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Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

WB 4Q23 Results: Near Term Visibility Remains Limited

What’s new: Weibo’s reported 4Q23 revs were above consensus and our expectations. Visibility remains limited in the near-term amid macro uncertainties. Rev growth could fare better in 2H than 1H partly driven by major events such as the Olympics. We lower our PT from USD20 to USD15 due to lower FY24 outlook. Our revised PT of USD15 implies 8.1x FY24E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Tian Hou
  • Tian Hou

WB: Economic Recovery In China In 2024 Is Likely to Benefit WB; Steady...

WB will report 4Q23 results on March 14th before the markets open with a 7am ET conference call. We are neutral on WB’s 4Q23 revenue performance, but the margin is likely to be better as spending is not aggressive.  China's economy in 2023 showed unexpected slow growth, which is likely to be reflected in WB’s 4Q23 earnings. However, it also provides a low comparison base for 2024. WB is likely to benefit from such a situation. China's economy has its resilience, and it is on its way to gradual r...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

WB 3Q23 Results: Visibility Remains Limited Heading into 2024

What’s new: Weibo’s reported 3Q23 results were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. Ad recovery continues to be gradual and that visibility remains limited heading into 2024. We lower our PT from USD25 to USD20 due to lower FY24 outlook. Our revised PT of USD20 implies 8.3x FY24E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

WB 3Q23 Preview: Ad Recovery in line with Expectations

What’s New: We nudge down our 3Q top-line estimates partly due to forex. Overall ad demand remains largely in-line with expectations, while margins could be stable on a sequential basis amid continued cost controls. In this note, we highlight the updates on the business including near-term outlook. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

WB 2Q23 Results: Ad Recovery Continues to be Gradual

What's new: Weibo’s reported 2Q23 top line results were largely in-line with consensus but below our expectations. Recovery could continue to be gradual in 2H as ad spending from key verticals such as FMCG could remain challenging. We maintain our PT at USD25. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Tian Hou
  • Tian Hou

WB: Expect WB To Benefit From Economic Stimulus; Positive On Outlook f...

We are neutral on WB’s 2Q23 performance but positive on the company’s outlook for 2023. The long-awaited economic stimulus policies have started to come out since late July 2023. Recently, China’s central government issued a series of intensive economic stimulus programs to boost confidence and restore economic growth. The programs not only include stimulating capital market, housing market, but also consumer and retail, and many more. Among these programs, AI and data economy are at the center....

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

WB 1Q23 Results: Ad Recovery Slower Than Anticipated

What's new: Weibo’s reported 1Q23 top line results were largely in-line with consensus but below our expectations. Overall visibility remains limited in the near-term. 2H ad recovery could be dependent on new product launches and recovery in advertiser sentiment. We maintain our PT at USD25. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

WB 4Q22 Results - Ads to Rebound Starting in 2Q

What's new: Weibo’s reported 4Q22 top line results were largely in-line with consensus and a touch below our expectations. Ads could remain challenging in 1Q amid tougher comps and conservative ad budgets for the quarter. As macro gradually improves coupled with easier comps, ads could potentially start to reaccelerate in 2Q. We maintain our PT at USD25 and maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

New Street: WB 3Q22 Results - Ads Continue to Face Headwinds

What's new: Weibo Corporation reported 3Q22 top line results came in below consensus and our expectations. Advertising could continue to face top-line pressure amid macro and covid uncertainties. We lower our PT from USD 30 to USD 25 as ads could remain challenging in the near term. Our revised PT of USD 25 implies a 12.0x FY23 P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

New Street: WB 3Q22 Preview - Trimming 4Q Rev Estimates

What’s New: We maintain our 3Q estimates, but lower 4Q outlook amid macro and covid uncertainties. In this note, we highlight the updates on the business including near-term outlook. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

New Street: WB 2Q22 Results - Soft Outlook on Visibility Concerns

What's new: Weibo Corporation reported 2Q22 results came in above consensus and our expectations. Advertising could continue to face near term top-line pressure amid macro and covid uncertainties. We maintain our PT at USD 30. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

