During the Labour Day holiday, tourism and catering continued to record strong performances, while DF per capita spending showed a downward trend. We reiterate our key theses for the consumer sector, highlighting companies with: a) overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) upside potential of improving operating efficiency, or c) near-term catalysts. We keep Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks, but remove Galaxy from the stock picks. Mainta...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
China’s EV sales picked up strongly last week. Except for Li Auto, most EV companies in China witnessed buoyant sales growth during the week. Tesla saw the fastest wow sales growth due to price cuts, while Aito posted the sharpest wow sales growth, given the ramp-up of the new M9 deliveries. This week, we also have our takeaways from Beijing Auto Show. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Tuopu and Yadea. Top SELLs: Li Auto and XPeng. Remove BYD from the top SELL list.
The HSI and MSCI China rose 7.4% and 6.4% mom respectively in April, lifted by news of a stock connect scheme expansion and further easing of restrictions on property purchases in China. With the July Politburo likely to see further supportive policy rollout, we are adding beneficiaries of improving domestic consumption − CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou and Tencent − to our BUY list, and closing out our SELL calls.
We are removing GALP from our ODDO BHF European Large Caps list. The stock has chalked up a performance of +31.3% since its inclusion in the list on 20 March. Our analyst is adopting today a Neutral recommendation (vs Outperform) on the stock. - ...
During the conference call, management tried to maintain a subtle equilibrium between presenting stronger-than-expected Q1 results and tempering somewhat analysts' optimism for FY24, as evidenced by a CSS estimate (EUR1.02bn) already standing well above ADS' revised guidance of "around EUR700m". We
>Continued erosion of Cars fundamentals - MBG reported subdued Q1 results Tuesday morning, below expectations (adjusted EBIT 5% below consensus, -10% for the Cars division), see First Take. The group reported a marked erosion of its earnings and margins in the Cars division (adjusted EBIT € 2.3bn, -44% y-o-y, margin 9.0%, -580bp y-o-y), partly offset by a still very solid performance from Vans (adjusted EBIT € 0.8bn, +11% y-o-y, margin 16.3%, -20bp y-o-y). The group ...
>Poursuite de l’érosion des fondamentaux de Cars - MBG a publié hier matin des résultats T1 mitigés et inférieurs aux attentes (EBIT ajusté 5% en dessous du css, -10% pour la division Cars), voir First Take. Le groupe a fait état d’une forte érosion de ses résultats et de ses marges dans la division Cars (EBIT ajusté 2,3 Md€, -44% y-o-y, marge 9,0%, -580 pb y-o-y, partiellement compensée par une performance toujours très solide dans les Vans (EBIT ajusté 0,8 Md€, +11%...
NIO Inc. Provides April 2024 Delivery Update NIO delivered 15,620 vehicles in April 2024, increasing by 134.6% year-over-yearNIO delivered 45,673 vehicles year-to-date in 2024, increasing by 21.2% year-over-year Cumulative deliveries of NIO vehicles reached 495,267 as of April 30, 2024 SHANGHAI, China, May 01, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO; HKEX: 9866; SGX: NIO) (“NIO” or the “Company”), a pioneer and a leading company in the premium smart electric vehicle market, today announced its April 2024 delivery results. NIO delivered 15,620 vehicles in April 2024, representing a ...
BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...
L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...
BYD’s 1Q24 net profit came in at Rmb4,569m (+10.6% yoy/-47.3% qoq), in line with our estimate but below consensus forecast. Core net profit grew only 5.2% yoy and plunged 58.8% qoq to Rmb3,752m. The 1Q24 earnings miss came from lower margins. A further consensus earnings downgrade is on the cards. We keep our 2024-26 earnings estimates at Rmb29b p.a., 21-48% below consensus forecast. Maintain SELL. Target price: HK$160.00.
>Q1 below dragged by weak profitability for Cars - Mercedes-Benz this morning reported Q1 results that came in weak and below expectations (adj. EBIT 5% below consensus with Cars 10% below). MBG reported Q1 revenues of €35.9bn, -4% y-o-y, broadly in line with expectations (company-compiled css €35.2bn, ODDO BHF € 34.9bn), while adj. EBIT was € 3.60bn, down -34% y-o-y, below expectations (css € 3.79bn, ODDO BHF € 4.01bn), and net profit was € 3.0bn, -25% y-o-yHow...
>Q1 below dragged by weak profitability for Cars - Mercedes-Benz this morning reported Q1 results that came in weak and below expectations (adj. EBIT 5% below consensus with Cars 10% below). MBG reported Q1 revenues of €35.9bn, -4% y-o-y, broadly in line with expectations (company-compiled css €35.2bn, ODDO BHF € 34.9bn), while adj. EBIT was € 3.60bn, down -34% y-o-y, below expectations (css € 3.79bn, ODDO BHF € 4.01bn), and net profit was € 3.0bn, -25% y-o-yHow...
In 1Q24, Midea’s smart home solutions business recorded revenue growth of 11% yoy, with overseas business expansion making great efforts through new channels and in new markets. We are in favour of Midea’s overseas expansion achievements, and we believe the still robust AC production planning data for 2Q24 will boost the sentiment of AC makers. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of Rmb76.20.
>Europe strong, North America still down - Today, adidas gave final Q1 2024 numbers after the pre-release mid-April. Q1 sales grew 8% excluding FX with 5% underlying growth and 3% from Yeezy. Regions: North America improved sequentially but was still down 4% on lower sell-in to wholesale. Europe was very strong with +14% and China with +8% did OK supported by wholesale and e-com. Segments: footwear grew 13% thanks to lifestyle (terrace was mentioned) and football whil...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, SANTANDER. EUROPA: ADIDAS, MERCEDES BENZ GROUP, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex se aleja de máximos Las bolsas europeas comenzaron la semana de la Fed (miércoles) con ligeras pérdidas y caídas de las re...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$34.95/Target: HK$44.00) CMB’s 1Q24 earnings were slightly below our expectations due to disappointing fee income and higher cost ratio, partly offset by strong trading gains and lower credit impairment. 1Q24 NIM performance beat our expectation with a 2bp qoq decline and we expect it to hit its bottom by 2024 if there is another round of deposit rate cuts. Besides that, asset quality remains largely stable. Maintain BUY. Target price:...
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