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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ASML 2024 CMD: What did we learn?

ASML hosted its 2024 CMD last week. This note follows our initial reaction on the company’s updated financial targets and our recent updated perspective on the broader semicap equipment sector and ASML. The event was particularly rich and will provide us with research topics for months to come. For a summary of our main takeaways, please follow the link below.

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/15/2024

Swiss-based Accelleron was formed from the spin-off of ABB’s highly profitable turbocharger division in 2022. We view the share as a promising investment on 1/ market leadership in an attractive niche, 2/ about ~40% ROCE, 3/ conversion of ~80% of EBITDA into cash, leading to fast deleveraging, and a solid base for shareholder remuneration (75% pay out), and 4/ strong long-term visibility linked to a ~75% service share, the bulk of which is recurring. Despite an already strong stock pe...

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

ASML HOLDING NV: MENSAJES DEL INVESTOR DAY 2024 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADE...

Del Investor Day’24, celebrado ayer por la tarde en Holanda, destacamos los siguientes mensajes:

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASML : Successful CMD, outlook broadly unchanged, but much more AI-exp...

>Outperform rating maintained after CMD, TP € 950, or 41% upside - ASML yesterday held its 2024 CMD, during which it reaffirmed its 2030 guidance (issued initially in 2022) for revenues of € 44-60bn and a gross margin of 56-60%. This confirmation, coming less a month after the warning on 2025, was a relief (stock at +7%), as the group’s long-term outlook remains as solid. We found the new management very clear on what has changed since 2022, i.e. negatives with market...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 15 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS B...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAF, CAIXABANK, COLONIAL, MERLIN. EUROPA: ASML, SANOFI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El BCE con el objetivo casi cumplido El Euro STOXX 50 tuvo su mejor día desde finales de septiembre mientras las ...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASML : Un CMD réussi, des perspectives globalement inchangées, mais av...

>Opinion Surperformance réitérée après le CMD, OC 950 €, soit un upside de 41% - Hier ASML a tenu son CMD 2024, au cours duquel le groupe a réitéré ses objectifs 2030 (donnés initialement en 2022) d’un CA de 44 à 60 Md€ et d’une marge brute de 56/60%. Cette confirmation, venant moins d’un mois après l’avertissement sur 2025, a été un soulagement (titre à +7%) car les perspectives LT du groupe sont toujours aussi solides. Nous avons trouvé le nouveau management très cl...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASML : 2030 guidance totally unchanged, not even a more precise one…

>ASML confirms its 2030 targets of € 44/60bn of revenues and a gross margin between 56% and 60% - ASML has just released a press release ahead of its CMD this afternoon (starting at 1 p.m. CET) and here are the key highlights: ASML confirms potential 2030 scenarios for annual revenue between approximately € 44bn and € 60bn, with a gross margin of between approximately 56% and 60%. The mid point of € 52bn is thus unchanged. Consensus for sales is still at around €...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ASML : 2030 guidance totally unchanged, not even a more precise one…

>ASML confirms its 2030 targets of € 44/60bn of revenues and a gross margin between 56% and 60% - ASML has just released a press release ahead of its CMD this afternoon (starting at 1 p.m. CET) and here are the key highlights: ASML confirms potential 2030 scenarios for annual revenue between approximately € 44bn and € 60bn, with a gross margin of between approximately 56% and 60%. The mid point of € 52bn is thus unchanged. Consensus for sales is still at around €...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/E.ON, Hera, ASML, Deutsche Telekom, Teleco...

Utilities - E.ON: Indebtedness increases; bonds look too expensive. Hera posted robust 9M24 results

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Agfa-Geveart: Material miss on Healthcare activities. ASML: Long-term guidance confirmed. CVC Capital Partners: Comfortably on track. DEME Group: Raises outlook, lowers capex guidance. Proximus: Pressure on CEO from another possible coalition party. SBM Offshore: Again delivering

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 14 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. IDEAS DESTACADAS Y P...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: ASML, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, PROSUS, SIEMENS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La inflación estadounidense sigue el camino esperado Las bolsas europeas terminaron con caídas, aunque el dato de i...

 PRESS RELEASE

ASML provides updated view on market opportunities at 2024 Investor Da...

ASML provides updated view on market opportunities at 2024 Investor Day meeting ASML provides updated view on market opportunities at 2024 Investor Day meetingPositioned for significant growth in revenue and profitability in this decade VELDHOVEN, the Netherlands, November 14, 2024 – At its 2024 Investor Day today, ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) provides an update on its long-term strategy as well as global market and technology trends, confirming potential 2030 scenarios for annual revenue between approximately €44 billion and €60 billion with a gross margin of between approximately 56% a...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: Maybank reportedly considering minority buyout of 31% ETIQA stake. ASML: CMD preview, opportunity to build back trust. OCI: Additional US$1bn to be returned as capital repayment

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

A-rated TMT credit investments/Better credits at similar spreads

In this report we evaluate the single-A TMT space. We argue that the notes of Wolters Kluwer, Relx, Swisscom and ASML look attractive. The notes of SAP and Telenor look to trade at fair value. As spread curves trade rather flat, we prefer notes in the belly of the curves. In this note we provide a summary of our general findings, followed by company descriptions.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semicap in 2025: All the headwinds the Street ignores

Wall Street is ignoring a number of headwinds blowing over WFE spending in 2025: Intel and Samsung giving up on their ambitious plans, China normalizing, lack of a recovery in trailing-edge logic, and only a measured recovery in memory spending. On balance, we expect WFE spending to increase by 3% next year, 9% below consensus expectations of 13% growth, resulting in 5-7% downside on revenues and 6-12% on earnings for the top 5 equipment vendors.

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