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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Breaking Out We are seeing signs that this 2+ month consolidation in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is ready to break out to the upside. Part of that is the obvious; both the SPX and QQQ are breaking out to marginal new highs. The other part that has kept us bullish this whole time is that market dynamics have remained risk-on, which we have discussed on a weekly basis. Bottom line: our outlook remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 remains above 5770-5850. Our recommen...

Adtalem Global Education Inc: 1 director

A director at Adtalem Global Education Inc sold 4,812 shares at 103.257USD and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

S&P 500 Holding Above Prior Breakout Level Yet Again As discussed throughout the first half of January, we continue to believe that tariffs will mostly be used as a negotiation tactic, and much like Trump's prior presidency, will be much less impactful than feared. We reiterated this in yesterday's pre-market ETF Pathfinder, also noting "we anticipate the Canada/Mexico tariffs to be resolved relatively quickly, and therefore we view the latest pullback as a buying opportunity." Sure enough, bot...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Local Tops for 10-Year Yield, DXY, and WTI Crude Oil Our outlook remains bullish, and since late-December we have been suggesting to use the pullback as a buying opportunity. Our most recent and highest conviction "buy the dip" call came last week (1/14/25 Compass) amid all the major indexes testing key supports (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJI, S&P Mid Caps, VXF, Russell 2000, ARKK, and SMH), bullish breadth divergences, and other ongoing risk-on signals. Those dip buys are finally paying off, with a...

Adtalem Global Education Inc.: Update following outlook change to posi...

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its strong credit metrics and its more balanced financial policy and very good liquidity, constrained by its legal and reputational risks.

Adtalem Global Education Inc.: Update following outlook change to posi...

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its strong credit metrics and its more balanced financial policy and very good liquidity, constrained by its legal and reputational risks.

Moody's Ratings affirms Adtalem's CFR and senior secured ratings at Ba...

Moody's Ratings ("Moody's") affirmed Adtalem Global Education Inc.'s ("Adtalem"), a Chicago, Illinois-based provider of post-secondary education and professional talent to the healthcare industry, Ba3 corporate family rating ("CFR") and its Ba3-PD probability of default rating. Concurrently, we affi...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Continue to Ride the Trend Higher Our outlook remains bullish and the significant end-of-year rally that we have been expecting since mid-October is in full swing; continue to ride the trend higher. Our election day Compass report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and last week's Compass (11/19/24) was similarly titled "Buy the Pullback Again" considering our expectation for support at the 20-day MAs on the Russell 2000 (IWM), S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) with small- and mid-caps likely...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Upgrading Health Care to Market Weight Breadth continues to improve and Russell 2000 (IWM) small-caps and the Dow remain bullish, all while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are going through a pullback/consolidation phase. Considering the Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500 ratio is reversing a 3.5-year downtrend, we expect this trend of small-cap outperformance to continue for months or longer. We will maintain our bullish view on small-caps (IWM) and the Dow as long as they remain above $210 and 39,800,...

Adtalem Global Education Inc.: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its good competitive position in for-profit higher education sector and its modest financial leverage, offset by ongoing regulatory and legal risks

Moody's announces completion of a periodic review of ratings of Adtale...

Moody's Investors Service (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Adtalem Global Education Inc. and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 28 February 2024 in which Moody's reassessed the appropriateness of...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Breakouts Proliferate; Bullish Outlook Intact The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and DJI are breaking out to new all-time highs following 3-week consolidations, while the small-cap Russell 2000 (IWM), mid-cap S&P 400 (IJH), Vanguard Extended Market ETF (VXF), and countless other Sectors/industries are breaking out from 3-week bullish falling wedge/flag patterns. This is classic bull market behavior. Considering market dynamics remain healthy, this is all evidence that supports our ongoing bullish outlook...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Year-End Rally to Continue? The broad equity market has been on an absolute tear since we discussed in our 10/31/23 Compass how risk/reward favored buyers as key supports were being tested, including 4165 on the S&P 500, $162-$163 on the Russell 2000 (IWM), and $350 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). Furthermore, we discussed in our 11/7/23 Compass our belief that this was more than just another counter-trend rally, and that it is likely the start of a significant year-end rally. We also reiterated our b...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

U.S. Dollar (DXY) and Treasury Yields Breaking Out Since early-July, and reiterated in last week's U.S. Macro Vision (9/19/23), we have expected to see 4300-4325 act as major support on the S&P 500, while also noting in our 8/29/23 Compass that we expected consolidation between 4300-4325 support and 4600 resistance until the end of September, and possibly longer. Though there is still hope that this 4300-4325 support zone holds, odds of a deeper pullback to SPX 4165-4200/the 200-day MA have inc...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Adtalem Global Education Inc.: Update to credit analysis following upg...

Our credit view of Adtalem reflects its established competitive position, low financial leverage and strong free cash flow generation, offset by limited growth, legal and regulatory risks

Moody's upgrades Adtalem's CFR and senior secured ratings to Ba3 from ...

Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") upgraded Adtalem Global Education Inc.'s ("Adtalem") corporate family rating (CFR) to Ba3 from B1 and its probability of default rating (PDR) to Ba3-PD from B1-PD. Concurrently, Moody's upgraded the company's senior secured first lien credit facility (revolver a...

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