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Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 28 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, OHLA, REIT SECTOR, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Europe falling once again, with the IBEX back below 11,600 European stock markets fell after the news of the Trump administration’s tariff plans and the political and fiscal uncertainty in France. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Real Estate and Household Goods, while Technology and Construction suffered the biggest losses. On the macro side, from the ECB, I. Schnabel pushed to ease monetary policy gradually and come...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 28 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, OHLA, SOCIMIS, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. De nuevo Europa a la baja y el Ibex pierde los 11.600 puntos Caídas en los mercados europeos con la resaca de los planes arancelarios de la administración Trump y la incertidumbre política y fiscal de Francia. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Inmobiliario y Hogar mientras que Tecnología y Construcción sufrieron las mayores correcciones. Por el lado macro, desde el BCE, I. Schnabel abogó por rela...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 26 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: FLUIDRA, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. EuroSTOXX 50 back above 4,800 points The possibility of new stimulus measures in China and the more moderate messages on the geopolitical front spurred gains in Europe. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Consumer Goods and Travel & Leisure, whereas Retail and Energy (Israel and Lebanon would be seeking an agreement to end the war that is dragging down Brent prices) suffered the biggest losses. On the macro side, in Germany November’s IFO...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FLUIDRA, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. El Euro STOXX 50 recupera los 4.800 puntos La posibilidad de nuevas medidas de estímulo de China y los mensajes más moderados en el plano geopolítico animaron las subidas en Europa. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron B. Consumo y Viajes&Ocio mientras que Retail y Energía (Israel y el Líbano estarían buscando un acuerdo para poner fin a la guerra, lo que lastró al Brent), sufrieron las mayores caídas. Por el lado...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/20/2024

Efforts to revitalise the five brands that make up the Lanvin Group are under way and should pay off in the medium term. However, at this stage of development (critical mass not yet achieved for some brands, negative profitability and cash burn) and in a consumer environment that does not yet point to a rebound, we prefer to remain cautious on the share. We are initiating coverage with a Neutral rating, with a target price of $ 1.80, based on a DCF valuation. - ...

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 20/11/2024

Les efforts de redynamisation sont en cours pour les 5 marques qui constituent Lanvin Group et devraient porter leurs fruits à moyen terme. Toutefois, à ce stade de développement (taille critique encore non atteinte sur certaines marques, rentabilité négative et consommation de cash) et dans un environnement de consommation n’indiquant pas encore de rebond, nous préférons rester encore prudents sur le titre. Nous initions à Neutre, avec un OC à 1.8 $ résultant d’une valorisation par D...

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

TALGO: 9M’24 RESULTS AND CHANGE OF T.P. TO UNDER REVISION (ANÁLISIS BA...

3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 151.7 M (-16.5% vs. -2.9% consensus); EBITDA: € 16.8 M (-43.1% vs. -29.5% consensus); Net Profit: € -7.9 M (vs. € 6.9 M consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 497.8 M (+5.8% vs. +11.1% consensus); EBITDA: € 57.7 M (-10.5% vs. -4.3% consensus); Net Profit: € 6.7 M (vs. € 22 M consensus);

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

TALGO: RDOS. 9MESES’24 Y CAMBIO DE P.O. A BAJO REVISIÓN (ANÁLISIS BANC...

Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 151,7 M euros (-16,5% vs -2,9% consenso); EBITDA: 16,8 M euros (-43,1% vs -29,5% consenso); BDI: -7,9 M euros (vs 6,9 M euros consenso). Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 497,8 M euros (+5,8% vs +11,1% consenso); EBITDA: 57,7 M euros (-10,5% vs -4,3% consenso); BDI: 6,7 M euros (vs 22 M euros consenso).

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Talgo : Q3 2024 results well below expectations prompt the group to lo...

>Q3 2024: Revenues down 17% and EBITDA margin of 11.1% - Talgo yesterday evening reported Q3 2024 results well below expectations.Revenues came in at € 152m (the consensus at € 176m), down 17% on Q3 2023. Over 9M 2024, sales are still up 6%, with the acceleration of ongoing projects (DB, DSB). We believe that the sharp slowdown in Q3 is due to the failure to reach certain milestones on these two projects during the quarter.The EBITDA margin stood at 11.1% (c...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

Talgo : Un T3 largement inférieur aux attentes conduit le groupe à rév...

