HEADLINES: OMV: Strait-up winner (stays BUY) Benefit Systems: 4Q25 miss on adjusted EBIT; supportive update of 2025-27E strategy POSITIVE Huuuge Games: 4Q25 adjusted EBITDA above expectations, DTC channel continues to grow POSITIVE DIGI Communications: takes steps to enter UK telco market NEUTRAL GEK Terna: increases EYDAP stake to 12.8% POSITIVE EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (13-19 March) Austriacard: expands US footprint with new card personalisation facility POSITIVE
Following the attack on Iran by the US and Israel late last month which targeted key military sites and strategic infrastructure, as well as a retaliation by Iran, there have been structural shifts in the oil & gas and energy markets. In this report, we discuss the effects of these structural shifts, as well as the impact of the conflict on global supply chains and our coverage universe.
MOF Inc Fully Exits DNB; Cut Telco Earnings To Reflect Nearterm DNB Losses Highlights CelcomDigi and Maxis have each paid RM327.9m to purchase a third of MOF Inc’s shares in DNB and take over its loan. YTL is assumed to have finalised the purchase of the option as well. We expect DNB to operate at a loss up to 2028, which should progressively narrow due to the deep cost-cutting measures implemented. We assume losses of RM604m (2026) and RM431m (2027), and cut our net profit forecasts for Cel...
Digi held their first CMD since 2018 in Madrid yesterday and we attended. Management provided more detailed information on their plans for the next 5 years with the main focus being Spain given an IPO of the business looks likely in 2026
2025: In Line; 5G Remains An Overhang On The Industry Highlights 2025 sector earnings came in broadly in line, declining 3% yoy due to Axiata’s underperformance. TIME, TM and Maxis delivered double-digit earnings growth supporting their healthy dividend payout. 2025 was characterised by: a) persistent postpaid revenue growth from preto- postpaid migration; b) moderating prepaid churn, supported by ARPU uplift (+4% yoy); c) robust demand for fibre; and d) cost discipline. Maintain MARKET WE...
Greater China Economics | China China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, in line with expectations, while maintaining a 4% fiscal deficit ratio. Fiscal policy remains the main growth driver, supported by Rmb4.4t in local government special bonds and Rmb1.3t in ultra-long treasury bonds, while monetary policy stays accommodative. Policy priorities focus on AI+, New Quality Productive Forces, industrial upgrading, and targeted consumption support, alongside welfare improvements and ...
EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China's humanoid robotics sector is accelerating, with 2025 global shipments up 508%. Key players anticipate significant revenue contributions by 2031: CATL expects 3-7% from batteries; Minth and LeaderDrive project 5-12% and 45-65% respectively; Tuopu forecasts 15-25% from motion systems; and RoboSense targets 40-60% from LiDAR. We maintain a MARKET WEIGHT rating on the sector. Top BUY recommendations include CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth (target price ra...
4Q25: Below Expectations; Main Drag From Indonesia Highlights Axiata reported a 4Q25 net profit on continued operations of RM106m – a weak set of numbers due to XLSmart integration costs and LinkNet losses. 2025 net profit of RM365m on continued operations was below expectations. Associate dividends to the group amounted to RM1.7b, supporting dividends. Axiata’s balance sheet health continued to improve with net debt/EBITDA falling to 2.46x in 4Q25 (3Q25: 2.61x). The group declared a 5 sen i...
HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: 4Q25 – low LTV, high ROE POSITIVE • Kruk: issues preliminary 2025 net profit, almost in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: main shareholders (Mr. Solorz's heir) want to participate in next nuclear power project NEGATIVE • Dino Polska: 4Q25E preview – 3% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 March) NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 4Q25 preliminary results – adjusted EBITDA up 7% yoy, 6% below our estimate NEGATIVE • BIM: BoD decides to increase the paid-...
: CelcomDigi saw the recovery in service revenue trends continue, backed by continued Postpaid and Fibre strength. Profitability was weaker however due to higher traffic and bad debt costs, and margin guidance is disappointing.
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: grow baby, grow! (BUY - transfer of coverage) • ING BSK: 4Q25 results beat; solid DPS guidance; recent share price rally might have consumed part of the upside • mBank: solid 4Q25; rather cautious on the 2026E revenue outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales increase by 4.0% yoy NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 4Q25E results preview – solid yoy adjusted EBITDA improvement expected (due on 16 March) • GEK Terna: seals c.EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects – positive, b...
Portfolio Optimisation To Unlock Growth And Value Creation Highlights The edotco monetisation can happen in 2026, while Linknet may take a longer time to find a suitable investor. Valuation of the edotco - if it is sold - will not be on a fire-sale basis, and we expect a valuation of 10-12x EV/EBITDA. Axiata Group’s (Axiata) 2026-28 Investor Day highlighted that management will focus on the following three key areas: a) growing annual dividends by at or over 10% yoy; b) maintaining net debt/...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Recent equity placements proposals by Zhuhai Huafa Properties and Seazen signal improving equity financing conditions for mainland developers. Expected losses in 2025 will lower BPS for SOE/quasi-SOE developers, increasing the likelihood of state-owned capital injections amid industry consolidation. Jan 26 property sales data shows improved yoy performances in both the primary and secondary markets, partly due to a low base in Jan 25 which was impacte...
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: neutral 2025 results and DPS; 2026E dividend payout ratio trimmed and no major upside surprise in the 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Tauron / Enea: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25E preview – a weak quarter, with a 10% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA drop expected (due on 24 March) • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 25 February) • BRD-GSG: 4Q25 net profit...
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