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Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos / Mobility: Subaru (7270 JT) – Engineering a Gradual Transit...

Tags: Subaru Corporation (7270 JT), Toyota Motor (7203 JT), Honda Motor (7267 JT), Chery Automobile (pvt), , Suzuki Motor (7269 JT), Mazda Motor (7261 JT) Analyst Julie Boote reviews Subaru's FY24, FY25 and FY26 earnings prospects as it navigates changes it needs to make to its powertrain offering and model line-up. Retooling for hybrid models is a near-term disrupter, with benefits set to materialise further out.

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos: North American Tariffs to Hit Japanese Automakers

As the US threat of 25% imports tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico has now become a reality, Julie Boote outlines the impact on the Japanese automakers

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos / New Mobility: Auto sector FY24 Q2 Results and Outlook Revi...

As the earning season has concluded, investors are taking stock about the auto sector’s FY24 Q2 results and updated guidance numbers. Analyst Julie Boote reviews the key developments in the industry, and how these could affect automakers’ earnings in the second half of the fiscal year.

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos / New Mobility: The Fraught Path to Electrification

Given that the EV market is not a free market, led by demand and supply, but a distorted market, moved by political intervention in the form of subsidies (or lack of), making EV sales forecasts is very challenging indeed. This is a headache for analysts, but even more so for auto companies with a ten-year planning horizon. In this report, we outline the sales situation for different regions, as well as providing an outlook based on currently available information.

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos / Mobility: ASEAN Auto Markets in Doldrums

ASEAN has long been considered one of the global auto markets with the best growth prospects, but expectations have not been met. With China in trouble and ASEAN auto sales lacklustre, Japanese automakers need to review their positioning in Asia. Analyst Julie Boote provides a short-term outlook for the ASEAN auto market, and discusses Japanese assemblers’ options within this context.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Bullish Outlook Intact; U.S. Dollar (DXY) Rolling Over We continue to see more and more global indexes and Sectors breaking out to new highs. This is classic bull market behavior. Our bullish outlook (since early November 2023) remains intact; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. U.S. Dollar (DXY); 10-Year Treasury Yield. We continue to get more evidence that suggests the U.S. dollar (DXY) is rolling over; last week we discussed the failed breakout a...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Market Strategy: How Japan Transformed from a Bear Market to a Bul...

In our 2010 Japan Perspective, written close to the nadir of the bear market, we discussed what was wrong with Japan, but also what it was starting to do right. Fourteen years on, the Nikkei 225 - though not yet Topix - has hit a new all-time high. This report looks at how Japan built on those things that were going right, while also starting to address what else needed to be done, and looks at whether more is needed to be done if the market rally is to continue from here.

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos, New Mobility: EV Markets in Trouble – Have the Japanese Bee...

While Japan’s automakers have upped their game in the EV space, they remain laggards on the global stage. With the EV markets now in trouble, analyst Julie Boote assesses whether or not the Japanese assemblers have been vindicated in their more cautious approach to electrification.

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos / Mobility: Overview of Japanese Autos FY23 Q1 Results and O...

This has been an impressive earning season for Japanese automakers, with FY23 Q1 net sales and OP of the seven listed companies all surging by double-digit rates. Analyst Julie Boote takes us through the factors behind the performance and highlights the positives and negatives to consider going forward.

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos / New Mobility: Subaru (7270 JT) – Strong Earnings Growth o...

Julie Boote updates her views on Subaru's prospects. She is positive about Subaru's trajectory as well as its profit potential relative to its peers'. Meanwhile, the stock is cheap.

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos / New Mobility: Where Are Japan’s Auto Companies Headed?

It has been a mixed earning season for Japanese automakers, although most are predicting strong profit growth for FY23. Despite the positive outlook, the market’s reaction has been lukewarm, due to concerns over overoptimism for sales growth and rapidly rising expenses. Analyst Julie Boote explores what the most important share price drivers could be for the seven listed automakers for FY23.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Market Strategy: Japan Perspective for 2023

At the beginning of every year we publish our PSA Perspective, a report intended as a long shelf-life look at the year ahead. This year Pelham Smithers discusses Japan's economy, the outlook for the stock market, and some stand-out themes and developments for the year. These include the digital yen and the demise of live action entertainment in Japan. We also update our noted PSA Focus List of stocks. Table of Contents Overview 3 Background: 4 Japan’s Economic Outlook 5 Ja...

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos: The Global Electric Vehicle Market 2023

The transition to electrification remains the key focus for the auto industry, with EV sales performances by market and automaker being closely watched by investors. In 2022, China solidified its position as the global EV stronghold, a success that is encouraging its automakers to expand globally. Despite supply disruptions and concerns over falling subsidies and rising prices, the outlook for the EV market remains positive. In this in-depth report, analyst Julie Boote reviews major developments...