>T3 2024 : CA en recul de ~17% et marge d’EBITDA de 11.1% - Talgo a publié hier soir des résultats T3 2024 largement inférieurs aux attentes.Le chiffre d’affaires atteint 152 M€ (css à 176 M€), en recul de près de 17% vs T3 2023. Sur 9M, le CA est toujours en hausse de 6% avec l’accélération de l’exécution des projets en cours (DB, DSB). Le fort ralentissement du T3 est, selon nous, expliqué par la non-atteinte de certains milestones sur ces deux projets lors du ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 20 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, ENDESA, GRIFOLS, POSSIBLE TAX CHANGES, TALGO. Russia shakes markets The threat of using nuclear weapons by Russia after Ukraine used its long-range missiles on Russian territory led to corrections in European stock markets that eased throughout the session after the Foreign Minister S. Lavrov stressed that Russia does not wish nor expect a nuclear war. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Real Estate and Pharma were the only sectors ending with gains vs. Banks and Automobiles that ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 20 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, GRIFOLS, IMPUESTOS ESPAÑA, TALGO. EUROPA: NOKIA. Rusia agita los mercados La amenaza de uso de armas nucleares por parte de Rusia después de que Ucrania utilizase sus misiles de largo alcance sobre territorio ruso deparó una sesión de caídas en Europa, que fueron moderándose a lo largo de la sesión después de que el ministro de exteriores ruso S. Lavrov remarcase que el país no desea ni espera una guerra nuclear. Así, dentro del STOXX 600...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ASML 2024 CMD: What did we learn?

ASML hosted its 2024 CMD last week. This note follows our initial reaction on the company’s updated financial targets and our recent updated perspective on the broader semicap equipment sector and ASML. The event was particularly rich and will provide us with research topics for months to come. For a summary of our main takeaways, please follow the link below.

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/15/2024

Swiss-based Accelleron was formed from the spin-off of ABB’s highly profitable turbocharger division in 2022. We view the share as a promising investment on 1/ market leadership in an attractive niche, 2/ about ~40% ROCE, 3/ conversion of ~80% of EBITDA into cash, leading to fast deleveraging, and a solid base for shareholder remuneration (75% pay out), and 4/ strong long-term visibility linked to a ~75% service share, the bulk of which is recurring. Despite an already strong stock pe...

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

ASML HOLDING NV: MENSAJES DEL INVESTOR DAY 2024 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADE...

Del Investor Day’24, celebrado ayer por la tarde en Holanda, destacamos los siguientes mensajes:

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASML : Successful CMD, outlook broadly unchanged, but much more AI-exp...

>Outperform rating maintained after CMD, TP € 950, or 41% upside - ASML yesterday held its 2024 CMD, during which it reaffirmed its 2030 guidance (issued initially in 2022) for revenues of € 44-60bn and a gross margin of 56-60%. This confirmation, coming less a month after the warning on 2025, was a relief (stock at +7%), as the group’s long-term outlook remains as solid. We found the new management very clear on what has changed since 2022, i.e. negatives with market...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 15 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS B...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CAIXABANK, COLONIAL, MERLIN. EUROPA: ASML, SANOFI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El BCE con el objetivo casi cumplido El Euro STOXX 50 tuvo su mejor día desde finales de septiembre mientras las ...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASML : Un CMD réussi, des perspectives globalement inchangées, mais av...

>Opinion Surperformance réitérée après le CMD, OC 950 €, soit un upside de 41% - Hier ASML a tenu son CMD 2024, au cours duquel le groupe a réitéré ses objectifs 2030 (donnés initialement en 2022) d’un CA de 44 à 60 Md€ et d’une marge brute de 56/60%. Cette confirmation, venant moins d’un mois après l’avertissement sur 2025, a été un soulagement (titre à +7%) car les perspectives LT du groupe sont toujours aussi solides. Nous avons trouvé le nouveau management très cl...

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