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Alessio Chiesa ... (+2)
  • Alessio Chiesa
  • Raffaella Tenconi

EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – yield hunting after markets ha...

The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/13/2025

Carrefour: Saadé family acquires stake, Peninsula exits|Emeria: an equity fundraising to enable bond refinancing?|Advanz Q3 25 results: Adj. EBITDA drops yoy and net leverage increases further – but not surprising|grenke Q3 25 results: Good operational performance YTD, but loss rate and NPLs increase|Finnair: no surprises on the FY 2026-2029 targets at first sight|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 13/11/2025

Carrefour : entrée de la famille Saadé au capital et sortie de Peninsula|Emeria : une levée d’equity pour permettre le refinancement des obligations ?|Advanz Q3 25 results: Adj. EBITDA drops yoy and net leverage increases further – but not surprising|grenke Q3 25 results: Good operational performance YTD, but loss rate and NPLs increase|Finnair: no surprises on the FY 2026-2029 targets at first sight|

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; BHW PW; KRKG SV; AQ RO; MTELEKOM HB; WIZZ LN; DAT...

HEADLINES: • OPAP: tempting, but tricky (downgraded to HOLD) • Bank Handlowy: posts neutral set of 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Krka: 3Q25 results – positive surprise in the gross margin POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 3Q25 miss on gross margin compression NEGATIVE • Magyar Telekom: 3Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: 2Q FY26 – 10% EBIT beat on lower CASKX POSITIVE • DataWalk: actual 3Q25 numbers fully in line with th...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: THEON NA; OTP HB; DNP PW; INPST NA; MOL HB; MGROS TI; THYA...

Please excuse the lateness of our Daily today, due to technical issues. HEADLINES: • Theon International: impressions from the CMD POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 3Q25, in line with expectations; market waiting for management to reveal plans on surplus capital allocation decisions NEUTRAL • Dino: 2-3% EBITDA miss in 3Q25; lfl and EBITDA dynamics behind Zabka; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • InPost: 3Q25 slightly above expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance trimmed, on slower Yodel NEUTRAL • ...

Jakub Caithaml
  • Jakub Caithaml

WOOD Flash – EMEA airlines: 3Q25 traffic – softer yields and CASKX inf...

Low fuel prices remain a key tailwind for the sector, but many airlines under our coverage are seeing margin compression this year, as yields lag CASK inflation. The early summer was also affected negatively by the June escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. We expect Wizz Air to deliver c.20% EBIT growth, off a relatively low base last summer; while Aegean Airlines and Turkish Airlines to record mid-single digit yoy EBIT declines in 3Q25E, with the modest yield pressure and rising CASK ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; RICHT HB; CTPNV NA; FROTO ...

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 3Q25 results review – 55% yoy EBITDA growth, 3% above the consensus POSITIVE • Vercom: 3Q25 results review – 10% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above the consensus POSITIVE • Shoper: 3Q25 results review – EBITDA up 28% yoy, to PLN 18.4m, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Richter: weak 3Q25 across all segments NEGATIVE • CTP: 3Q25 – in line, FY targets reiterated NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 3Q25 results in line operationally NEUTRAL • Sok ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Hungarian BUX in the lead in Octob...

EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
ADNOCDRILL CTP NV
2381 ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE HELLENIQ ENERGY
H2O BOROUGE
AQ HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL GEVORKYAN A.S.
ZAB NOVAL PROPERTY
DSPW ZABKA GROUP
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Jovan Sikimic
  • Jovan Sikimic

ODDO : Healthy operational outlook absorbs higher tax beyond 2026

We think that the robust outlook for Polish economic growth should offset mid-term uncertainty on fiscal policy and political risk. We have made a slight upward revision to our forecasts for pre-tax profit (by 1% to 4%) but lowered our EPS forecasts by 21% for 2026e and 4% for 2027e. After factoring in the full impact of the new tax bill, we have adjusted our target prices but remain cautiously positive on Polish banks. We favour mBank (upgrade to Outperform) for its upbeat long-term outlook and...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (21 October 2025)

HEADLINES: • Duna House: good momentum in all three key markets (stays BUY) • Tofas: amendments to two agreements with Stellantis NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: UKE launches consultations on 900MHz band extension NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 3Q25E preview (due on 31 October) • CCC: 3Q25E prelims preview – 11% yoy EBITDA drop expected (due on 6 November, TBC) NEUTRAL • PKO BP: 3Q25E preview (due on 6 November) • LPP: 3Q25E results preview – 31% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 11 December) NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; EXAE GA; SOLUTION AB; MOL HB; NOVAL GA; DNP PW

HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: bracing for winter, waiting for spring (stays BUY) • Athens Exchange Group: BoD expresses unanimous support for Euronext's voluntary tender offer NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: extends the revenue-sharing agreement with Remat Riyadh Development Company POSITIVE • MOL: the company and its Partners increase gas capacity in Iraq POSITIVE • Noval Property: appoints Mr. Koutsopodiotis as CEO NEUTRAL • Dino Polska: 3Q25E preview – 14% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 6 November)...

Jakub Caithaml ... (+2)
  • Jakub Caithaml
  • Peter Palovic

Wizz Air: bracing for winter, waiting for spring (stays BUY)

We expect Wizz Air to have achieved a relatively-decent summer, mainly on stable yoy ex-fuel CASK (caskx). We maintain our negative view on the coming winter, however, and have adjusted our loss estimates upwards, as fast growth by Ryanair in several of Wizz Air’s key markets collides with the company’s own capacity acceleration. This could put pressure on yields and exacerbate losses. While things may get worse before they start getting better, we believe that upside risks prevail from the curr...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; MONET CP; ZAB PW

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: announces PLN 1.15bn of FX mortgage saga losses in 3Q25E NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 3Q25E preview (due on 23 October) • Zabka: 3Q25E results preview – 13% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 October) NEUTRAL • Short News (PEO)

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