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Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 22 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR, COLONIAL, GRIFOLS, POSSIBLE TAX CHANGES. Doubts on the markets It was a session that improved in European stock markets after Nvidia’s results release, with the markets ending with moderate gains and the IBEX rising back above 11,600 points. Within the STOXX 600, Insurance and Energy led the gains, with Telecoms and Consumer Goods ending with the biggest losses. In the euro zone, November’s preliminary consumer confidence fell more than expected. On the macro side,...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 22 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: COLONIAL, GRIFOLS, IMPUESTOS, SECTOR BANCARIO. EUROPA: AIR LIQUIDE, LINDE. Dudas en los mercados Jornada de menos a más tras los resultados de Nvidia en las bolsas europeas, que terminaron con subidas moderadas y con el Ibex recuperando los 11.600 puntos. Así, dentro del STOXX 600, Seguros y Energía lideraron las ganancias, frente a Telecos y Bienes de Consumo que terminaron con las mayores caídas. En la Eurozona la confianza del consumidor prelim...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 20 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, ENDESA, GRIFOLS, POSSIBLE TAX CHANGES, TALGO. Russia shakes markets The threat of using nuclear weapons by Russia after Ukraine used its long-range missiles on Russian territory led to corrections in European stock markets that eased throughout the session after the Foreign Minister S. Lavrov stressed that Russia does not wish nor expect a nuclear war. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Real Estate and Pharma were the only sectors ending with gains vs. Banks and Automobiles that ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 20 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, GRIFOLS, IMPUESTOS ESPAÑA, TALGO. EUROPA: NOKIA. Rusia agita los mercados La amenaza de uso de armas nucleares por parte de Rusia después de que Ucrania utilizase sus misiles de largo alcance sobre territorio ruso deparó una sesión de caídas en Europa, que fueron moderándose a lo largo de la sesión después de que el ministro de exteriores ruso S. Lavrov remarcase que el país no desea ni espera una guerra nuclear. Así, dentro del STOXX 600...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 18 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SA...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ENDESA, GRIFOLS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, ROVI. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Post-electoral phase in the US After the confirmation that the Republican Party obtained majority in the two parliamentary chambers and following some announcements or possible appointments...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 18 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS B...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ENDESA, GRIFOLS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, ROVI. EUROPA: PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Mercados en fase post-electoral Durante la semana pasada los índices mundiales entraron en la fase post elect...

Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

MERLIN PROPERTIES: 9M’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Rental Revenues: € 125.34 M (+5.2% vs. +4.7% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 97.97 M (+8.3% vs. +2.0% BS(e)); FFO: € 82.7 M (+19.9% vs. +8.3% BS(e)); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Rental Revenues: € 373.54 M (+4.8% vs. +4.6% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 279.24 M (+3.3% vs. +1.2% BS(e)); FFO: € 230.5 M (+6.7% vs. +3.0% BS(e));

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/15/2024

Swiss-based Accelleron was formed from the spin-off of ABB’s highly profitable turbocharger division in 2022. We view the share as a promising investment on 1/ market leadership in an attractive niche, 2/ about ~40% ROCE, 3/ conversion of ~80% of EBITDA into cash, leading to fast deleveraging, and a solid base for shareholder remuneration (75% pay out), and 4/ strong long-term visibility linked to a ~75% service share, the bulk of which is recurring. Despite an already strong stock pe...

Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert

Merlin Properties : 9M 2024: FFO for 2024 should be better than expect...

>FFO per share for 9M 2024 at € 0.41 (-11.1% y-o-y), above our forecasts (€ 0.39 est.) - Merlin Properties yesterday evening reported a performance for 9M 2024 above our forecasts with FFO per share of € 0.41 € (-11.1% y-o-y) vs € 0.39 est. which includes overall growth at constant scope (l-f-l) of +2.7% in gross rental income, an occupancy rate of 95.6% (+16bp q-o-q) and broadly positive reversion: Offices (54% of gross rents in 9M 2024; l-f-l +2.5%): this trend...

Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

MERLIN PROPERTIES: RDOS. 9MESES’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ingresos por rentas: 125,3 M euros (+5,2% vs +4,7% BS(e)); EBITDA contable: 98,8 M euros (+8,3% vs +2,0% BS(e)); FFO: 82,7 M euros (+19,9% vs +8,3% BS(e)). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ingresos por rentas: 373,5 M euros (+4,8% vs +4,6% BS(e)); EBITDA contable: 279,2 M euros (+3,3% vs +1,2% BS(e)); FFO: 230,5 M euros (+6,7% vs +3,0% BS(e)). en la

Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert

Merlin Properties : 9M24 : l’atterrissage du FFO 2024 devrait être mei...

>FFO /action sur 9M24 à 0.41 € (-11.1 % yoy) au-dessus de nos attentes (0.39€e) - Merlin Properties a publié hier soir, une performance sur 9M 2024 au-dessus de nos attentes avec un FFO /action à 0.41 € (-11.1 % yoy) vs 0.39 €e qui inclut une croissance globale à périmètre constant (lfl) de +2.7% de ses revenus locatifs bruts, un taux d’occupation à 95.6% (+16 pb qoq) et une réversion globalement positive : Bureaux (54% des loyers bruts 9M24 ; lfl +2.5%) : cette ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 15 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SA...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CAIXABANK, COLONIAL, MERLIN. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. ECB’s target nearly met The Euro STOXX 50 had its best day since late September, while the ECB’s meeting minutes suggested the 2% inflation target will be met earlier than expected, thus cementing t...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 15 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS B...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CAIXABANK, COLONIAL, MERLIN. EUROPA: ASML, SANOFI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El BCE con el objetivo casi cumplido El Euro STOXX 50 tuvo su mejor día desde finales de septiembre mientras las ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 14 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...

NEWS SUMMARY: FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, IBERDROLA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. US inflation continues to follow the script European stock markets ended with drops, although the US inflation data helped distance them from daily lows. In the STOXX 600 the best-performing sectors were Energy and Consumer Goo...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 14 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. IDEAS DESTACADAS Y P...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: ASML, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, PROSUS, SIEMENS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La inflación estadounidense sigue el camino esperado Las bolsas europeas terminaron con caídas, aunque el dato de i...

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

PROSUS: RDOS. 3T’24 DE TENCENT (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Tencent (c. 25% de PRX y 82% de nuestro P.O.) acaba de publicar Rdos. 3T’24 en línea en ventas

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024

We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024

Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+3)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime

>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...

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