Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
AT: Flughafen Wien - Q1 in line, very strong April traffic figures, potential guidance hike hinted with H1 results (positive) AT: UNIQA - EBT ahead of RBIe on better than expected investment income, strong combined ratio (positive) PL: PKO BP - Q1 22 bottom-line marginally ahead of expectations (neutral) PL: PZU - Q1 earnings slightly ahead of expectations on better than expected claims performance (positive) RU: Gazprom Neft - Gazprom Neft BoD recommends final dividends (positive) R...
AT: AT&S - Prelim. Q4 21/22 above expectations, FY outlook better on top line, EBITDA guidance mixed on start-up costs (neutral) AT: S IMMO - Considers sale of Germany residential assets (neutral) AT: Vienna Insurance Group - Strong premium growth, EBT below expectations on provisions for impact of war (neutral) PL: CCC - CEO expects a good Q2 with substantial sales growth and slight gross margin improvement, FY sales seen at PLN 9-10 bn (positive) PL: PGNiG - Considering entering into a long-te...
HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: strong 1Q22, with adjusted EBITDA up 19% yoy, 7% above our estimate POSITIVE • Shoper: 1Q22 results in line with preliminary guidance NEUTRAL • Patria Bank: 1Q22 results review - strong NII offset by weaker other income and higher costs • DIGI Communications: 1Q22 results - pro forma adjusted EBITDA up 9% yoy, in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • DataWalk: preliminary 1Q22 results - sales up 21% yoy, to PLN 4.18m NEGATIVE • Terna Energy: Investor Day highlights • ...
AT: AMAG - Q1 results in line with RBIe but above consensus, major cash drain from NWC, FY 22 EBITDA guidance of > EUR 200 mn heralds (expected) upside to estimates (neutral) AT: Andritz - Record order backlog, in-line results and guidance confirmed (positive) AT: Erste Group - Q1 22 net profit beating expectations / strong core revenues offset by higher opex and weak trading result / guidance for 2022 marginally tweaked upwards / CET1 drop should be only temporary (positive) AT: Oester...
EME Equity Market – March 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks mostly in the black, despite the MSCI EM Europe Index losing half of its value. Following its decline in February, the MSCI EM Europe Index lost in March as well, declining by 49.5% in EUR terms and 50.1% in USD terms. Russia’s MOEX Index added 13.2% in EUR terms and 9.4% RUB terms (we note that Russian companies’ GDRs are still suspended for trading). The Turkish ISE30 Index added 8.2% in EUR terms and 13.3% in local curren...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just requalified the general evaluation of PJSC LUKOIL 144A ADR (RU), active in the Integrated Oil & Gas industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title still shows 0 out of 4 stars and its market behaviour is seen as moderately risky. theScreener believes that the unfavourable environment weighs on the sector and penalises the company, which sees a downgrade to its general evaluation to Slightly Negative. As of the analysis date March 15, ...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: difficult year ahead, but sell-off excessive (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: very solid 4Q21, but disappointing dividend proposal • BIM: 4Q21 strongly above expectations POSITIVE • Ciech: 4Q21 preliminary adjusted EBITDA 5% above the consensus, but quality of profit is high POSITIVE • Sberbank: 4Q21 results • Lukoil: FY21 financial results review • Alrosa: 4Q21 IFRS results - EBITDA down 25% qoq, on lower revenues per carat • Polymetal: 2H21 IFRS results - top line and EBIT...
CIS EUROBOND MARKETThe Russian sovereign Eurobond market remains illiquid and prices have been flat. GOVERNMENT DEBTTrading in OFZs remains suspended.STORIES> Basic sector output rises in January, but will decline over the rest of the year> Weekly inflation surges to 0.45% over February 19-25> GDP could decline by 10-15% in 2022> Alrosa posts 4Q21 and 2021 IFRS results> Lukoil 4Q21 review: Strong financial update
MARKET COMMENT - GOVERNMENT MULLS BUYING MORE STOCK, MSCI EXPELS RUSSIARussian stocks remained frozen in Moscow and were mostly frozen abroad as well yesterday. The government is mulling tapping more of the NWF to buy Russian stocks. MSCI will expel Russia from global benchmarks, and ratings agencies have cut the market to junk status.STORIES> MSCI expels Russia from global and emerging benchmarks> GDP could decline by 10-15% in 2022> Weekly inflation surges to 0.45% over February 19-25> Basic s...
