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Elders Limited: 1 director

A director at Elders Limited bought 8,000 shares at 7.560AUD and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Education: Widespread AI adoption to fuel education sector’s mon...

Following the global impact of ChatGPT, China’s DeepSeek AI model is rapidly gaining traction in education. Companies that successfully integrate AI are well-positioned to lead the next wave of industry transformation, securing a strategic advantage in the evolving market landscape. We believe high-quality open-source AI models and costeffective solutions will accelerate the commercialisation of AI-powered education products. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

TAL Educational Group (TAL US): 3QFY25: Strong earnings beat; profit t...

TAL delivered a strong set of 3QFY25 results. Revenue surged 62% yoy to US$606m for 3QFY25, 12-14% above our and consensus estimates. Gross profit grew 60% yoy to US$320m, with gross margin narrowing 1ppt yoy to 53%, due to the launch of lowerpriced AI learning devices in August. Non-GAAP net profit beat expectations and came in at US$39m vs consensus estimate of US$20m. Non-GAAP net margin expanded 7ppt yoy to 6%, indicating a profit turnaround. Maintain BUY with a target price of US$14.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, January 24, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales up 14% yoy and 30% wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Prolonged industry consolidation, moderation of global installation growth and rising protectionism challenge survivability. Results TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$11.07/Target: US$14.00): 3QFY25: Strong earnings beat; profit turnaround amid investment in learning devices. INDONESIA Results Bank Negara Indonesia...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+7)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Friday, January 24, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations grew 14% yoy and 30% wow in the third week of 2025. Geely Xingyuan maintained its top position in A0-segment pure EV sales, while Galaxy L7 EM-i led the A-segment PHEV SUV market in sales. China's 2025 "two-new" policy expands scrapping subsidies to some China IV vehicles, offering up to Rmb20,000 for EV purchases and introducing extended eligibility criteria. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV. ...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

EDU 2QFY25 Results: Rev Growth to Decelerate

What’s new: New Oriental’s reported 2QFY25 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus. Top-line growth could decelerate in 3QFY25 partly due to slowdown in segments such as overseas test prep amid challenging macros. Margin could also remain under pressure in 2HFY25. We lower our PT from USD65 to USD50 due to lowered outlook. Our revised PT of USD50 implies a 17.4x FY25E P/E. We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US): 2QFY25: Revenue in...

EDU’s 2QFY25 results missed our expectations. Revenue grew 19% yoy to US$1,039m, in line with consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net profit came in at US$36m, missing our and consensus estimates, while net margin shrank 2ppt yoy to 3% for 2QFY25. EDU expects 3QFY25 revenue (excluding East Buy) to increase 18-21% yoy to US$1,007.3m- 1,032.5m, 2-3ppt below forecasts. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$80.00 (HK$63.00).

Greater China Research Team ... (+3)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, January 22, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$64.80/Target: US$80.00) EDU’s 2QFY25 results missed our expectations. Revenue grew 19% yoy to US$1,039m, in line with consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net profit came in at US$36m, missing our and consensus estimates, while net margin shrank 2ppt yoy to 3% for 2QFY25. EDU expects 3QFY25 revenue (excluding East Buy) to increase 18-21% yoy to US$1,007.3m-1,032.5m, 2-3ppt below forecasts. Maintain BUY with a lower target ...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+6)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, January 22, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$64.80/Target: US$80.00): 2QFY25: Revenue in line but earnings miss expectations; better growth outlook in 2HFY25. INDONESIA Update Astra International (ASII IJ/BUY/Rp4,910/Target: Rp6,000): Diversifying its businesses to avoid depending solely on automobile. MALAYSIA Results Alpha IVF (ALPHA MK/BUY/RM0.33/Target: RM0.40): 2QFY25: Results within expectations as newly-launched sales office in China sees its maiden con...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Education: Key growth themes in 2025 upon policy clarity and AI ...

