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Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/22/2024 Date Performance sin...

EPS growth prospects are brighter in the US than in Europe, which is justified given the differential in the growth and inflation outlook between the two regions. However, the adjustment that has taken place on EPS in Europe is a positive factor: we are now "at the price" ahead of the cyclical recovery that is taking shape for the rest of 2024. Sector-wise, the ongoing upward revision of EPS in travel & leisure, banks and media is expected to continue apace and provide support for sec...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 22/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

Les perspectives de croissance des BPA sont supérieures aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe, ce qui est justifié étant donné le différentiel de perspectives de croissance et d’inflation entre les deux zones. L’ajustement qui a eu lieu sur les BPA en Europe est toutefois un facteur positif : nous sommes désormais « au prix » avant la reprise cyclique qui se dessine pour la suite de 2024. Sectoriellement, la révision à la hausse en cours des BPA sur le Travel & Leisure, les banques et les Media...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 22 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLI...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: MELIÁ, MERLIN, NATURGY. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Semana de retrocesos en Europa con la excepción de la periferia El viernes volvió a ser un día de aversión al riesgo por el riesgo geopolítico pero los miedos se fueron d...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : Continued growth for European hotels in March

>European hotels up 7.7% in March - In March, RevPAR growth came to +7.7% y-o-y for western Europe (according to STR figures), driven by both price increases (+6.2%) and a continued improvement in occupancy rates (OR up +0.9 pt). With the marked growth seen in January (+11.7%) and February (+9.3%), the cumulative change in Q1 works out at +8.9% (+1.7 pt for OR and +5.7% for ADR); for now, this is better than forecast and could, ultimately, render the estimates for lim...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 22 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABAD...

NEWS SUMMARY: MELIÁ HOTELS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, NATURGY. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. A week of losses in Europe, except in the periphery Friday was another day of risk aversion due to the geopolitical risk, but fears began to subside throughout the session, although this was not enough to prevent the...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : Croissance continue de l’hôtellerie européenne en mars

>L’hôtellerie européenne est en croissance de 7.7% en mars - En mars, la croissance des RevPAR ressort à +7.7% yoy pour l’Europe de l’Ouest (selon les chiffres STR), portée à la fois par des hausses de prix (+6.2%) et par une progression continue des taux d’occupation (TO à +0.9 pt). Avec la forte hausse enregistrée en janvier (+11.7%) et en février (+9.3%), la variation cumulée sur le T1 ressort à +8.9% (+1.7 pt sur les TO et +5.7% sur les prix), c’est un chiffre qui...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 12 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T'24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLI...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, IBERDROLA, MELIÁ. EUROPA: UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El BCE no para la recogida de beneficios Tras una breve transición durante la comparecencia de la presidenta del BCE donde el Euro STOXX 50 llegó ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 12 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABAD...

mNEWS SUMMARY: FERROVIAL, IBERDROLA, MELIÁ HOTELS. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. ECB unable to stem profit taking After a brief period during the ECB President’s speech when the EuroSTOXX 50 managed to dilute its losses, European stock markets began to fall once again, but this time dragged down by ...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/20/2024

We are upgrading the energy sector to Overweight vs Neutral (excluding Oil Services, already on Overweight). The recent rebound in oil prices is set to continue, driven by short, medium and long-term factors: value, cyclical, little debt and good shareholder returns. Technical analysis reveals a strong trend that is only just beginning. GALP enters our Large Caps list; CellNex exits it. - ...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 20/03/2024

Nous upgradons le secteur énergie à Surpondérer vs Neutre (hors Oil Services déjà à Surpondérer). Le rebond récent des prix du pétrole va se poursuivre, soutenu par des facteurs à court, moyen et long terme. Le secteur dispose en outre de 4 atouts dans la configuration de marché actuelle : value, cyclique, peu endetté et bon retour à l’actionnaire. L’analyse technique révèle une tendance forte qui ne fait que commencer. GALP fait son entrée dans notre liste Large Caps ; CellNex en so...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : European hotels: Spain stands out again

>European hotels still on course at the start of the year - Despite the geopolitical impacts and uncertainties surrounding the cycle, European hotels continue to perform well. In February, RevPAR growth came to +9.3% y-o-y, driven by both price increases (+5.8%) and steady growth in occupancy rates (occupancy rate up +3.3 points). With the strong increase recorded in January (+11.7%), the cumulative YTD change in February works out at +10.7%, a very good start to the ...

Fehmi Ben Naamane ... (+2)
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Johanna Jourdain

ODDO : Hôtellerie européenne : l’Espagne, encore l’Espagne !

>L’hôtellerie européenne garde le cap en ce début d’année - Malgré les impacts géopolitiques et les incertitudes liées au cycle, l’hôtellerie européenne continue de très bien performer. En février, la croissance des RevPAR ressort à +9.3% yoy, portée à la fois par des hausses de prix (+5.8%) et par une progression continue des taux d’occupation (TO à +3.3 pt). Avec la forte hausse enregistrée en janvier (+11.7%), la variation cumulée en février ytd ressort à +10.7%, s...

Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

Melia : Encore de l’upside en 2024. OC relevé à 8.2 €, opinion Surperf...

>Activité au beau fixe au T4 portée par l’Espagne - Les résultats annuels de Melia sont ressortis 2% supérieurs aux attentes sur l’EBITDA. Une performance qui reflète une activité soutenue au T4, principalement grâce à l’Espagne (45% des revenus chez Melia) qui surperforme largement les autres géographies, et une amélioration notable en zone Amériques, par rapport à un T3 difficile. On avait déjà en tête que l’Espagne allait surperformer au T4 (tel que reflétés dans l...

Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

Melia : Further upside in 2024. Target price increased to € 8.2, Outpe...

>Brisk business in Q4 driven by Spain - Melia’s full-year results came in +2% ahead of expectations on EBITDA. This performance reflected brisk activity in Q4, thanks mainly to Spain (45% of Melia’s revenues), which largely outperformed the other regions, and a notable improvement in the Americas region compared with a challenging Q3. We already expected that Spain would outperform in Q4 (as reflected in STR market figures), but the 22% increase in RevPAR was a surpri...

Rafael Bonardell
  • Rafael Bonardell

MELIÁ HOTELS: 4Q’23 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

4Q'23 vs. 4Q'22 Results Sales: € 450.5 M (+7.6% vs. +6.9% BS(e) and -3.5% consensus); EBITDA: € 99.6 M (-2.5% vs. -13.6% BS(e) and -8.6% consensus); FY2023 vs. FY2022 Results Sales: € 1.929 Bn (+14.0% vs. +13.8% BS(e) and +11.2% consensus); EBITDA: € 486.5 M (+12.9% vs. +10.3% BS(e) and +11.5% consensus);

Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

Melia : Continued momentum in Q4 which strengthens our Outperform rati...

>Full-year results a shade above forecasts, Spain drives the group’s performance in Q4 - Yesterday evening, Melia reported 2023 results that beat expectations. Full-year revenue at group level was € 1,932m (Visible Alpha consensus at € 1,881m, ODDO BHF at € 1,823m), up 14% y-o-y. These figures reflect the continuation of strong activity with RevPAR at owned/leased hotels up 10.6% y-o-y in Q4 (vs +6.6% in Q3 and +15.4% in Q2). By region, we note the exceptional perform...

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