COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CELLNEX, COLONIAL, FCC, MERLIN PROPERTIES, GRIFOLS, OHLA, SECTOR BANCARIO ESPAÑA. EUROPA: PROSUS. Respiro en las bolsas europeas Jornada de pérdidas moderadas en Europa, tras varios días de subidas que han llevado al STOXX 600 a máximos históricos y al Ibex a máximos de 2015, superando los 11.300 puntos. Dentro del STOXX 600, Seguros y R. Básicos mostraron el mejor comportamiento frente a las pérdidas de Autos e Industriales. Desde la macro, en la E...
The 1Q24 earnings reports of the four high yield telecom companies that are (partially) owned by Liberty Global were mixed. 1Q24 adj. EBITDA performance was strong at VodafoneZiggo and Sunrise, while it was soft at Telenet and Virgin Media O2. We prefer to own Sunrise and Ziggo, today. Given similar credit profiles and the same (partial) owner at the moment, Liberty Global, we expect limited spread dispersion across the group. The main challenge to this view is our idea that we expect that Liber...
Altice designates certain subsidiaries as unrestricted (Bloomberg)Elior: good H1 23/24 results and confidence in targetsMoody's upgrades Monte's ratings by one notch to Ba2 senior and Ba3 Tier 2Avolta (ex-Dufry): solid first quarter, guidance confirmedMaxeda: after a difficult FY 2023 (leverage above 5x), the group is counting on its free cash flow generation in 2024 to deleverage before refinancing next year.>...
Maxeda : après une année 2023 difficile (levier au-dessus de 5x), le groupe mise sur sa génération de free cash-flow en 2024 pour se désendetter avant son refinancement l’an prochainAltice désigne certaines filiales comme non restreintes (Bloomberg)Moody’s réhausse d’un cran les notes de Monte, à Ba2 en senior et à Ba3 en Tier 2Elior : bonne publication au S1 23/24 et confiance sur les objectifs fixésAvolta (ex-Dufry) : Très bon trimestre, guidances confirmées...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: strong 1Q24, but May card base estimate disappoints POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: 1Q24E results review – EBITDA up 46% yoy, 6% above the consensus; 2024E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Patria Bank: strong bottom-line print in 1Q24, but loan book development remains absent POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: 1Q24 EBITDA up 24% yoy, 17% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 1Q24 EBITDA 5% above our forecast, 6% miss vs. the consensus NEUTRAL • DataWalk: 1Q24 numbers fully in line with ...
Digi has reported a solid set of Q1 numbers vs expectations: Both SR and EBITDA growth rates are slower, but remain impressive. A launch in Portugal has been pushed back to H2 (same timing as for Belgium) and no further details were given on the launch particulars. We remain unconvinced that Digi can build NPV positive businesses in either market, but we think it will launch in both, with all the associated costs– indeed, Digi upped capex guidance for 2024 to €650m-€700m from €650m. This drag to...
HEADLINES: • InPost: strong 1Q24, as expected; FY24E guidance maintained; slight volume deceleration in 2Q24 so far POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q24 – occupancy and results stable so far; guidance maintained POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q24 above our expectations POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: 1Q24 – lower power prices offset by no tax on producers NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: 1Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 22% yoy, 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • AROBS Transilvania Software: weak 1Q24 results, ...
Vodafone’s FY results have less to unpack than usual, with Spain and Italy now treated as discontinued items, as a sign of the ongoing simplification of the group. New guidance given for FY25 looks supportive and is marginally ahead of consensus.
KPN reports on progress of € 200m share buyback KPN has rKPN reports on progress of € 200m share buybackepurchased 1,995,227 KPN ordinary shares in the period from 6 May to 10 May 2024. The shares were repurchased at an average price of € 3.39 per share for a total consideration of € 6.8m. These repurchases were made as part of the € 200m share buyback started on 1 February 2024, and are part of KPN's commitment to structurally return additional capital to its shareholders. The total number of ordinary shares repurchased to date is 54,001,838 for a total consideration of € 179.4m. Transac...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ALMIRALL, CELLNEX, GLOBAL DOMINION, GREENING, NATURGY. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Semana de rebote en las bolsas Semana de rebote en las bolsas que se acercan a máximos del año después de que el Banco de Inglaterra allanase...
NEWS SUMMARY: ALMIRALL, CELLNEX, GLOBAL DOMINION, GREENING, NATURGY. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets rallied last week Stock exchanges rallied last week, trading near annual highs after the Bank of England paved the way to initiate rate cuts next month and the governor Andrew Bailey stat...
We published our Global High Yield Quarterly this week – HERE. For a European perspective, we provide a summary of our thoughts and ideas on the European HY issuers in this piece, which takes excerpts from the Global HYQ and adds to it, including asset cover and a summary of our most preferred and least preferred names.
HEADLINES: • mBank: solid 1Q24 results justify one of the top market valuations (1Q24 P/BV of 2.1x) POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24 results in line • CCC: 40% EBITDA beat in 1Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA miss in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • AmRest: 1Q24 broadly in line with our forecasts, but below the consensus NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q24 results – EBITDA below expectations on maintenance NEUTRAL • MedLife: 1Q24 results poin...
Unifiedpost is a niche SaaS player in the e-invoicing and procurement channel space. Regulatory headwinds mean this market is ripe for growth, which should benefit Unifiedpost. Due to some unsuccessful past M&A, the company is in a challenging financial position today. However, it has recently embarked on a divestment path, aiming to streamline the business and improve its fundamentals. We like the new direction, however prefer to take a wait-and-see approach. - ...
HEADLINES: • Budimex: 1Q24 EBIT 13% above our forecast on solid gross margin, but broadly in line with the consensus POSITIVE • European oil and gas monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating • Bank Handlowy: to pay PLN 10/share dividend NEUTRAL • PKO BP: estimates cost of credit holidays extension at PLN 489m NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: expects a PLN 201-247m impact from the 2024E credit holidays extension for PLN mortgagors NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: April sales recover by 19.5% yoy POSITIVE • MOL: 1Q...
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