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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

S&P 500 Testing Prior Breakout Level DeepSeek appears to have turned the chatbot market upside-down, putting pressure on AI-linked stocks. While the dust has yet to settle, the good news is that the selloff has been largely contained to these AI-linked stocks. The rest of the market did not seem to care; the equal-weighted S&P 500 was roughly flat yesterday. Additionally, market dynamics remain healthy, with Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar (DXY), and WTI crude oil continuing to move lower, and...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 01.06.2022

 AT: IMMOFINANZ - CPI Property Group raises stake in IMMOFINANZ to 76.9% during additional acceptance period (neutral)  AT: Wienerberger - Moody's affirmed Ba1 rating, outlook changed to positive from stable (neutral)  PL: Bank Pekao - Increasing interest rate offer for deposits with maturity (neutral)  PL: mBank - Demerger of mBank's mortgage bank arm with no share issue requirement (neutral)  RU: InterRAO - Shareholders approve 2021 dividends (positive)  RU: OGK-2 - Board recommends 2021...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 19.05.2022

 AT: Flughafen Wien - Q1 in line, very strong April traffic figures, potential guidance hike hinted with H1 results (positive)  AT: UNIQA - EBT ahead of RBIe on better than expected investment income, strong combined ratio (positive)  PL: PKO BP - Q1 22 bottom-line marginally ahead of expectations (neutral)  PL: PZU - Q1 earnings slightly ahead of expectations on better than expected claims performance (positive)  RU: Gazprom Neft - Gazprom Neft BoD recommends final dividends (positive)  R...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 18.05.2022

AT: OMV - OMV and ADNOC announce intention to float 10% stake in Borouge (neutral) AT: Semperit - Q1 results well ahead of RBIe and consensus (positive) CZ: CTP - Strong growth dynamics in Q1, but inflation shows effect on yield on cost (neutral) PL: Orange Polska - Competitors are pressing regulator to impose conditions of access to fiber optic network built using EU funds (negative) RU: OGK-2 - Q1 22: EBITDA marginally below expectations, FCF propped up by temporarily lower capex, no dividend ...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 29.04.2022

 AT: AMAG - Q1 results in line with RBIe but above consensus, major cash drain from NWC, FY 22 EBITDA guidance of > EUR 200 mn heralds (expected) upside to estimates (neutral)  AT: Andritz - Record order backlog, in-line results and guidance confirmed (positive)  AT: Erste Group - Q1 22 net profit beating expectations / strong core revenues offset by higher opex and weak trading result / guidance for 2022 marginally tweaked upwards / CET1 drop should be only temporary (positive)  AT: Oester...

Raiffeisen Research Institutional Equity Daily 11.03.2022

 AT: Oesterreichische Post - Q4 21 in line, muted outlook wording (neutral)  AT: OMV - Borealis declined the binding offer of EuroChem for the acquisition of its fertilizer business (neutral)  AT: OMV - OMV is considering building a waste sorting plant in Germany (neutral)  CZ: Komercni Banka, Erste Group - Central bank to increase counter-cyclical capital buffer to 2.5% from April 22 (negative)  HR: Hrvatski Telekom - Dividend proposal od HRK 8.00 per share (neutral)  HR: Valamar Riviera ...

Anastasia Khakhaeva ... (+12)
  • Anastasia Khakhaeva
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - March 9, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - MOSCOW TRADING REMAINS HALTED WHILE EYES REMAIN ON UKRAINERussian stocks continued to see only slight trading through Russia's long weekend. That will not change today, with the CBR having decided yesterday not to allow Moscow equity trading, continuing the halt since February 25 for a sixth business day.STORIES> How the crisis is evolving> US and UK seeking to embargo Russian oil and gas imports> Gazprom's export flows remain very strong> Rostelecom posts neutral 4Q21 IFRS resu...

Anastasia Khakhaeva ... (+12)
  • Anastasia Khakhaeva
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Ekaterina Usanova
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Mikhail Krasnoperov
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 9 марта 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗСША и Великобритания вводят эмбарго на импорт нефти и газа из России, экспортные доходы Газпрома растут, Ростелеком, HeadHunter, Магнит и М. Видео представили отчетность.НОВОСТИ> Как развивается кризис> США и Великобритания вводят эмбарго на импорт нефти и газа из России> Экспортные доходы Газпрома растут> Ростелеком представил нейтральные результаты за 4К21 по МСФО> Вопрос о погашении облигаций Яндекса и Ozon> HeadHunter: результаты за 4К21 несколько ниже прогнозов, выкуп а...

FSK YEES sees a downgrade to Slightly Negative on account of less fund...

The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of FSK YEES (RU), active in the Conventional Electricity industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title now shows 0 out of 4 stars while market behaviour can be considered moderately risky. theScreener believes that the title remains under pressure due to the loss of a star(s) and downgrades its general evaluation to Slightly Negative. As of the analysis date March 1, 2022, the closing price was USD 0.00...

Andrew Keeley ... (+12)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Maria Martynova
  • Research Team
  • Sergey Donskoy

CIS Market Daily - February 21, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - GRIM DONBASS HEADLINES, HOPES FOR A PRESIDENTS' SUMMITThe RTS fell 4% on Friday to 1,391 following bearish headlines from southern Russia and eastern Ukraine late in the afternoon. Global markets were also soft, the MSCI ACWI slipping 0.9%. Russia assets are higher early this morning, corresponding with news of a more mixed global environment and hopes for a summit between the Russian and US presidents. STORIES> Sharp escalation in tensions ahead of diplomatic meetings this week...

