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Claire Wang Kelai ... (+3)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China 2H25 Market Strategy: A Big Beautiful Deal?

 Trade deal in focus. Notwithstanding the 90-day truce on tariff escalation, it is still a 50/50 if there will be a “Big Beautiful Deal” between the US and China. The US is steadfast in wanting to cap China’s growth and restricting her access to the latest technology, while China is making a firm stand on its economic rights. We expect that higher US tariffs on Chinese goods are unavoidable, likely closer to the 60% mark, if Trump were to be seen making a credible move to onshore production in ...

Greater China Research Team ... (+5)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Strategy: Alpha Picks - June 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and Trip.com. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In May: Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising Emphasis On Infrastructure Plays: Our May 25 Alpha Picks outperformed with resounding success. June 25 picks: Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, MYEG, Northeast Group. SINGAPORE S...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
OU8 CENTURION
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
3816 MISC BHD
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
7113 TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
CPALL TB CP ALL
SDPL SIME DARBY PLANTATION BHD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
2013 WEIMOB INC
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
WHA TB WHA CORP PCL
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
CVL CIVMEC
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
STM SEATRIUM LTD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
YINSON YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
GEELY GEELY AUTOMOBILE
EXCL XLSMART TELECOM SEJAHTERA

Tencent Holdings Limited: 2 directors

Two Directors at Tencent Holdings Limited sold 37,000 shares at between 509.080HKD and 518.500HKD. The significance rating of the trade was 99/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's director...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

Tencent 1Q25 Results: Gaming and Ads Could Remain Resilient in 2Q

What’s new: Tencent’s reported 1Q25 top-line results that were above consensus and our expectations. Gaming could remain resilient partly driven by evergreen titles such as HoK and Peacekeeper Elite and newly launched games such as Delta Force. Ads could also continue to outperform industry growth partly driven by video accounts. We maintain our PT at HKD650. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Sea Ltd: 1 director

A director at Sea Ltd sold 85,000 shares at 154.130USD and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showi...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Holdings (700 HK): 1Q25: Strong results propelled by robust ga...

Tencent’s 1Q25 results came in higher than expectations. Revenue grew 13% yoy to Rmb180b, 3% ahead of our and consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 3ppt yoy to 55.8%, outpacing consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18% yoy to Rmb69.3b, while non-IFRS operating margins expanded 2ppt yoy to 38.5% on a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS surged 25% yoy, 3% higher than our and consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$650.00.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+17)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, May 15, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Credit demand weakens in April. Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$521.00/Target: HK$650.00): 1Q25: Strong results propelled by robust games and AI-powered ad-tech. INDONESIA Sector Telecommunications: 1Q25: EBITDA stable at -0.8% qoq. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. MALAYSIA Results Sunway REIT (SREIT MK/BUY/RM1.93/Target: RM2.05): 1Q25: Results in line. Looking ahead, the full reopening of Sunway Carnival Mall Phase 2 and AEON Seri Manjung acquisition are e...

Claire Wang Kelai ... (+4)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Thursday, May 15, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply April's M1 growth moderated to 1.5% yoy (-0.1ppt), falling short of consensus’ 3.2% yoy, while M2 jumped to 8.0% yoy (+1ppt). This was likely due to base effects, since outstanding bank loans grew only 7.2% yoy (-0.2ppt). In contrast, outstanding TSF growth was strong at 8.7% yoy (+0.3ppt). However, new bank loans and new TSF fell to Rmb0.28t and Rmb1.16t respectively, missing expectations of Rmb0.69t and Rmb1.40t. Looking ahead, credit demand may pick up ...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+16)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Lester Siew
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, May 14, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$137.00/Target: HK$185.00): 1Q25: Strong earnings beat; intact 2025 outlook; vague visibility on food delivery. JD Logistics, Inc (2618 HK/BUY/HK$12.24/Target: HK$22.00): 2024: Results broadly in line; revenue growth to accelerate in 2025. Maintain BUY. Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$54.50/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Solid earnings beat; encouraging margin outlook in 2025. INDONESIA Update Trimegah Bangun Persada (NCKL IJ/BUY/Rp670/Tar...

Heidi Mo Jinghui ... (+3)
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan

SEA (SE US) - 1Q25: Strong Earnings From Better Operating Leverage

Driven by better operating leverage, SEA’s 1Q25 earnings of S$403m beat our estimates as all business segments showed robust revenue growth and better earnings profiles. Management reiterated confidence in the group’s ability to meet its 2025 guidance. We expect the same and foresee earnings continuing its upward momentum for 2025. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of US$181.64 on the back of stronger earnings from all segments.

Matthew Weiss ... (+2)
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt
Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Expecting ample monetisation potential on promising ga...

We expect to see an encouraging monetisation momentum given the anticipation of high-quality game releases by online game companies in 2025. We like the online game sector as it is a countercyclical play and is less susceptible to the ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Our preference lies with Tencent, given its strong game grossing growth momentum and its position as a key proxy for AI application beneficiaries. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Greater China Research Team ... (+5)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Strategy: Alpha Picks - May 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25: Remove ICBP, EXCL and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Capitalising On Sentiment Turnaround: Our Apr 25 Alpha Picks underperformed. May 25 picks: Duopharma, Gamuda, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME dotCom, MYEG, Nationgate, Northeast Group and RHB Bank. SINGAPO...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
OU8 CENTURION
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
3816 MISC BHD
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
7113 TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
CPALL TB CP ALL
SDPL SIME DARBY PLANTATION BHD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
2013 WEIMOB INC
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
WHA TB WHA CORP PCL
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
CVL CIVMEC
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
STM SEATRIUM LTD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
YINSON YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
GEELY GEELY AUTOMOBILE
Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

Tencent: New VA Opportunities? New Ecommerce Initiatives Adding to an ...

What’s New: As we enter the 6th year into the launch (and more than 2 years into the introduction of feed ads) of Video Accounts (VA), we are now at an inflection point where revenues are no longer just dependent on advertising alone. We see a clear runway for Tencent to be a formidable competitor in e-commerce, driving not only material multiples expansion but also upside to OP. Introductions of new ad formats could be a key driver for advertising revenues in the near term, while we see continu...

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Media & Entertainment: Video Game Third-Party Publishers’ FY24 Q4 ...

The US market has been good to Japanese game developers, so far, in 2025. Pelham Smithers updates us on what is performing well in the charts and what implications it has for the upcoming earnings season. Several companies have seen their shares rise April-to-date, so the FY25 outlook will be closely watched.

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