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos / New Mobility: Subaru (7270 JT) – Production Boost Key to E...

Subaru’s recovery efforts have been hampered by large supply chain disruptions due to global auto chip shortages. A ramp up in production combined with strong fundamental demand for Subaru cars should help the automaker to lift sales and improve margins. The negative impact of macro-economic headwinds should be offset by the benefit of the rapidly depreciating Yen. Analyst Julie Boote discusses Subaru’s FY22 outlook.

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos: Review of FY21 Results and FY22 Outlook

This report reviews the FY21 results and the FY22 outlook. Analyst Julie Bootes points to the large discrepancies on assumptions.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Market Strategy for FY22 Q2

The Japanese stock market is in an interesting phase where the Bank of Japan is supporting the bond market rather than the stock market. While this phase lasts, the dollar should remain above ¥120/$ and perhaps strengthen further against the yen. This report looks at what this phase might mean for the Japanese stock market as a whole, and for stock selection. The PSA Focus List has also been updated.

With a more favourable environment, SUBARU improves to Slightly Positi...

SUBARU (JP), a company active in the Automobiles industry, is favoured by a more supportive environment. The independent financial analyst theScreener has confirmed the fundamental rating of the title, which shows 3 out of 4 stars, as well as its unchanged, moderately risky market behaviour. The title leverages a more favourable environment and raises its general evaluation to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date January 18, 2022, the closing price was JPY 2,183.00 and its potential was es...

Joel Scheiman ... (+6)
  • Joel Scheiman
  • Julie Boote
  • Lindsay Whipp
  • Pelham Smithers
  • Thao Nguyen
  • William Nestuk

PSA Market Strategy: The Japan Perspective 2022

Although the Japanese economy, politics and stock market seem to be where they were this time last year, there is a seismic shift going on in the way the Japanese stock market behaves that could make investing in Japan in 2022 quite different to previous years. We look at how and why this shift has taken place and what it means for investing in Japan in the coming year.

DAI DAIMLER AG
TTWO TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE INC.
TSLA TESLA INC
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
JNJ JOHNSON & JOHNSON
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
ADBE ADOBE INC.
PRU PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC.
RAND RANDSTAD NV
6770 ALPS ALPINE CO. LTD.
9437 NTT DOCOMO INC.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
4922 KOSE CORPORATION
4519 CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
6367 DAIKIN INDUSTRIES LTD.
7735 SCREEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD
9020 EAST JAPAN RAILWAY COMPANY
7717 V-TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD.
4307 NOMURA RESEARCH INSTITUTE LTD.
4324 DENTSU GROUP INC.
7741 HOYA CORPORATION
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
6586 MAKITA CORPORATION
4911 SHISEIDO COMPANY LIMITED
4188 MITSUBISHI CHEMICAL HOLDINGS CORPORATION
8002 MARUBENI CORPORATION
8058 MITSUBISHI CORPORATION
6728 ULVAC INC.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7915 NISSHA CO.LTD.
7731 NIKON CORP.
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
8604 NOMURA HOLDINGS INC.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
4063 SHIN-ETSU CHEMICAL CO LTD
6758 SONY CORPORATION
4502 TAKEDA PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
6201 TOYOTA INDUSTRIES CORP.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
9021 WEST JAPAN RAILWAY COMPANY
2413 M3 INC.
6098 RECRUIT HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
6178 JAPAN POST HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
7270 SUBARU CORP
6506 YASKAWA ELECTRIC CORPORATION
TTD TRADE DESK INC. CLASS A
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
GM GENERAL MOTORS COMPANY
AAPL APPLE INC.
40978Z HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES CO
0530153D ALPHABET HOLDING CO INC
VOW VOLKSWAGEN (VOW GR)
9434 SOFTBANK CORP.
4449 GIFTEE
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
3491 JT BASE CO.
TSE:4477 LTD.
6967 JT GA TECHNOLOGIES
BASE INC
SHINKO ELECTRIC (6967 JT)
Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

PSA Autos Technology: The Global Electric Vehicle Market 2022

Over the last two years, global EV sales have accelerated, moving from niche market to mass market. Concerned about rising CO2 levels, national governments are supporting the electrification of private transport, and consumers are increasingly willing to ‘go electric’. Established automakers have drawn up EV and battery strategies, trying to remain key players in this new EV world. In this report, analyst Julie Boote outlines the different paths dedicated EV players and traditional OEMS are tak...

Julie Boote
  • Julie Boote

Japan’s BEV Market – Toyota Finally Drives Home a Strong Response

Japan's and Toyota's electrification efforts seem to develop in parallel: the Japanese government is increasingly committing to the creation of a domestic BEV market, and Toyota significantly raised its BEV sales target for 2030. Accordingly, we expect to see strong growth in Japanese BEV sales and a more prominent position for Toyota among global players.

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