With a multi-faceted strategic transformation, EDU and TAL have entered a new phase of growth, riding on key themes like learning services, learning content solutions and overseas study. The distinct strategic approaches by both companies suggest that EDU mainly focuses on diversification and contextualisation of education services, whereas TAL emphasises the transformative potential of technological innovation. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+12)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, January 14, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Trade Export Growth Rebounded; Rush Order Ahead Of Tariffs? Sector Education Key growth themes in 2025 upon policy clarity and AI integration progress. Property Sales pull back mom before Chinese New Year; updates of 2024 op...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+11)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ming San Soong
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Philip Wong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, October 25, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical Co (300765 CH/BUY/Rmb31.13/Target: Rmb37.00) 9M24: Results in line; smooth progress in R&D and CSPC Baike acquisition. Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/HOLD/Rmb12.75/Target: Rmb13.50) 9M24: Results miss; targeting 2024 regular ICL revenue growth of 10% yoy. Downgrade to HOLD. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$10.12/Target: US$14.00) 2QFY25: Strong earnings beat; resilient growth visibility in AI learning devices. ...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

EDU 1QFY25 Results: Margin Pressure in 2QFY25

What’s new: New Oriental’s reported 1QFY25 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus. Margin could see downward pressure in 2QFY25 partly due to lower seasonality in the education business coupled with continued investments in the tourism segment. We lower our PT from USD70 to USD65 due to lowered outlook. Our revised PT of USD65 implies a 20.0x FY25E P/E. We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Page 8 (EDU US): 1QFY25: In ...

EDU’s 1QFY25 top-line slightly missed expectations. Revenue grew 30% yoy to US$1,435m, slightly missing consensus estimate and previous guidance of 31-34% yoy. Non-GAAP net profit rose 40% yoy to US$265m, above our and consensus estimates, while net margin inched up 1ppt yoy to 18% for 1QFY25. EDU expects 2QFY25 revenue (excluding East Buy) to rise 25-28% yoy to US$851.4m-871.8m, 1-2ppt below expectations. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$85.00 (HK$66.00).

Colin Lee ... (+8)
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Thursday, October 24, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) HKEX reported a 6.5% yoy earnings growth in 3Q24 after a sharp increase in headline ADT following the rollout of stimulus packages by China in late-September. Although market velocity has normalised, ADT remains elevated, and NII could be more resilient going forward, suggesting more upside for earnings. The risk-to-reward ratio is more balanced now after the recent correction as HKEX is trading ...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+15)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, October 24, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) 3Q24: Risk-and-reward is more balanced. Upgrade to BUY. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/HOLD/Rmb24.42/Target: Rmb22.70) 3Q24: Net profit misses, but visibility of recovery improving. Downgrade to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$62.15/Target: US$85.00) 1QFY25: In line; moderated growth outlook in 2QFY25 on low seasonality. Update Xtep International Holdings (...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

TAL Educational Group (TAL US): 1QFY25: Solid earnings beat; expecting...

1QFY25 results beat expectations. Revenue surged 50% yoy to US$414m for 1QFY25, 5% above the street’s estimates. Non-GAAP net profit beat expectations and came in at US$30m vs consensus estimate of a US$6m net loss. TAL guided 2QFY25 revenue growth of 44-47% yoy and reach US$593m-605m, 5% above consensus estimate. However, non-GAAP operating profit is guided to decline yoy due to new product development, below expectations. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$12.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Friday, August 2, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls Chinese equities fell more than 2% in July, losing initial gains after the Third Plenum did not lead to new stimulus policies. For August, 1H24 results would be the catalyst for most stocks, and we expect earnings of EV names to be under pressure given the intense price competition. We add Cosco Shipping Ports, Haier Smart Home, and KE Holdings to our BUY list and SELL on WuXi Bio and XPeng to diversify away our market risk exposur...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+24)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 02, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls We expect stimulus to be announced in August and add COSCO Shipping Ports, Haier Smart Home, and KE Holdings to our BUY list and add SELL call on WuXi Bio, and XPeng. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal amid share price pullback; eyes on interim dividend surprise. Sector Automobile ...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
600690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS A
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
IZZ TAL EDUCATION GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
TWOU 2U INC.
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
ASM PACIFIC TECHNOLOGY LIMITED
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
AW9U FIRST REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
PENT PENTAMASTER CORP BHD
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FNH FRASER & NEAVE HOLDINGS BHD
CPALL TB CP ALL
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
OSP OSOTSPA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
1199 COSCO SHIPPING PORTS LIMITED
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
FLT FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
CTOS CTOS DIGITAL BHD
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
DCREIT DIGITAL CORE REIT
MPACT MAPLETREE PAN ASIA COMMERCIAL TRUST
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
PRIME PRIME ROAD POWER PUBLIC CO LTD
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
09868 XPENG INC
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

EDU 4QFY24 Results: Margin Expansion in Education Segment Partly Offse...

What’s new: New Oriental’s reported 4QFY24 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. Margins were below expectations partly due to continued expansion of learning centers and one-time impact related to East Buy. We lower our PT from USD80 to USD70 due to lowered outlook. Our revised PT of USD70 implies a 20.0x FY25E P/E. We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

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