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Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 03 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEWS ...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACERINOX, IBERDROLA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Doubts on the market despite an accommodating Fed With the exceptions of the IBEX and FTSE 100, it was a session of losses on European stock markets with strong sector dispersion, and where falling sovereign debt yields reeled in part o...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 03 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADAS...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACERINOX, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: AXA, LINDE, SOCIÉTE GÉNÉRALE. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Dudas en el mercado a pesar de una Fed complaciente A excepción del Ibex y FTSE 100, jornada en rojo en las principales bolsas europeas c...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Fortum : Une bonne publication mais peu de perspectives

>Un résultat supérieur aux attentes - L'EBITDA comparable s'est élevé à 622 M€ (-20 %YoY), au-dessus de nos attentes de 525 M€ et du consensus Vara de 549 M€. L’EBIT comparable s'élève à 530 M€ (-24%) au-dessus de notre prévision et du consensus à 452 M€. Le résultat net a également été meilleur qu'attendu à 430 M€ (-11%) contre 350 M€ attendus (ODDO BHF et consensus). Par division la surprise vient de l’activité génération électrique avec un EBIT de 513 M€ (-29%) con...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Fortum : A good publication but limited prospects

>Earnings top estimates - Comparable EBITDA totalled € 622m in Q1 2024 (-20% y-o-y), above our expectations of € 525m and the Vara consensus estimate of € 549m. Comparable EBIT was € 530m (-24%), above our forecast and the consensus of € 452m. Net profit was also better than expected, at € 430m (-11%) against an expected € 350m (ODDO BHF and the consensus). By division, the surprise came from the electricity generation business, which performed better than expected, ...

 PRESS RELEASE

City of Oceanside and ENGIE Announce a 30-year Comprehensive Energy P...

City of Oceanside and ENGIE Announce a 30-year Comprehensive Energy Project Oceanside, California and Houston, May 01, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The City of Oceanside, in collaboration with ENGIE North America (ENGIE), announced plans for a transformative energy initiative aimed at enhancing sustainability, reducing costs and fostering community engagement. This comprehensive 30-year initiative is projected to generate more than $26,000,000 in net savings for the City. It includes significant energy efficiency gains through a series of strategic measures, including: integrating 1.6 mega...

 PRESS RELEASE

Veolia Environnement : Mise à disposition du troisième supplément au p...

AUBERVILLIERS, France--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Regulatory News: Veolia Environnement (Paris:VIE) a obtenu l’approbation de l'Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF) sur le troisième supplément au prospectus de base de son programme d’instruments de dette (EMTN) d’un montant de 18 milliards d’euros. Le prospectus de base (numéro d’approbation n° 23-168 du 16 mai 2023), son premier supplément (numéro d’approbation n°23-366 du 25 août 2023), son deuxième supplément (numéro d’approbation n°23-470 du 10 novembre 2023) et son troisième supplément (numéro d’approbation n° 24-131 du 30 avril 2024) sont di...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/30/2024

BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/04/2024

L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Fortum : Good result but significant degradation in hedged position

>Good performance in the Q1 2024… - For the Q1 2024 Comparable EBITDA was € 622m (-20% y-o-y), above our assumptions at € 525m and Vara consensus estimate of € 549m. Comparable operating profit totalled € 530m (-24%) above our forecast and consensus at € 452m. Net income was also better than expected at € 430m (-11%) vs € 350m expected (ODDO BHF and consensus). In spite of lower prices, the drop in earnings was more limited than anticipated in the generation business ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Fortum : Good result but significant degradation in hedged position

>Good performance in the Q1 2024… - For the Q1 2024 Comparable EBITDA was € 622m (-20% y-o-y), above our assumptions at € 525m and Vara consensus estimate of € 549m. Comparable operating profit totalled € 530m (-24%) above our forecast and consensus at € 452m. Net income was also better than expected at € 430m (-11%) vs € 350m expected (ODDO BHF and consensus). In spite of lower prices, the drop in earnings was more limited than anticipated in the generation business ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 26 APRIL + 1Q'24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEW...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CELLNEX, FERROVIAL, IBERDROLA, ROVI. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Results and macro data drag down stock markets After three straight days of gains, the business results and the macro data in the US led to stock market losses on both sides of the Atlanti...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 ABRIL + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CELLNEX, IBERDROLA, FERROVIAL, ROVI. EUROPA: AIRBUS, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, SAFRAN, VINCI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los resultados y la macro lastran las bolsas Tras tres días de ganancias, los r...

 PRESS RELEASE

Veolia : Assemblée générale mixte du 25 avril 2024

PARIS--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Regulatory News: L’assemblée générale mixte des actionnaires de Veolia Environnement (Paris:VIE), réunie ce jour à la Maison de la Mutualité, sous la présidence de son président du conseil d’administration, M. Antoine Frérot, a approuvé l’ensemble des résolutions qui lui étaient soumises avec un quorum de 70,84 %. Ces résolutions portent notamment sur : l’approbation des comptes sociaux et consolidés de l’exercice 2023 ; la fixation du dividende au titre de l’exercice 2023 à 1,25 euro par action. Ce dividende payable en numéraire sera détaché de l’action le 8...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/25/2024

Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/04/2024

Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Iberdrola : 2024 set to be a good year

>Outperform rating and target price of € 14.4 maintained - Q1 2024 results came in a shade above our forecasts but were broadly in line with the consensus. As expected, the group's resilience strategy enabled it to benefit over the quarter from an increase in regulated activities thanks to the growth of the asset base, and largely offset the generation activity that benefits from a good level of hydrometry on the Iberian Peninsula and new offshore wind capacity but is...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Iberdrola : 2024 sous de bons auspices

>Opinion Surperformance et OC 14.4 € maintenus - Les résultats du T1 24 sont ressortis un peu au-dessus de nos attentes mais globalement en ligne avec le consensus. Comme attendu, la stratégie de résilience du groupe lui permet de bénéficier, sur ce trimestre, de la progression des activités régulées grâce à la croissance de la base d’actifs. Cela a permis de largement compenser une activité de génération bénéficiant certes d’un bon niveau d’hydrométrie sur la péninsu...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 25 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEW...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AEDAS HOMES, CELLNEX, EBRO FOODS, IBERDROLA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets deflate European stock markets started the session off well but began to deflate, eventually closing with losses after US stock markets opened in the red and following a new rise in sovereign de...

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