EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
HEADLINES: • GTC: launches a landmark bond refinancing with a 6.5% EUR 455m 2030 tranche POSITIVE • Zabka: key takeaways from the Investor Day POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways • CCC: final 2Q25 EBITDA 3% below the prelims, on an earlier recognition of costs NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: end-3Q25 card base at 2.38m, Türkiye accelerated in September NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: September capacity growth slower than the summer, but better load factor NEUTRAL • OTE/DIGI Communications: sale o...
TM Leads Peers On The Path To Full Compliance Of Bursa Malaysia’s NSRF Highlights Malaysian telcos appear to be well-equipped to meet Bursa Malaysia’s sustainability reporting requirements, progressively aligning disclosures with Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) pillars and the NSRF. In addition, our ESG scoring suggests that TM and Maxis are ahead of their peers when it comes to ESG undertakings. The sector trades at 8x EV/EBITDA, +2SD above mean. Maintain MARKET...
Greater China Company Update | Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$23.53/Target: US$26.80) Miniso’s qtd business performance was in line with management’s expectations. Domestically, it has 12 Miniso Land stores, with a payback period of 3-4 months. Overseas, adjustments were implemented in the US market following the appointment of the new CEO, who has over 15 years of experience in local retailing. On proprietary IP strategy, Yoyo’s sales are expected to exceed Rmb100m in 2026. Management expects propr...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: growth acceleration priced in already (downgraded to HOLD) • GTC: moves to amend terms of the two outstanding Forint bonds • OTE/DIGI Communications: Telekom Romania sold to DIGI and Vodafone for EUR 70m POSITIVE • EMEA Airlines: flights cancelled in Europe over weekend due to cyberattack on airport software • Wizz Air: strike on 26 September may disrupt operations in Italy NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Titan: Fidelity Investments cuts ownership...
Service revenue improved to almost flat (-0.3% YoY from -1.1%), supported by Fibre growth and Postpaid growth offsetting Prepaid weakness. Operationally, Maxis delivered stronger EBITDA growth on cost efficiencies while CelcomDigi was weighed by higher bad debt provisions. Both reiterated their LSD service revenue guidance, implying a stronger second half.
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (8-14 September) • Greece macro: debt remains on a steep downward path • DIGI Communications: planning IPO of its Spanish subsidiary, reportedly POSITIVE • Georgia Capital: healthcare business prices GEL 350m bond offering NEUTRAL • Jahez: buyback approved during EGM (3.6% of total shares) NEUTRAL • Mavi: 2Q25E earnings preview (due on 17 September) • Short News (CDR, CAR)
We publish monthly front book pricing data in our Tariff Tracker product. In this report we show some new analysis looking at how front book tariffs are a good leading indicator for service revenue trends in mobile and fixed, including new work looking at discounted and undiscounted prices.
2Q25: Results In Line; Continued Pre-To-Postpaid Migration Broadly, 2Q25 sector earnings came in within expectations, except for Axiata and CelcomDigi. After the 2Q25 results announcement, we cut our earnings forecasts by 6%. The quarter was characterised by: a) 2% qoq service revenue growth, b) cost discipline, c) encouraging enterprise business pipeline, and d) robust demand for fibre. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; catalysts include Axiata’s infrastructure asset monetisation and CelcomDigi’s synergi...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
DIGI has reported its Q2 results today morning. While the revenue growth remained solid, supported by the continued strong customer base expansion on key markets, net profit to owners disappointed in this quarter as well which came in at EUR -0.9mn, 104% down YoY.
1H25: Below Expectations; Market Repair Seen In Frontier Markets Axiata’s 1H25 underlying net profit was RM206m (-36% yoy) as XLSmart was deconsolidated and earnings were affected by merger integration costs. This shadowed strong performance from SMART, Dialog and Robi. Results are below expectations and we cut 2025-26 net profit by 30% and 26%. BUY on share price weakness with a higher SOTP-based target price of RM3.00. Infrastructure asset monetisation and balance sheet optimisation are key re...
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