РЫНОК ВНЕШНЕГО ДОЛГА СТРАН СНГВчера ликвидность на рынке российских суверенных еврооблигаций оставалась низкой, котировки практически не изменились. ГОСУДАРСТВЕННЫЕ ЦЕННЫЕ БУМАГИНа рынке ОФЗ торги сегодня проводиться не будут.НОВОСТИ> За период с 19 по 25 февраля недельная инфляция в России достигла 0,45%> Выпуск в базовых отраслях России в январе вырос> АЛРОСА представила финансовые показатели за 4К21 и 2021> ЛУКОЙЛ: сильные финансовые результаты за 4К21
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗПроизводство в базовых отраслях российской экономики выросло в январе на 1% по сравнению с предыдущим месяцем (с учетом корректировки на сезонную составляющую) после роста на 0,6% в декабре. Динамика улучшилась благодаря оптовой торговли и грузообороту транспорта. В период с 19 по 25 февраля потребительские цены в России выросли на 0,45% против 0,24% неделей ранее. Причинами, судя по всему, стали повышение спроса на непродовольственные товары, а также ослабление рубля, котор...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to unprecedented dislocations of capital and resources, on top of human tragedies. The sanctions imposed, by the world’s key nations, on Russia, its politicians, institutions, companies and businessmen, as well as the counter-measures introduced by the Russian government, are wide-ranging and continue to be imposed on a daily basis. The most severe sanctions are related to the freezing of the CBR’s FX reserves, as well as the freezing of non-residents’ assets...
MARKET COMMENT - NEW RUSSIA-US DIPLOMATIC MEETING EASES SOME MARKET CONCERNSThe RTS sank 4.9% to 1,450 yesterday, sharply underperforming peers after a series of concerning political headlines in the afternoon. However, the announcement of a meeting next week between the top Russian and US diplomats has helped ease the tensions, and RTS futures are up 1.8% early this morning. The global backdrop has also improved to mixed after a weak day for global stock markets.STORIES> EPFR: Russia sees bette...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - НОВАЯ ЗАПЛАНИРОВАННАЯ ВСТРЕЧА ПРЕДСТАВИТЕЛЕЙ РОССИИ И США НЕСКОЛЬКО УСПОКОИЛА РЫНОКИндекс РТС вчера снизился на 4,9% до 1 450 пунктов, сильно отстав от других развивающихся рынков после ряда тревожных политических новостей. Однако сообщение о запланированной на следующую неделю встрече российских и американских дипломатов немного сгладило ситуацию, и сегодня утром фьючерсы на индекс РТС прибавили 1,8%. Ситуация на глобальных фондовых рынках также немного улучшилась. НОВОС...
EBITDA and net income were in line with projections We estimate final DPS for 2021 at RUB 15.4 Free cash flow exceeded estimates thanks to a positive WC effect of USD 0.85 bn Q4 21 results are considered as slightly positive for the stock
MARKET COMMENT - LIMITED TROOP RECALLS, CONSTRUCTIVE POLITICAL REMARKS DRIVE RALLYThe RTS soared 5% yesterday to 1,498, and morning indicators imply another sharp gain early today. A bullish global backdrop has helped, but Russia is outperforming on apparent investor hopes that limited troop recalls and constructive remarks from President Vladimir Putin and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz signal an end for now to rising political risk perceptions for the market. Novatek's results and a NATO defens...
КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - БЛАГОПРИЯТНЫЕ ПОЛИТИЧЕСКИЕ НОВОСТИ И ЗАЯВЛЕНИЯ ВЫЗВАЛИ РАЛЛИ НА РЫНКЕВчера индекс РТС вырос на 5% до 1 498 пунктов. Позитивное влияние оказал оптимизм на глобальных рынках, однако российский рынок вырвался вперед, очевидно, на надеждах инвесторов, что отвод российских воинских частей от границы с Украиной и заявления президента России Владимира Путина и канцлера Германии Олафа Шольца могут сигнализировать о снижении, по крайней мере временном, политических рисков для рынк...
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