>Outperform rating and target price of € 20.50 maintained - Following the publication of 9M 2024 results which on a reported basis came in a shade above our forecasts, but in line excluding capital gains from divestments, we confirm our Outperform rating and our target price of € 20.5 based on DCF (€ 16.5) and a sum-of-the-parts approach (€ 24.4). The group has confirmed its guidance for 2024 and 2025 EBITDA, likewise its target for 3 GW of operational capacity at th...
>Opinion Surperformance et OC à 20.50 € maintenus - A l’issue de la publication des résultats du 9M 24, qui sont ressortis, en publié, un peu au-dessus de nos attentes, mais hors plus-value de cession, en ligne avec nos estimations, nous confirmons notre opinion Surperformance, et notre objectif de cours de 20.5 €, sur la base d’un DCF (16.5 €) et d’une somme des parties (24.4 €). Le groupe a confirmé ses guidances d’EBITDA 2024 et 2025, de même que l’attente de 3 GW ...
NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, POSSIBLE TAX CHANGES, SOLARIA. Awaiting drivers European stock markets managed to recover ground at the end of the session, ending mixed, with the Ibex and FTSE MIB being the best relative performers. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Basic Resources and Telecoms were the best relative performers vs. the bigger drops of Real Estate and Retail. From the ECB, De Guindos insisted that concerns about inflation have now shifted to growth. On the macro side, in the US November’s NAHB r...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, IMPUESTOS ESPAÑA, SOLARIA. A la espera de catalizadores Las bolsas europeas lograron recuperarse hacia el final de la sesión y cerraron con signo mixtos donde destacó el buen comportamiento relativo del Ibex y el del FTSE MIB en negativo. Así, dentro del STOXX 600, Recursos Básicos y Telecos mostraron el mejor comportamiento relativo, frente a las mayores caídas de Inmobiliario y Retail. Desde el BCE, De Guindos insistió en que la preocup...
3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results EBITDA: US$ 1.58 Bn (-26.5% vs. -32.5% BS(e) and -30.8% consensus); Net Profit: US$ 488 M (-47.5% vs. -55.5% BS(e) and -54.8% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results EBITDA: US$ 5.4 Bn (-25.9% vs. -27.7% BS(e) and -27.2% consensus); Net Profit: US$ 1.9 Bn (-50.5% vs. -52.5% BS(e) and -52.3% consensus).
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: EBITDA: 1.581 M dólares (-26,5% vs -32,5% BS(e) y -30,8% consenso); BDI: 488 M dólares (-47,5% vs -55,5% BS(e) y -54,8% consenso); Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: EBITDA: 5.399 M dólares (-25,9% vs -27,7% BS(e) y -27,2% consenso); BDI: 1.922 M dólares (-50,5% vs -52,5% BS(e) y -52,3% consenso).
NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, AEDAS, AMADEUS, ARCELORMITTAL, INDRA, INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL, ROVI, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. European stock markets do not welcome Trump European stock markets saw strong corrections, particularly the Ibex after D. Trump’s victory. On the contra...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, AEDAS HOMES, AMADEUS, ARCELORMITTAL, COLONIAL, INDRA, ROVI, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: MUNICH RE. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. A la bolsa europea no le sienta bien Trump Jornada de fuertes caídas en Europ...
>Opinion Surperformance et OC à 20.50 € maintenus - A l’issue du roadshow management que nous avons organisé à Paris, nous confirmons notre recommandation Surperformance et notre objectif de cours de 20.50 €, sur la base d’un DCF (16.5 €) et d’une somme des parties (24.4 €). Comme attendu, cet évènement a été l’opportunité de recaler la séquence de mise en service des capacités installées qui correspond aux guidances du groupe en termes d’EBITDA pour 2024 et 2025. La ...
>Outperform rating and € 20.50 target price maintained - Following the roadshow with management that we organised in Paris, we confirm our Outperform rating and our € 20.50 target price, based on a DCF model (€ 16.5) and an SOTP approach (€ 24.4). As expected, this event was an opportunity to adjust the sequence for installed commissioning which corresponds to the group’s guidance in terms of EBITDA for 2024 and 2025. The expected growth in installed capacity will onl...
Like Astérix in the album of the same name, Michel Barnier has a cauldron to fill. Two measures to manage this have “leaked” in the press in the last few days: a reduction in the CIR research tax credit and an exceptional tax increase on large companies. We measured the sensitivity to these two measures of the 90 and 80 companies most concerned in our coverage universe. 20 companies have a CIR >5% of their EBIT and 22 companies would see their EPS fall by more than 5% due to the addit...
Comme Astérix dans l’album éponyme, Barnier a un chaudron à remplir. Deux mesures pour y parvenir ont « fuité » ces derniers jours dans la presse : rabotage du CIR (Crédit d’impôt Recherche) et hausse « exceptionnelle » de l’impôt des sociétés sur les grands groupes. Nous avons mesuré la sensibilité des 90 et 80 sociétés les plus concernées dans notre univers de couverture à ces deux mesures. 20 sociétés ont un CIR > 5% de leur EBIT et 22 sociétés verraient leurs BPA baisser de plus d...
>Outperform rating maintained and target price adjusted to € 20.50 vs € 21.1 - Following the release of H1 2024 results, which on a reported basis came in slightly higher than we anticipated, but excluding capital gains on disposals slightly undershot our expectations, the group has not really made any announcements on the year end in terms of installed capacity, given the administrative environment in Spain which remains complicated, preferring to highlight its new ...
>Opinion Surperformance maintenus et OC ajusté à 20.50 € vs 21.1 € - A l’issue de la publication des résultats du S1 24, qui sont ressortis, en publié, un peu au-dessus de nos attentes, mais hors plus-value de cession, un peu en dessous de nos estimations, le groupe n’a pas vraiment communiqué sur son atterrissage de fin d’année en termes de capacité installée, compte tenu d’un environnement administratif en Espagne qui demeure compliqué, préférant mettre en lumière ...
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