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Jonathan Moreland
  • Jonathan Moreland

InsiderInsights Weekly Report: August 24, 2024

InsiderInsights Ratings of Companies with Open-Market Form 4 Purchases; Sales Filed at the SEC on the date above. We separate the real investment intelligence from the noise. Saving you time, and improving your research process

Yum China Holdings Inc: 1 director

A director at Yum China Holdings Inc bought 3,000 shares at 33.740USD and the significance rating of the trade was 50/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years...

Jonathan Moreland
  • Jonathan Moreland

InsiderInsights Weekly Report: August 17, 2024

InsiderInsights Ratings of Companies with Open-Market Form 4 Purchases; Sales Filed at the SEC on the date above. We separate the real investment intelligence from the noise. Saving you time, and improving your research process

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Yum China (9987 HK): 1Q24: Earnings beat; high base in 2Q24.

Yum China’s 1Q24 earnings beat consensus forecasts by 7% due to better G&A cost savings. Management sees a similar high base for 2Q24, given the strong demand recovery last year and intense competition. For 2024, the focus remains on driving traffic growth through smaller ticket size item offerings and marketing campaigns. KFC recently developed a mini-store model (capex per store: Rmb0.5m) for store expansion in lower-tier cities, which is expected to enhance cost efficiency.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+14)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Thursday, May 2, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI Manufacturing PMI came in better than expected at 50.4% (-0.4ppt) and stayed in the expansionary zone for the second month. It was mainly supported by production and new orders as employment remained a drag, dropping 0.1ppt to 48.0%. Non-manufacturing hit a three-month low of 51.2%, dragged by moderation in new orders and business expectations. We expect policy support to continue and the July Politburo may see new measures being rolled out. Sector Aviation T...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+22)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Paula Ruth
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, May 2, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming Apr 24 GGR down 5% mom; downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$5.10/Target: HK$6.00) 1Q24: Results in line with better NIM performance. LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH/SELL/Rmb18.20/Target: Rmb14.38) 2023/1Q24: Below expectations; inventory write-down wipes out earnings. Downgrade to SELL. PICC Property and Casualty (2328 HK/BUY/HK$9.71/Target: HK$11.70) 1Q24: Earnings miss on higher COR and lower investment income...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Yum China Holdings Inc (9987 HK): 4Q23: Earnings beat; expect flattish...

4Q23 earnings beat consensus forecast by 51% due to higher-than-expected top-line growth (7% higher than consensus’) and effective cost management. Management hopes to achieve flattish same-store sales and stable core profit in 1Q24, given the high base and uncertain CNY sales. Yum China expects dividend to increase 23% to US$0.16/share, implying a 30% dividend payout, and plans to further increase the share repurchase amount to US$1.25b in 2024.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+8)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Thursday, February 8, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$74.90/Target: HK$100.00) 3QFY24: Increased shareholder return plan; pivoting focus to reignite e-commerce growth. Yum China Holdings Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$332.80) 4Q23: Earnings beat; expect flattish same-store sales and stable core profit in 1Q24. Update Aier Eye Hospital Group Co (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb13.97/Target: Rmb21.00) Expects solid business expansion despite weak economic conditions. TRADERS’ CORNER China Power International (2...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+14)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, February 08, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$74.90/Target: HK$100.00): 3QFY24: Increased shareholder return plan; pivoting focus to reignite e-commerce growth. Yum China Holdings Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$332.80): 4Q23: Earnings beat; expect flattish same-store sales and stable core profit in 1Q24. Update Aier Eye Hospital Group Co (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb13.97/Target: Rmb21.00): Expects solid business expansion despite weak economic conditions. MALAYSIA Results Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia (CA...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Catering: Pick Haidilao in the near term on better operating lev...

We attribute Haidilao’s share price surge of 8% on 10 Jan 23 in reaction to the strong table turnover rate growth. However, we reiterate our conservative view on the catering sector in view of the low visibility of an economic recovery and downside pressure on net margins from the market’s aggressive promotions. Within the sector, Haidilao is our top pick. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on the sector.

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Yum China (9987 HK): 3Q23: Earnings missed; softening demand extended ...

Yum China’s 3Q23 results missed consensus estimates mainly due to foreign exchange impact and higher staff costs. Management sees recovery to be non-linear, as demand softened in Sep 23 and extended into Oct 23. According to management, 4Q23 margin may be impacted by a softer demand recovery and wage inflation. Management kept its updated net new store opening target unchanged, and the company has completed 72- 83% of the full-year target as of end-Sep 23.

Greater China Research Team ... (+5)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Terence Chiu

Greater China Daily: Thursday, November 2, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls We add a mix of defensives and turnaround stocks − COSCO Shipping, CR Mixc, Great Wall Motor, Innovent, Link REIT and NetEase − to our BUY list. Results Yum China (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$356.20) 3Q23: Earnings missed; softening demand extended into October. Update Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH/BUY/Rmb1,780.99/Target: Rmb2,488.00) Price hike of core Feitian products to boost earnings. TRADERS’ CORNER China Power International Developme...

Greater China Research Team ... (+14)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kochakorn Sutaruksanon
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, November 02, 2023

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls: We add a mix of defensives and turnaround stocks − COSCO Shipping, CR Mixc, Great Wall Motor, Innovent, Link REIT and NetEase − to our BUY list. Results Yum China (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$356.20): 3Q23: Earnings missed; softening demand extended into October. Update Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH/BUY/Rmb1,780.99/Target: Rmb2,488.00): Price hike of core Feitian products to boost earnings. INDONESIA Results Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+2)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Yum China (9987 HK): More positive outlook: Accelerated store openings...

Yum China expects full-year same-store sales to recover to 90% of 2019’s level, implying a sequential recovery in 2H23. Despite more aggressive promotions in the sector, management showed confidence in the company by accelerating new store openings in 2023 on the back of a strong supply chain, improved labour cost efficiency and better unit economics per store. It has set a medium-term target of 20,000 stores by 2026, and aims for double-digit EPS and dividend growth for 2024- 26.

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