Trade deal in focus. Notwithstanding the 90-day truce on tariff escalation, it is still a 50/50 if there will be a “Big Beautiful Deal” between the US and China. The US is steadfast in wanting to cap China’s growth and restricting her access to the latest technology, while China is making a firm stand on its economic rights. We expect that higher US tariffs on Chinese goods are unavoidable, likely closer to the 60% mark, if Trump were to be seen making a credible move to onshore production in ...
This CY25 Q2 has been another tremendous quarter for the Japanese video game sector, driven by the release of the Switch 2. Analyst Pelham Smithers reviews the performance and offerings of the video game stocks PSA covers and delivers his updated rankings.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and Trip.com. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In May: Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising Emphasis On Infrastructure Plays: Our May 25 Alpha Picks outperformed with resounding success. June 25 picks: Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, MYEG, Northeast Group. SINGAPORE S...
Two Directors at Tencent Holdings Limited sold 37,000 shares at between 509.080HKD and 518.500HKD. The significance rating of the trade was 99/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's director...
What’s new: Tencent’s reported 1Q25 top-line results that were above consensus and our expectations. Gaming could remain resilient partly driven by evergreen titles such as HoK and Peacekeeper Elite and newly launched games such as Delta Force. Ads could also continue to outperform industry growth partly driven by video accounts. We maintain our PT at HKD650. Analysts: Jin Yoon
A director at Sea Ltd sold 85,000 shares at 154.130USD and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showi...
Tencent’s 1Q25 results came in higher than expectations. Revenue grew 13% yoy to Rmb180b, 3% ahead of our and consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 3ppt yoy to 55.8%, outpacing consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18% yoy to Rmb69.3b, while non-IFRS operating margins expanded 2ppt yoy to 38.5% on a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS surged 25% yoy, 3% higher than our and consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$650.00.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Credit demand weakens in April. Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$521.00/Target: HK$650.00): 1Q25: Strong results propelled by robust games and AI-powered ad-tech. INDONESIA Sector Telecommunications: 1Q25: EBITDA stable at -0.8% qoq. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. MALAYSIA Results Sunway REIT (SREIT MK/BUY/RM1.93/Target: RM2.05): 1Q25: Results in line. Looking ahead, the full reopening of Sunway Carnival Mall Phase 2 and AEON Seri Manjung acquisition are e...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply April's M1 growth moderated to 1.5% yoy (-0.1ppt), falling short of consensus’ 3.2% yoy, while M2 jumped to 8.0% yoy (+1ppt). This was likely due to base effects, since outstanding bank loans grew only 7.2% yoy (-0.2ppt). In contrast, outstanding TSF growth was strong at 8.7% yoy (+0.3ppt). However, new bank loans and new TSF fell to Rmb0.28t and Rmb1.16t respectively, missing expectations of Rmb0.69t and Rmb1.40t. Looking ahead, credit demand may pick up ...
GREATER CHINA Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$137.00/Target: HK$185.00): 1Q25: Strong earnings beat; intact 2025 outlook; vague visibility on food delivery. JD Logistics, Inc (2618 HK/BUY/HK$12.24/Target: HK$22.00): 2024: Results broadly in line; revenue growth to accelerate in 2025. Maintain BUY. Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$54.50/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Solid earnings beat; encouraging margin outlook in 2025. INDONESIA Update Trimegah Bangun Persada (NCKL IJ/BUY/Rp670/Tar...
Driven by better operating leverage, SEA’s 1Q25 earnings of S$403m beat our estimates as all business segments showed robust revenue growth and better earnings profiles. Management reiterated confidence in the group’s ability to meet its 2025 guidance. We expect the same and foresee earnings continuing its upward momentum for 2025. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of US$181.64 on the back of stronger earnings from all segments.
We expect to see an encouraging monetisation momentum given the anticipation of high-quality game releases by online game companies in 2025. We like the online game sector as it is a countercyclical play and is less susceptible to the ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Our preference lies with Tencent, given its strong game grossing growth momentum and its position as a key proxy for AI application beneficiaries. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25: Remove ICBP, EXCL and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Capitalising On Sentiment Turnaround: Our Apr 25 Alpha Picks underperformed. May 25 picks: Duopharma, Gamuda, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME dotCom, MYEG, Nationgate, Northeast Group and RHB Bank. SINGAPO...
What’s New: As we enter the 6th year into the launch (and more than 2 years into the introduction of feed ads) of Video Accounts (VA), we are now at an inflection point where revenues are no longer just dependent on advertising alone. We see a clear runway for Tencent to be a formidable competitor in e-commerce, driving not only material multiples expansion but also upside to OP. Introductions of new ad formats could be a key driver for advertising revenues in the near term, while we see continu...
The US market has been good to Japanese game developers, so far, in 2025. Pelham Smithers updates us on what is performing well in the charts and what implications it has for the upcoming earnings season. Several companies have seen their shares rise April-to-date, so the FY25 outlook will be closely watched.
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