLVAC S.A.
GIMB GIMV NV
QFG QUEST FOR GROWTH
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
TUB FINANCIERE DE TUBIZE S.A.
HEIO HEINEKEN HOLDING N.V.
KBCA KBC ANCORA SCA
TEXF TEXAF
BREB BREDERODE S.A.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
ROCK WHITESTONE GROUP
- Michiel Declercq
D'Ieteren FIRST LOOK: Good FY23 results, outlook slightly softer
D'Ieteren reported a nice set of FY23 results, with the adj. PBT (gs) +28.1% to € 971m, above the upward revised guidance of € 960m, as well as kbcs and css estimates of € 966m. Although the mid to high single digit adj PBT (gs) growth outlook for 2024 is slightly softer than expected, we see no major surprises across the divisions. Knowing that D'Ieteren is usually conservative with its guidance, we reiterate our Buy & € 225 TP.
- Kris Kippers
D'Ieteren Group - Solid H2 with some prudence on 2024 guidance
D'Ieteren's FY results were in line with expectations driven by a (small) beat at Belron and a (larger) beat at Auto. Other results were more mutedImportantly, after some disappointments, the company's FCF was finally rock solid now that also working capital returned to normal levels combined with strong margin improvements. Hence, the company's net cash positioned improved further to EUR 1.2bnGuidance of ‘mid-to high single PBT growth' is in line with our estimate and s...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: FY23 - DPS +8%, S2 ratio 217%, strong Asia even with FX headwinds. ASM International: 4Q23 results, weak start to 2024. Deceuninck: Turkey continues to surprise positively. DEME Group: Handsome set of FY23 results. Fugro: Double digit growth expected. Just Eat Takeaway.com: FY23 results, supportive EBITDA guidance. Kendrion: Balance sheet risk reduced UCB: Material beat to consensus in 2H23, 2024 outlook in line with consensus
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Hoste
Deceuninck FIRST LOOK: Better than expected FY23 EBITDA (+15%) due to ...
Deceuninck reported a 15% FY adj EBITDA growth which was however partly supported by hyperinflation accounting effects. Excluding this, adj EBITDA was c 6% better than our forecast and 5% above consensus, fully attributable to the strong Turkish performance. While acknowledging the cyclical character of Deceuninck, we expect significant support from the EU Green Deal in the coming years while also Recycling activities still have significant structural growth potential. Valuation is attractive an...
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