We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully r...
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: BANKINTER, CAIXABANK, MINOR HOTELS, SECTOR INMOBILIARIO, SECTOR SEGUROS. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los mercados se estabilizan En una jornada de pocos catalizadores las bolsas europeas rebotaron, compensand...
NEWS SUMMARY: BANKINTER, CAIXABANK, INSURANCE SECTOR, MINOR HOTELS, REAL ESTATE SECTOR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Markets stabilise In a session with few drivers, European stock markets rallied, offsetting part of the drop from the previous week. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors in th...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, SANTANDER. EUROPA: AHOLD DELHAIZE, BMW, SIEMENS, UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Trump gana las elecciones A la espera de conocer el desenlace oficial, todo parece indicar que Trump habría ganado las...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, SANTANDER. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Trump wins the elections Awaiting the official results, all indications suggest that Donald Trump would have won the US presidential election (248 of 270 necessary electoral votes), where four of the so-called swing states would h...
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results NII: € 2.79 Bn (+2% vs. -1.2% BS(e) and +0.6% consensus); Total Revenues: € 4.09 Bn (+1.9% vs. -0.3% BS(e) and +0.9% consensus); Operating Income: € 2.56 Bn (+0.6% vs. -2.3% BS(e) and -0.9% consensus); Net Profit pre AT1: € 1.57 Bn (+3.3% vs. +1% BS(e) and 0.7% consensus). 3Q'24 vs. 2Q'24 Results NII: € 2.79 Bn (+0.1% vs. -3% BS(e) and -1.3% consensus); Total Revenues: € 4.09 Bn (-2.7% vs. -4.8% BS(e) and -3.6% consensus); Operating Income: € 2.56 Bn (-4.8% vs. -7.5% BS(...
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: M. Intereses: 2.794 M euros (+2% vs -1,2% BS(e) y +0,6% consenso); M. Bruto: 4.092 M euros (+1,9% vs -0,3% BS(e) y +0,9% consenso); M. Neto: 2.557 M euros (+0,6% vs -2,3% BS(e) y -0,9% consenso); BDI pre AT1: 1.573 M euros (+3,3% vs +1% BS(e) y 0,7% consenso). Rdos. 3T'24 vs 2T'24: M. Intereses: 2.794 M euros (+0,1% vs -3% BS(e) y -1,3% consenso); M. Bruto: 4.092 M euros (-2,7% vs -4,8% BS(e) y -3,6% consenso); M. Neto: 2.557 M euros (-4,8% vs -7,5% BS(e) y -6,2% consenso);...
NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING/ENERGY SECTOR, CAIXABANK, EBRO FOODS, FCC, FLUIDRA, NATURGY. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Inflation rises in October European stock markets fell, with October’s inflation data in Europe higher than expected. In the STOXX 600, all the sectors ended with drops, with Travel & Leisu...
>Neutral rating maintained – Target price cut to € 1.35 (vs € 1.40) - Our Neutral rating is reiterated on the stock, with a target price adjusted to € 1.35 (vs € 1.40). The Q3/9M 2024 figures broadly confirm the improvement in the underlying operating performance (top line, CoR costs) and the solidity of the group’s balance sheet. We are nonetheless slightly lowering our net income forecasts (-2% on average for 2024-2026) in order to notably correct a slightly too opt...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, EBRO FOODS, FCC, FLUIDRA, NATURGY, SECTOR BANCOS, SECTOR ENERGÉTICO. EUROPA: AB INBEV, AXA, AIRBUS, DHL GROUP, ING, SIEMENS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La inflación repunta en octubre Caídas en los mercados euro...
>Opinion Neutre maintenue – OC ramené à 1.35 € (vs 1.40 €) - Notre recommandation Neutre est réitérée sur le titre, avec un objectif de cours ramené à 1.35 € (vs 1.40 €). Les chiffres T3/9M 2024 confirment globalement l’amélioration de l’opérationnel underlying (topline, coûts CdR) et la solidité bilancielle du groupe. Nous révisons toutefois légèrement à la baisse nos anticipations de RN (-2% en moyenne sur 2024-26e) afin de corriger notamment un biais un peu trop op...
Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results NII: € 384 M (+7.5% vs. +3% BS(e) and +3.8% consensus); Total Revenues: € 514 M (+2.2% vs. +1.1% BS(e) and +0.6% consensus); Operating Income: € 286 M (-1.4% vs. -1.8% BS(e) and -3.1% consensus); Net Profit: € 157 M (+14.4% vs. +14.4% BS(e) and +13.2% consensus). 3Q'24 vs. 2Q'24 Results NII: € 384 M (+0.1% vs. -4% BS(e) and -3.3% consensus); Total Revenues: € 514 M (-5.5% vs. -6.6% BS(e) and -7% consensus); Operating Income: € 286 M (-10.7% vs. -11.1% BS(e) and -12.3% co...
The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: M. Intereses: 384 M euros (+7,5% vs +3% BS(e) y +3,8% consenso); M. Bruto: 514 M euros (+2,2% vs +1,1% BS(e) y +0,6% consenso); M. Neto: 286 M euros (-1,4% vs -1,8% BS(e) y -3,1% consenso); BDI: 157 M euros (+14,4% vs +14,4% BS(e) y +13,2% consenso). Rdos. 3T'24 vs 2T'24: M. Intereses: 384 M euros (+0,1% vs -4% BS(e) y -3,3% consenso); M. Bruto: 514 M euros (-5,5% vs -6,6% BS(e) y -7% consenso); M. Neto: 286 M euros (-10,7% vs -11,1% BS(e) y -12,3% consenso); BDI: 157 M eur...
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