Our portfolio of Top Picks has started 2026 strongly, up 6% ytd already. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
Tower revenue trends were slightly slower across the board except for Indus Towers as it benefited again from VIL’s network catch up spend. EBITDA margins were roughly stable across EM except in Indonesia which faces the near-term pressure of the XL-Smartfren consolidation. Africa continue to perform well and the LatAm Towers space had a decent Q3.
The maturity profile of high-yield debt in the retail and personal & household goods (PHG) sectors shows a total of around € 5bn in maturities in 2026 and 2027, for which we expect a moderate € 3.5bn to € 4bn in conventional refinancing. However, a major wave of early refinancing of longer-dated notes could very well come onto the primary market this year in order to benefit from lower interest rates and spreads. Most of these bonds, issued in 2023-24 with high coupons, can be called from 2026 a...
L’échéancier de la dette high yield des secteurs Retail et Personal & Household goods (PHG) fait apparaitre un total d’environ 5 mds EUR de tombées obligataires en 2026 et 2027 au sein duquel nous attendons un montant modéré de 3,5 à 4 mds EUR de refinancements conventionnels. Toutefois, une vague importante de refinancements anticipés de maturités plus longues pourrait tout à fait venir s’inviter dans l’activité primaire cette année afin de profiter de la baisse des taux et des spreads depuis d...
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