This note covers updates to the model following consolidated EchoStar results. We increased service revenue and EBITDA. Our free cash flow is up very modestly. The company has five to seven months to raise capital. We updated our valuation to $95 / share. We will have another update out once we get the Dish, DBS & Hughes 10-Qs.
A director at Beazer Homes Usa Inc sold 29,215 shares at 28.680USD and the significance rating of the trade was 71/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
A director at Iron Mountain Inc sold 3,547 shares at 77.600USD and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
A director at HCA Healthcare Inc sold/gave away 6,100 shares at 0.000USD and the significance rating of the trade was 58/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ye...
In this brief note, we cover: 1) securitizable spectrum value; 2) when cash runs out; 3) the implications of the DBS lawsuit for raising new capital; 4) operating improvements in prepaid wireless; 4) progress on cost savings; 5) preliminary thoughts on a new strategy in postpaid wireless.
Operating results were generally a bit better than expected. The Company appears to be doing what it can to preserve cash. The cash burn was $100MM higher than we expected and $200MM higher than consensus expected. We estimate that the Company has enough cash to get through the next two quarters, but barely.
Credit markets are overstating credit risk, with a cash bond YTW of 6.901% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 6.001% and an Intrinsic CDS of 134bps. Furthermore, Moody's is materially overstating TDG's fundamental credit risk with its highly speculative B1 credit rating five notches below Valens' IG4 (Baa2) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly negative signals for creditors. That said, most anagement members have low change-in-control compensation relative to thei...
In this Weekend Update, we review the multiple activities affecting the prospects for an ACP extension, including one legislative solution that was pulled from a mark-up, a Senate hearing on the subject, and an effort to attach an extension to FAA reauthorization. Our bottom line remains: 1. With the ACP funds about to run out, recipients in May or June are likely to start having to make hard choices about what they are willing to pay for. 2. We agree with the consensus in government and indus...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) changed the outlook for Lennar Corporation (Lennar) to positive from stable. At the same time, Moody's also affirmed Lennar's Baa2 senior unsecured note ratings. The positive outlook reflects Lennar's impressive deleveraging capabilities and currently the lowest debt to b...
With the start of the Q1 reporting season for Offshore Drilling, we sense increased investor attention on the risk to consensus. Although we like the investment case for its valuation in the out-years (2026), our estimates remain below consensus. We see potential for share price volatility as near-term consensus is revised lower, while investors gradually underwrite 2026 valuations. We also believe the gaps between contracts and increased idle-time risk for tier-2 deepwater rigs are not properly...
A director at Autonation Inc sold 10,000 shares at 168.000USD and the significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
Transocean Ltd. Announces Consent Solicitation for 8.375% Senior Secured Notes due 2028 STEINHAUSEN, Switzerland, May 01, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Transocean Ltd. (NYSE: RIG) announced today that its wholly owned and indirect subsidiary, Transocean Titan Financing Limited (the “Company” and, together with Transocean Ltd., “Transocean”), is soliciting consents (“Consents” and, such solicitation being referred to herein as, the “Consent Solicitation”) from holders (the “Holders”) of its outstanding 8.375% Senior Secured Notes due 2028 (the “Notes”) as of 5:00 p.m. New York City time, on Apr...
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