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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PZU PW; ALR PW; PEO PW; RO Macro; GE Macro; CZ Macro; CEZ ...

HEADLINES: • PZU: discounted valuation for growing EPS and dividend yields (stays BUY) • Alior Bank: trading cheaply, but in stand-by mode (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: complicated, but not value destructive (stays BUY) • Romania macro: a frail situation • Georgia macro: NBG keeps policy rate unchanged, at 8.0%; sanctions from the US and the UK • Czech Republic macro: CNB keeps policy rate on hold • CEZ: government takes new nuclear financing plan under advisement NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: pre-clos...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+5)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Roland Pfaender
  • MBA
  • CFA
  • CCRA
Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska ... (+2)
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Miguel Dias

PZU: discounted valuation for growing EPS and dividend yields (stays B...

We rate PZU a BUY, with a new 12M price target (PT) of PLN 64.9/share, offering 42% upside potential. PZU is one of our top picks among the regional financials. We see its discounted valuation (2025E P/E of 6.8x and P/BV of 1.2x), and its status as one of the most reliable dividend payers in the region (9%+ yield next year), as attractive. This is in combination with positive fundamentals, including improving EPS momentum (our 2025E EPS is +18% yoy) and a medium-term performance supported by the...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+5)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Roland Pfaender
  • MBA
  • CFA
  • CCRA

Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG: 1 director

A director at Munchener Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG bought 100 shares at 518.600EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ove...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 13 DICIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAMBIOS IBEX, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: MUNICH RE, SIEMENS. El BCE cumple el guión El acontecimiento más esperado de la semana no deparó sorpresas y el BCE rebajó los tipos -25 p.b. hasta el 3,0% (a pesar de que se discutió la posibilidad de recortar -50 puntos básicos). C. Lagarde se mostró a favor de seguir bajándolos hasta llevarlos más cerca de la neutralidad (se estima cerca del 2,0%) sin hacer referencia el comunicado a mantener una política monetar...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CPS PW; PL Banks; PZU PW; PCF PW; CDR PW; PPC GA

HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: court in Liechtenstein appoints administrator for Zygmunt Solorz’s foundations NEGATIVE • Polish banks: to face the same dividend guidance from the watchdog as last year NEUTRAL • PZU: PFSA issues dividend payment guidance for 2025 NEUTRAL • PCF Group: limits scope of work on Project Bifrost and suspends work on Project Victoria NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: releases new Update 2.2 for Cyberpunk 2077 NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: cancellation of own shares NEUTRAL

 PRESS RELEASE

Hurricanes, severe thunderstorms and floods drive insured losses above...

Swiss Re Ltd / Key word(s): Research Update Hurricanes, severe thunderstorms and floods drive insured losses above USD 100 billion for 5th consecutive year, says Swiss Re Institute 05.12.2024 / 10:00 CET/CEST Estimated insured losses from natural catastrophes on track to exceed USD 135 billion in 2024 Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton severely impacted the US, resulting in estimated insured losses approaching USD 50 billion Major floods hit Europe and the Middle East, causing estimated insured losses of close to USD 13 billion as of today Zurich, 5 December 2024 – Wi...

 PRESS RELEASE

Hurrikane, schwere Gewitterstürme und Überschwemmungen treiben versich...

Swiss Re Ltd / Schlagwort(e): Research Update Hurrikane, schwere Gewitterstürme und Überschwemmungen treiben versicherte Schäden das fünfte Jahr in Folge auf über 100 Mrd. USD, schätzt Swiss Re Institute 05.12.2024 / 10:00 CET/CEST Geschätzte versicherte Schäden aus Naturkatastrophen übersteigen 2024 wohl 135 Mrd. USD Hurrikan Helene und Hurrikan Milton führten in den USA zu geschätzten versicherten Schäden von fast 50 Mrd. USD Schwere Überschwemmungen in Europa und im Nahen Osten verursachten bis heute geschätzte versicherte Schäden von mehr als 13 Mrd. USD Zürich, 5....

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Utilities; GPP PW; PZU PW; HU Macro; 4IG HB; CPS PW; WP...

HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: with coal, through thick and thin (Enea (HOLD), PGE (SELL) and Tauron (HOLD) - transfer of coverage) • Grupa Pracuj: volume rebound expected in 2025E (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: strong profits and attractive shareholder returns implied by 2025-27E strategy update POSITIVE • Hungary macro: MNB nominations and opinion polls swings • 4iG: 3Q24 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.26%, while WP TV at 0.69% in Novemb...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkiye rebounds, Romania declines

EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...

EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
ONE CTP NV
GPP ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
7203 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AQ ELM CO
TRESTATES AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
BANK OF CYPRUS
Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska

WOOD Flash – PZU: strong profits and attractive shareholder returns im...

PZU has published its 2025-27E strategic outlook. The key takeaway for shareholders, in our view, is the target of at least PLN 6.2bn of net profit in 2027E, with a minimum 2027E DPS of PLN 4.5. In the strategic presentation, significant focus has been put on revenue growth engines, and each of the key revenue pillars is explained separately. Also important for the market is that the insurer may sell its c.32% stake in Alior Bank to its other subsidiary, Bank Pekao, in 1H25E. The banks are to in...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PZU PW; CBF PW; SHO PW; DUNAHOUS HB; KAP LI; TPE PW; GE Ma...

HEADLINES: • PZU: newswires drop a bomb just before company's strategic update – Bank Pekao may buy a 32% stake in Alior from PZU • cyber_Folks: concludes preliminary agreement to purchase a 49.9% stake in Shoper for a total of PLN 547.5m NEUTRAL • Shoper: preliminary agreement for the sale of 49.9% of SHO's shares to cyber_Folks at PLN 39/share NEUTRAL • Duna House: 3Q24 results – a good set of numbers POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: 3Q24 results beat expectations POSITIVE • Tauron: full 3Q24 results i...

Swiss Re AG: 1 director

A director at Swiss Re AG sold 625 shares at 124.354CHF and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showi...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (21 November 2024)

HEADLINES: • PZU: 3Q24 not as weak as feared – once the special claims end, should deliver a very strong profitability profile POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 3Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 13% yoy, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 3Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 8% yoy, 3% above our forecast and 6% above the consensus POSITIVE • OPAP: 3Q24 earnings beat expectations, as EBITDA jumps 24% yoy POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 3Q24 results – CCS EBITDA in line NEUTRAL • Elbit Syste...

 PRESS RELEASE

Life insurance drives global premium growth as interest rates remain h...

Swiss Re Ltd / Key word(s): Forecast/Market Report Life insurance drives global premium growth as interest rates remain higher for longer, says Swiss Re Institute 19.11.2024 / 10:00 CET/CEST Total global insurance premiums set to grow at 2.6% annually in 2025 and 2026, with elevated interest rates, mainly in the US, supporting insurers' profitability Premium growth primarily driven by life insurance, which is forecast to grow globally by 3% per year, more than double the rate of the past ten years Swiss Re Institute forecasts solid global economic growth of 2.8% for 2025...

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