New Street: WB 1Q22 Results - Ad Expected to Bottom in 2Q

What's new: Weibo Corporation reported 1Q22 results came in above consensus estimates and our expectations. Advertising could continue to face near term top-line pressure amid macro uncertainties and slower recovery in brand advertising as cities such as Shanghai gradually normalizes. We lower our PT from USD40 to USD30 accounting for near term visibility on the topline. Our new PT implies a 12.0x FY22E P/E. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Tian Hou
  • Tian Hou

WB: Lowering 2Q22 Estimates to Reflect The Current State Of China’s Ec...

WB will report 1Q22 results on June 1st before the US markets open with a 7am ET conference call. We are lowering our estimates for 2Q22 to reflect the negative impact from China’s zero-COVID lockdowns, particularly in Shanghai. The lockdowns have caused a slowdown in China’s economy, which worsened in March April and May. WB has many key accounts in Shanghai. We believe these accounts are not optimistic for their ad spending. WB is also impacted by the depreciation of China’s currency.  However...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

New Street: WB 4Q21 Results - Top Line Strength Challenged in the Near...

What's new: Weibo Corporation reported 4Q21 results came in above consensus estimates. Advertising revenues could continue to face near term pressure due to tougher comps in key verticals such as e-commerce live streaming and online education, coupled with downtrodden macro environment. We lower our PT from USD65 to USD40, accounting for near term visibility on the top line and increasing investments. Our new PT implies a 14.1x FY22E P/E. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Tian Hou
  • Tian Hou

WB: Less Impacted By Weakness Of The Economy Due To Better Event Budge...

WB will report 4Q21 results on March 3rd before the US market open with a 6am ET conference call. We are positive on WB’s 4Q21 and potential 1Q22 performance. As a unique social media broadcasting and discussion platform, WB attracted more events budgets for the New Year’s Eve celebration, Chinese New Year Holidays, and the Olympic Games. In addition, social topics were discussed on the platform. While the weakness in China’s economy starting from December 2021 has negative impacts to the advert...

Increased risk weighs on WEIBO CORP, penalising its rating down to Sl...

The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of WEIBO CORP (US), active in the Internet industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title still shows 1 out of 4 possible stars. Its market behaviour, however, has slightly deteriorated and will be qualified as risky moving forward. theScreener considers that these new qualifications justify an overall rating downgrade to Slightly Negative. As of the analysis date December 14, 2021, the closing price was...

Sumeet Singh
  • Sumeet Singh

Weibo Secondary Listing

Weibo raised around US$440m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. The deal was structured as a mix of primary and secondary share sale. We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous notes, Weibo Secondary Offering - Needs to come at a discount and Weibo Secondary Listing - Going down the Autohome route. In this note, we'll talk about the allocation results and the trading dynamics. In our previous notes, along with covering all of the past listings, we have also looked at the over...

Zhen Zhou Toh
  • Zhen Zhou Toh

ECM Weekly (28th November 2021)

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh
  • Sumeet Singh

Weibo Secondary Offering

Weibo plans to raise around US$470m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. The deal is structured as a mix of primary and secondary share sale. We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous note, Weibo Secondary Offering - Needs to come at a discount. In this note, we'll talk about the deal pricing and structure. In our previous notes, along with covering all of the past listings, we have also looked at the overall drivers for the secondary listings, links to which are below: Chi...

Sumeet Singh
  • Sumeet Singh

Weibo Secondary Offering

Weibo plans to raise around US$500-700m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. The company won HK listing approval and filed its PHIP on 19th Nov 2021. It will look to launch its secondary offering soon. In this note, we’ll take a look at the deal and talk about the impact of the raising. In our previous notes, along with covering all of the past listings, we have also looked at the overall drivers for the secondary listings, links to which are below: China ADRs Secondary Listing Deep-Dive: Yi...

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