Andrew Keeley ... (+13)
  • Andrew Keeley
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Arthur Cherkesov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Maria Martynova
  • Research Team
  • Sergey Donskoy

CIS Market Daily - 21 февраля 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - ПЕССИМИСТИЧНЫЕ СООБЩЕНИЯ О СИТУАЦИИ НА ДОНБАССЕ, НАДЕЖДЫ НА САММИТ ПРЕЗИДЕНТОВ РФ И СШАИндекс РТС в пятницу упал на 4% до 1 391 пункта после появления к вечеру пессимистичных сообщений о ситуации на востоке Украины. Глобальные рынки также снижались, индекс MSCI ACWI отступил на 0,9%. Сегодня утром российские активы растут в цене на фоне сообщений о неоднозначной ситуации на глобальных рынках и надежд на саммит президентов России и США. НОВОСТИ> ВВП России в 2021 году увел...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+8)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - February 18, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - NEW RUSSIA-US DIPLOMATIC MEETING EASES SOME MARKET CONCERNSThe RTS sank 4.9% to 1,450 yesterday, sharply underperforming peers after a series of concerning political headlines in the afternoon. However, the announcement of a meeting next week between the top Russian and US diplomats has helped ease the tensions, and RTS futures are up 1.8% early this morning. The global backdrop has also improved to mixed after a weak day for global stock markets.STORIES> EPFR: Russia sees bette...

Andrey Gromadin ... (+9)
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 18 февраля 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - НОВАЯ ЗАПЛАНИРОВАННАЯ ВСТРЕЧА ПРЕДСТАВИТЕЛЕЙ РОССИИ И США НЕСКОЛЬКО УСПОКОИЛА РЫНОКИндекс РТС вчера снизился на 4,9% до 1 450 пунктов, сильно отстав от других развивающихся рынков после ряда тревожных политических новостей. Однако сообщение о запланированной на следующую неделю встрече российских и американских дипломатов немного сгладило ситуацию, и сегодня утром фьючерсы на индекс РТС прибавили 1,8%. Ситуация на глобальных фондовых рынках также немного улучшилась. НОВОС...

Gazprom Neft Q4 21 - WC release pushed Q4 21 FCF above expectations

EBITDA and net income were in line with projections We estimate final DPS for 2021 at RUB 15.4 Free cash flow exceeded estimates thanks to a positive WC effect of USD 0.85 bn Q4 21 results are considered as slightly positive for the stock

Dmitry Troshin ... (+2)
  • Dmitry Troshin
  • Georgiy Ivanin

Russian Utilities - Following Interest Rate Trend

The shares of Russian power-generating companies (gencos) dropped 12% in ruble terms in 2021, underperforming the broader market by 27 pp amid an acceleration in inflation and rise in interest rates in Russia, which dimmed the dividend outlooks and the increased capex risks. Given the depressed current share prices, most of the stocks offer attractive returns. We expect to see investors become a bit more interested in the sector during the dividend season in June-July, but we do not anticipate a...

Anastasia Khakhaeva ... (+6)
  • Anastasia Khakhaeva
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - February 16, 2022

MARKET COMMENT - LIMITED TROOP RECALLS, CONSTRUCTIVE POLITICAL REMARKS DRIVE RALLYThe RTS soared 5% yesterday to 1,498, and morning indicators imply another sharp gain early today. A bullish global backdrop has helped, but Russia is outperforming on apparent investor hopes that limited troop recalls and constructive remarks from President Vladimir Putin and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz signal an end for now to rising political risk perceptions for the market. Novatek's results and a NATO defens...

Anastasia Khakhaeva ... (+9)
  • Anastasia Khakhaeva
  • Andrey Gromadin
  • Anton Chernyshev
  • Anton Stroutchenevski
  • Artem Vinogradov
  • Cole Akeson
  • Fedor Kornachev
  • Konstantin Samarin
  • Research Team

CIS Market Daily - 16 февраля 2022

КОММЕНТАРИЙ И ПРОГНОЗ - БЛАГОПРИЯТНЫЕ ПОЛИТИЧЕСКИЕ НОВОСТИ И ЗАЯВЛЕНИЯ ВЫЗВАЛИ РАЛЛИ НА РЫНКЕВчера индекс РТС вырос на 5% до 1 498 пунктов. Позитивное влияние оказал оптимизм на глобальных рынках, однако российский рынок вырвался вперед, очевидно, на надеждах инвесторов, что отвод российских воинских частей от границы с Украиной и заявления президента России Владимира Путина и канцлера Германии Олафа Шольца могут сигнализировать о снижении, по крайней мере временном, политических рисков для рынк...

Gazprom Neft Q4 21 Earnings Preview - Final DPS for 2021e might reach ...

Higher qoq oil prices and production to maintain Q4 21e revenue and EBITDA We estimate final 2021e DPS at RUB 15.5 under payout ratio of 50% of IFRS net income Q4 21e FCF should be pressed by spike qoq in capex The company is to report Q4 2021e results next week on February 17

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