A director at Elders Limited bought 8,000 shares at 7.560AUD and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
Following the global impact of ChatGPT, China’s DeepSeek AI model is rapidly gaining traction in education. Companies that successfully integrate AI are well-positioned to lead the next wave of industry transformation, securing a strategic advantage in the evolving market landscape. We believe high-quality open-source AI models and costeffective solutions will accelerate the commercialisation of AI-powered education products. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector.
TAL delivered a strong set of 3QFY25 results. Revenue surged 62% yoy to US$606m for 3QFY25, 12-14% above our and consensus estimates. Gross profit grew 60% yoy to US$320m, with gross margin narrowing 1ppt yoy to 53%, due to the launch of lowerpriced AI learning devices in August. Non-GAAP net profit beat expectations and came in at US$39m vs consensus estimate of US$20m. Non-GAAP net margin expanded 7ppt yoy to 6%, indicating a profit turnaround. Maintain BUY with a target price of US$14.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales up 14% yoy and 30% wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Prolonged industry consolidation, moderation of global installation growth and rising protectionism challenge survivability. Results TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$11.07/Target: US$14.00): 3QFY25: Strong earnings beat; profit turnaround amid investment in learning devices. INDONESIA Results Bank Negara Indonesia...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations grew 14% yoy and 30% wow in the third week of 2025. Geely Xingyuan maintained its top position in A0-segment pure EV sales, while Galaxy L7 EM-i led the A-segment PHEV SUV market in sales. China's 2025 "two-new" policy expands scrapping subsidies to some China IV vehicles, offering up to Rmb20,000 for EV purchases and introducing extended eligibility criteria. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay SV. ...
What’s new: New Oriental’s reported 2QFY25 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus. Top-line growth could decelerate in 3QFY25 partly due to slowdown in segments such as overseas test prep amid challenging macros. Margin could also remain under pressure in 2HFY25. We lower our PT from USD65 to USD50 due to lowered outlook. Our revised PT of USD50 implies a 17.4x FY25E P/E. We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
EDU’s 2QFY25 results missed our expectations. Revenue grew 19% yoy to US$1,039m, in line with consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net profit came in at US$36m, missing our and consensus estimates, while net margin shrank 2ppt yoy to 3% for 2QFY25. EDU expects 3QFY25 revenue (excluding East Buy) to increase 18-21% yoy to US$1,007.3m- 1,032.5m, 2-3ppt below forecasts. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$80.00 (HK$63.00).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$64.80/Target: US$80.00) EDU’s 2QFY25 results missed our expectations. Revenue grew 19% yoy to US$1,039m, in line with consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net profit came in at US$36m, missing our and consensus estimates, while net margin shrank 2ppt yoy to 3% for 2QFY25. EDU expects 3QFY25 revenue (excluding East Buy) to increase 18-21% yoy to US$1,007.3m-1,032.5m, 2-3ppt below forecasts. Maintain BUY with a lower target ...
GREATER CHINA Results New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$64.80/Target: US$80.00): 2QFY25: Revenue in line but earnings miss expectations; better growth outlook in 2HFY25. INDONESIA Update Astra International (ASII IJ/BUY/Rp4,910/Target: Rp6,000): Diversifying its businesses to avoid depending solely on automobile. MALAYSIA Results Alpha IVF (ALPHA MK/BUY/RM0.33/Target: RM0.40): 2QFY25: Results within expectations as newly-launched sales office in China sees its maiden con...
With a multi-faceted strategic transformation, EDU and TAL have entered a new phase of growth, riding on key themes like learning services, learning content solutions and overseas study. The distinct strategic approaches by both companies suggest that EDU mainly focuses on diversification and contextualisation of education services, whereas TAL emphasises the transformative potential of technological innovation. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector.
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade Export Growth Rebounded; Rush Order Ahead Of Tariffs? Sector Education Key growth themes in 2025 upon policy clarity and AI integration progress. Property Sales pull back mom before Chinese New Year; updates of 2024 op...
GREATER CHINA Results CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical Co (300765 CH/BUY/Rmb31.13/Target: Rmb37.00) 9M24: Results in line; smooth progress in R&D and CSPC Baike acquisition. Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/HOLD/Rmb12.75/Target: Rmb13.50) 9M24: Results miss; targeting 2024 regular ICL revenue growth of 10% yoy. Downgrade to HOLD. TAL Educational Group (TAL US/BUY/US$10.12/Target: US$14.00) 2QFY25: Strong earnings beat; resilient growth visibility in AI learning devices. ...
What’s new: New Oriental’s reported 1QFY25 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus. Margin could see downward pressure in 2QFY25 partly due to lower seasonality in the education business coupled with continued investments in the tourism segment. We lower our PT from USD70 to USD65 due to lowered outlook. Our revised PT of USD65 implies a 20.0x FY25E P/E. We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
EDU’s 1QFY25 top-line slightly missed expectations. Revenue grew 30% yoy to US$1,435m, slightly missing consensus estimate and previous guidance of 31-34% yoy. Non-GAAP net profit rose 40% yoy to US$265m, above our and consensus estimates, while net margin inched up 1ppt yoy to 18% for 1QFY25. EDU expects 2QFY25 revenue (excluding East Buy) to rise 25-28% yoy to US$851.4m-871.8m, 1-2ppt below expectations. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$85.00 (HK$66.00).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) HKEX reported a 6.5% yoy earnings growth in 3Q24 after a sharp increase in headline ADT following the rollout of stimulus packages by China in late-September. Although market velocity has normalised, ADT remains elevated, and NII could be more resilient going forward, suggesting more upside for earnings. The risk-to-reward ratio is more balanced now after the recent correction as HKEX is trading ...
GREATER CHINA Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) 3Q24: Risk-and-reward is more balanced. Upgrade to BUY. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/HOLD/Rmb24.42/Target: Rmb22.70) 3Q24: Net profit misses, but visibility of recovery improving. Downgrade to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$62.15/Target: US$85.00) 1QFY25: In line; moderated growth outlook in 2QFY25 on low seasonality. Update Xtep International Holdings (...
1QFY25 results beat expectations. Revenue surged 50% yoy to US$414m for 1QFY25, 5% above the street’s estimates. Non-GAAP net profit beat expectations and came in at US$30m vs consensus estimate of a US$6m net loss. TAL guided 2QFY25 revenue growth of 44-47% yoy and reach US$593m-605m, 5% above consensus estimate. However, non-GAAP operating profit is guided to decline yoy due to new product development, below expectations. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$12.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls Chinese equities fell more than 2% in July, losing initial gains after the Third Plenum did not lead to new stimulus policies. For August, 1H24 results would be the catalyst for most stocks, and we expect earnings of EV names to be under pressure given the intense price competition. We add Cosco Shipping Ports, Haier Smart Home, and KE Holdings to our BUY list and SELL on WuXi Bio and XPeng to diversify away our market risk exposur...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls We expect stimulus to be announced in August and add COSCO Shipping Ports, Haier Smart Home, and KE Holdings to our BUY list and add SELL call on WuXi Bio, and XPeng. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal amid share price pullback; eyes on interim dividend surprise. Sector Automobile ...
What’s new: New Oriental’s reported 4QFY24 top-line results that were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. Margins were below expectations partly due to continued expansion of learning centers and one-time impact related to East Buy. We lower our PT from USD80 to USD70 due to lowered outlook. Our revised PT of USD70 implies a 20.0x FY25E P/E. We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
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