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Ben Rickett ... (+2)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer

EU Towers Review: A rising risk from land aggregators Cellnex (Neutra...

Cellnex and Inwit have recently pivoted towards buying more land. Why? In part because they still see a good opportunity to deploy capital attractively, but we believe this is also driven by a defensive angle against a gradually rising role of land aggregators in Europe

Gold Fields Limited: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of Gold Fields reflects its geographical and asset diversification, solid credit metrics, robust liquidity and exposure to the volatility in gold prices.

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

CELLNEX: 1Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23 Results Sales: € 946.0 M (-4.0% vs. -3.6% BS(e) and -3.9% consensus); EBITDA: € 778.0 M (+6.6% vs. +6.2% BS(e) and +6.4% consensus); EBIT: € 179.0 M (+121.0%); Net Profit: € -39.0 M (€ -91.0 M in 1Q'23);

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

CELLNEX: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: Ventas: 946,0 M euros (-4,0% vs -3,6% BS(e) y -3,9% consenso); EBITDA: 778,0 M euros (+6,6% vs +6,2% BS(e) y +6,4% consenso); EBIT: 179,0 M euros (+121,0%); BDI: -39,0 M euros (-91,0 M euros en 1T'23).

Ana Arjona-Martinez ... (+2)
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Antonio Rodriguez Vicens

Cellnex : Results with no surprises maintain a healthy growth rate

>Organic growth and EBITDA both in line with expectations - Cellnex’s Q1 2024 results were in line with our estimates and with the consensus at the operating level: recurring EBITDA of € 778m vs € 777m from the consensus and € 777m for ODDO BHFe; and EBITDAaL of € 535m vs € 536m from the consensus and € 536m for ODDO BHFe. Organic growth remained strong in the tower business, at a +6.6% increase in PoPs in Q1 2024 (+6.4% in FY 2023), which was still slightly above the...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CELLNEX, IBERDROLA, FERROVIAL, ROVI. EUROPA: AIRBUS, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, SAFRAN, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los resultados y la macro lastran las bolsas Tras tres días de ganancias, los r...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Cellnex (Neutral, €34, +9%) Q1 24 – Steady quarter with M&A news to co...

Financial results in the quarter were in line with expectations with modest underlying tenancy growth and there were no material new updates on M&A.

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 25 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEW...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AEDAS HOMES, CELLNEX, EBRO FOODS, IBERDROLA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets deflate European stock markets started the session off well but began to deflate, eventually closing with losses after US stock markets opened in the red and following a new rise in sovereign de...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 25 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AEDAS, CELLNEX, EBRO FOODS, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: BASF, BNP, PERNOD RICARD, SANOFI, SCHNEIDER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Jornada de más a menos Las bolsas europeas comenzaron bien la jornada, pero fueron perdiendo fuelle...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

Nous réitérons notre recommandation Surperformance (conviction Midcap Europe) avec un objectif de cours et des prévisions de résultats relevés. L’optimisme est de rigueur sur les perspectives d’activité, les marges offrent encore un potentiel d’amélioration, le bilan est sous-leveragé, les multiples de valorisation restent attractifs et le fondateur achète des actions. - ...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/09/2024 Date Performance sin...

We reiterate our Outperform recommendation on the stock (European midcap top pick). We have revised up our target price and earnings forecasts. Bright prospects ahead for revenues, still room for margin improvement, the balance sheet is underleveraged, valuation multiples remain attractive and the founder is buying shares. - ...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Altice: after debt restructuring, a commercial tour de force?

>Our scenario for the restructuring of Altice France - Faced with a debt wall in 2027-2029 (€ 22bn) and already negative FCF, Altice France has opted to force the hand of its creditors by attempting to impose the restructuring of its debt. We see three scenarios: 1/ A general agreement: assuming the reinitialisation of leverage in 2024 at 3.7x and the use of the ~€ 5.4bn proceeds from divestments (Altice Media, La Poste Mobile, XP Fibre, data centres), we calcul...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Altice : après le tour de force obligataire, un tour de force c...

>Notre scenario de restructuration d’Altice France - Face à son mur de dette sur 2027-2029 (22 Md€) et ses FCF déjà négatifs, Altice France a choisi de forcer la main de ses créanciers en tentant d’imposer une restructuration de sa dette. Notre équipe crédit, dans une note publiée ce matin, perçoit trois scenarios : 1/ Un accord général : en supposant une réinitialisation du levier 2024 à 3,7x et l’utilisation de ~5,4 Md€ de produits de cession (Altice Medi...

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

CELLNEX: CMD’24 - NUEVA ESTRATEGIA, MISMA SOLIDEZ (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABA...

Nuevo plan estratégico; más caja disponible y más centrado en el accionista. COMPRAR Estimamos dividendo acumulado 2023-30 de 2.997 M euros (yield del 13%, empezando en 2026: c.2,2% yield), con una caja generada acumulada de 8.478 M euros (36% capitalización) vs > 10.000 M euros de su guidance (apalancada entre 2026-2030). Haciendo el ejercicio con el apalancamiento, obtendríamos un rango entre los 7.828 M euros (35% capitalización) y los 12.336 M euros (55% capitalización) en la parte más agres...

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