We are positive about PDD’s performance in 1Q24 driven by Temu. TEMU’s contribution continues to be significant, as it not only contributes to topline growth, but also to the margins. We estimate that TEMU likely contributes approximately 30% of GMV to PDD’s revenue. We estimate GMV Q/Q growth to be ~18.5% in 1Q24, with approximately two-thirds of GMV coming from the US market.
PDD Holdings to Report First Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results on May 22, 2024 DUBLIN and SHANGHAI, May 15, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDD Holdings Inc. (“PDD Holdings” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PDD) today announced that it will report its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024, before U.S. markets open on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. The Company’s management will hold an earnings conference call at 7:30 AM ET on May 22, 2024 (12:30 PM IST and 7:30 PM HKT on the same day). The conference call will be webcast live at . The webcast will be available for r...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
The HSI and MSCI China rose 7.4% and 6.4% mom respectively in April, lifted by news of a stock connect scheme expansion and further easing of restrictions on property purchases in China. With the July Politburo likely to see further supportive policy rollout, we are adding beneficiaries of improving domestic consumption − CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou and Tencent − to our BUY list, and closing out our SELL calls.
We expect promising 1Q24 results for PDD. We forecast continuously strong revenue growth of 104% yoy to Rmb76.7b on strong advertising revenue growth and robust commission revenue generated from Temu. Gross profit margin is estimated to contract 10ppt yoy to 60%, due to heightened cost from Temu. We forecast non-GAAP net profit to grow 41% yoy to Rmb14b, translating to a non-GAAP net profit margin of 18.7%. Maintain BUY with a target price of US$183.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile We raise 2024 forecasts on China’s PV sales growth and PEV sales growth from +8%/+21% to +10%/+24% on bigger-than-expected subsidies for the cash-for-clunker program and zero downpayment auto loans. Meanwhile, we lift the target prices of BYD, Geely, GWM, GAC and Yadea to HK$160.00/HK$13.00/HK$13.50/HK$3.30 /HK$20.00 respectively. Upgrade GWM from HOLD to BUY, and upgrade GAC from SELL to HOLD. Top BUY: CATL, Geely and Yadea. Top SELL: BYD, Li Auto and XPeng. ...
GREATER CHINA Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$5.72/Target: HK$6.40): 1Q24: Below expectations; low wind speed weighed on performance. COSCO SHIPPING Ports (1199 HK/BUY/HK$4.62/Target: HK$6.75): 1Q24: Results in line; steady performance in a seasonally slow quarter with headwinds. Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/BUY/Rmb14.13/Target: Rmb18.50): 1Q24: ICL revenue growth satisfactory; esoteric testing and self-developed product segments remain 2024’s key growth drivers. Foshan Haitian Flavou...
PDD Holdings Files Annual Report on Form 20-F for Fiscal Year 2023 DUBLIN and SHANGHAI, April 25, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDD Holdings Inc. (“PDD Holdings” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PDD) today announced that it filed its annual report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on April 25, 2024. The annual report can be accessed on the Company’s investor relations website at as well as the SEC’s website at . The Company will provide a hard copy of its annual report containing the audited consolidated financial stat...
Given the stabilising revenue growth and abundant cash on hand, mega-cap internet companies have been focusing on offering generous shareholder returns. For 2024, we expect consumption behaviour to switch to service and experience, which will continue to benefit OTA players. We believe other China internet names will outperform with overseas expansion and SFV players will continue to gain market shares with potential for take rate increases. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Adding AIA, Midea, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Shenzhen Inovance and Trip.com to our BUY list, with SELL calls on BYD, EVE Energy, and Li Auto. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Mar 24 and 1Q24: Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Expanding The Variety Of Events Bets: Our Alpha Picks trounced the KLCI in Mar 24. Apr 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MY...
What’s new: PDD’s reported 4Q23 results beat consensus and our expectations driven by improving consumer sentiment. PDD could continue to gain share in both domestic and overseas markets as the company remains focused on executing its high-quality development strategy in 2024. We maintain our PT at USD170. Analysts: Jin Yoon
PDD’s 4Q23 results beat expectations. Revenue surged 124% yoy to Rmb88.9b, 11% above consensus estimate, driven by strong advertising revenue growth and robust commission revenue generated from Temu. Gross margin contracted 17ppt yoy to 61%, due to higher cost from Temu. Non-GAAP net profit came in at Rmb25.5b, 51% above consensus estimate which translated to a non-GAAP net margin of 28.7%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of US$183.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$17.20/Target: HK$21.00) 2023: In line; all set to expand market share. CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK/BUY/HK$6.41/Target: HK$7.80) 2023: Results in line; expects double-digit revenue and earnings growth in 2024. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$8.83/Target: HK$11.00) 2023: Results beat on margins again; upgrade to BUY. Raise target price from HK$6.50 to HK$11.00. Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$39.35/Target: HK$60.00) 2023: Results ...
GREATER CHINA Results Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$8.83/Target: HK$11.00): 2023: Results beat on margins again; upgrade to BUY. Raise target price from HK$6.50 to HK$11.00. Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$39.35/Target: HK$60.00): 2023: Results beat; well positioned for sustainable growth in 2024. Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$52.25/Target: HK$85.00): 4Q23: Resilient earnings beat; strong ad monetisation momentum continues. Li Ning (2331 HK/HOLD/HK$21.45/Target: HK$19.60): 2023: Results miss; remain c...
PDD Holdings Announces Fourth Quarter 2023 and Fiscal Year 2023 Unaudited Financial Results DUBLIN and SHANGHAI, March 20, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDD Holdings Inc. (“PDD Holdings” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PDD), today announced its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter ended and the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023. Fourth Quarter 2023 Highlights Total revenues in the quarter were RMB88,881.0 million (US$1 12,518.6 million), an increase of 123% from RMB39,820.0 million in the same quarter of 2022.Operating profit in the quarter was RMB22,395.0 million (US$3,154.3 mill...
We are positive about PDD’s performance in 4Q23 driven by Temu. Temu’s business model is agency business, like that of VipShop’s (VIPS, $17.22, Not Rated) business model. Under such a model, we estimate that 30% of Temu’s GMV becomes its international revenue. Temu GMV has been growing and continues to grow rapidly. We estimate the Q/Q growth to be around 40% in 4Q23 with approximately two-thirds of GMV coming from the US market. Its recent expansion in Japan and Korea is also ramping up rapidly...
PDD Holdings to Report Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2023 Unaudited Financial Results on March 20, 2024 DUBLIN and SHANGHAI, March 13, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- PDD Holdings Inc. (“PDD Holdings” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: PDD) today announced that it will report its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, before U.S. markets open on Wednesday, March 20, 2024. The Company’s management will hold an earnings conference call at 7:30 AM ET on March 20, 2024 (11:30 AM GMT and 7:30 PM HKT on the same day). The conference call will be webcast ...
Temu achieved strong user engagement growth after sponsoring the Super Bowl in the US in February. We lift our global 2024 GMV forecast for Temu to US$38b from US$34b previously in view of the strong sales growth in Jan-Feb 24 boosted by the Super Bowl. We expect the launch of the new semi-entrusted model in March to further contribute to GMV growth in 2024. To defend against the potential US policy risks, Temu is expected to pivot its focus on Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Call: Adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Significant Outperformance In Feb 24: Our picks are BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%). Mar 24 picks significantly feature companies with good earnings momentum. SINGAPORE...
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