reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DOC AV; PKN PW; PZU PW; TXT PW; MOL HB; H2O RO; MTLN GA; M...
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: mixed 3Q FY26 P&L results; strong FCFF generation, double vs. last year NEUTRAL • Orlen: acquires stake in the Afrodite discovery in Norway NEUTRAL • PZU: 4Q25E results preview (due on 26 February) • Text: 3Q25-26E preview – 28% yoy EBITDA decline expected (due on 26 February) • MOL: to explore for oil and gas in Libya with TPAO and Repsol POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: preliminary 4Q25 total volumes sold 18% above our estimate POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: secures access ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; WPL PW; BDX PW; PKN PW; INPST NA; ENA PW; TPE PW;...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: only 6.7% of shares elect for cash exit; free float to remain above all-important 20% level POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: TUI renews cooperation with Wakacje.pl POSITIVE • Budimex: signs PLN 481m contract with GAZ-SYSTEM NEUTRAL • Orlen: 4Q25E results preview (due on 19 February) NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q25E preview – flattish adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 18 March) NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25E preview – 11% EBITDA drop on weaker Generation and Mining (prelims due on 23 March; full due ...
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
NLBR NLB GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EAT PW; SFG RO; INPST NA; MIL PW; PGE PW; APR PW; DVL PW; ...
HEADLINES: • AmRest/Sphera Group: no beauty and no beast (AmRest stays BUY, Sphera downgraded to HOLD) • InPost: EUR 15.6 offer from FedEx, Advent, A&R and PPF consortium POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: solid 4Q25 delivery, beat due to tax differences NEUTRAL • PGE: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: January sales growth drops to 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Develia: 4Q25E preview – 30% EBITDA drop, following margin normalisation (due on 3 April) • 4iG: 4Q25E preview – 4%...
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
DVL DEVELIA SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
INPST INPOST S.A.
4IG 4IG NYRT
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
- Lukasz Wachelko
- CFA
- Marek Szymański
AmRest/Sphera Group: no beauty and no beast (AmRest stays BUY, Sphera ...
Over the past year, Sphera’s share price has weathered the macro storm in Romania well, supported by its unique position of being the only consumer name listed locally. At the same time, AmRest has extended its downward move that started in 2024, as investors have kept on questioning the company’s weak earnings momentum and lack of triggers. At its current level of 8x 2026E EBITDA, on our estimates, we see Sphera as fully valued, and we downgrade the name to HOLD (from Buy), with a new price tar...
- Aurelien Sivignon
- Thomas Zlowodzki
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
PHA PHARMAGEST INTERACTIVE SA
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
EZJ EASYJET PLC
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
DUFN DUFRY AG
ALD ALD SA
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
NVM NOVEM GROUP SA
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
REL RELX PLC
DG VINCI SA
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
SK SEB SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
CPG COMPASS GROUP PLC
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
ORSTED ORSTED
EZJ EASYJET PLC
ENEL ENEL SPA
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
EMSN EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
SNP PETROM S.A.
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
LIN LINDE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
REL RELX PLC
DG VINCI SA
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
SK SEB SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
CPG COMPASS GROUP PLC
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
ORSTED ORSTED
EZJ EASYJET PLC
ENEL ENEL SPA
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
EMSN EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
SNP PETROM S.A.
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
LIN LINDE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Aurelien Sivignon
- Thomas Zlowodzki
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
PHA PHARMAGEST INTERACTIVE SA
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
EZJ EASYJET PLC
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
DUFN DUFRY AG
ALD ALD SA
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
NVM NOVEM GROUP SA
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: January 2026 – cold comfort for gas
Brent crude oil prices have finally stopped falling, bouncing by USD 3.1/bbl in January 2026. In December 2025, a small increase in oil production from OPEC was offset by declines in Russia and Kazakhstan. The WOOD benchmark refining margin rose slightly, but company margins declined. Olefin prices increased, while naphtha prices were stagnant, bringing some respite to petrochemicals.
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO : Long majors vs short LCC : le choix de 2026
Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO : Long legacy carriers vs short LCC: the choice for 2026
For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers
- Oliver Metzger
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BN DANONE SA
BAER JULIUS BAER GRUPPE AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
DEMANT DEMANT A/S
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
SHEL SHELL PLC
SGSN SGS SA
- Oliver Metzger
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BN DANONE SA
BAER JULIUS BAER GRUPPE AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
DEMANT DEMANT A/S
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
SHEL SHELL PLC
SGSN SGS SA
- Gabor Bukta
Halfway out of the turbulence
Summary We leave our TP at 20.0 GBP and reiterate our Buy recommendation, reflecting the ongoing restructuring story. Following the fiscal Q3/26 conference call held on 29 January, we repeatedly concluded that the fruitful strategic overhaul is under way. The management is building back confidence, so that’s good news for value investors. The problem is that they have to manage high-capacity growth (+24% seats and +30% ASK) during fiscal Q2/27. Key question remains how the market will be able ...
- Oleg Galbur
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
DVL DEVELIA SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
RICHT RICHTER
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
4IG 4IG NYRT
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
H2O ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SPLUS HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON SHOPPER PARK PLUS ZRT
ZAB THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
PE RO ZABKA GROUP
PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; CCC PW; ALE PW; INPST NA; BDX PW; SPL PW; SNP RO;...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 3Q FY26 – broadly in line NEUTRAL • CCC: profit warning – 4Q25 EBITDA down 50-60% yoy, FY25E guidance missed by 15% NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: Allegro raises delivery fees by c.4%, effective as of 2 March NEUTRAL • Budimex: extension of strategic options review process for FBSerwis until April 2026 NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: 4Q25E preview (due on 4 February) • OMV Petrom: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Titan: EUR 350m bond at 3.5% to fund M&A and...
- Research Team
- Bram Buring
- CFA
- Jonathan Lamb
Orlen: what a year that was (downgraded to HOLD)
We have downgraded Orlen to HOLD (from Buy), with a new price target (PT) of PLN 102.7 (from PLN 73.3), offering upside of -2.2%. For Orlen, 2025 was an annus mirabilis and the share price broke new records, so we see limited upside from here. Gas prices fell in 2025, lowering our expectations for upstream and supply EBITDA. Capex in 2025E was below plan, but we expect negative FCF in 2026-27E. Acquisitions and discoveries keep Orlen’s upstream segment on a growing trajectory, while the first of...
Grupa Kęty S.A.: 1 director
A director at Grupa Kęty S.A. sold 2,000 shares at 1,006.500PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 87/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...
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