reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Downgrading Utilities to Market Weight We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059. Shorter-term, the SPX continues to make higher lows as new leaders emerge and rotations continue; we would need to see a break below 6340-6360 in order to have confidence that a consolidation period has finally begun. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150...
RGLD ROYAL GOLD INC.
Z ZILLOW GROUP INC. CLASS C
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
FNV. FRANCO-NEVADA CORPORATION
CDNS CADENCE DESIGN SYSTEMS INC.
AGI. ALAMOS GOLD INC.
ABX. BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION
K. KINROSS GOLD CORPORATION
IMG. IAMGOLD CORPORATION
NEM NEM INSURANCE
IGV I GRANDI VIAGGI
JMIA JUMIA TECHNOLOGIES
FROG JFROG
U UNITY SOFTWARE
PLTR PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES
HIMS HIMS AND HERS HEALTH INC (A)
APP APPLOVIN CORP
SOUN SOUNDHOUND AI INC
RR RICHTECH ROBOTICS INC
GRALV GRAIL INC.
RDDT REDDIT INC
RZLV REZOLVE AI LIMITED
Shopify Inc: 2 directors
Two Directors at Shopify Inc sold/sold after exercising options 19,222 shares at between 136.602USD and 136.882USD. The significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the c...
- Dan Salmon
- Dan Salmon
Shopify (SHOP, Neutral, raising target to $127 from $105) Is a capita...
We think AI commerce is likely now a new driver of GMV, alongside Enterprise, B2B, offline and International. But how SHOP fits into the pareto optimal monetization of consumer AI long-term remains to be seen. Is it an affiliate link or ad? Is it a product listing? A payments provider? All three?
- Wedbush Research
SHOP SHOPIFY INC.
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
SIMON SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION SPONSORED ADR
PSTG PURE STORAGE INC. CLASS A
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
NTAP NETAPP INC.
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
EXPE EXPEDIA GROUP INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
EBAY EBAY INC.
AXTI AXT INC.
WD WALKER & DUNLOP INC.
2330 TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
2303 UNITED MICROELECTRONICS CORP.
CVNA CARVANA CO. CLASS A
OVID OVID THERAPEUTICS
SE SEA ADS
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
BKNG BOOKING HOLDINGS INC.
LYFT LYFT
PINS PINTEREST INC. CLASS A
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
FMCC FEDERAL HOME LOAN MORTGAGE CORPORATION
SMCI SUPER MICRO COMPUTER
DASH INC.
ABNB DOORDASH
PLTR AIRBNB INC. CLASS A
BUR PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES
FNMA BURFORD CAPITAL
XMTR FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION
XOS XOMETRY
STX INC.
TTD XOS INC.
GFS SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDGS PLC
CINT THE TRADE DESK
YOU INC.
RUM GLOBALFOUNDRIES INC
ALCC CI&T INC
CART CLEAR SECURE INC
ANRO RUMBLE INC
JBIO ALTC ACQUISITION CORP
MAPLEBEAR INC.
ALTO NEUROSCIENCE INC
JADE BIOSCIENCES INC
- Matthew Weiss
- Scott Devitt
2Q25 Postmortem: Sentiment Guide Following Results
Following 2Q results, momentum seems most favorable for the companies below:META (Outperform) - While sentiment was already elevated ahead of the print, 2Q results were strong and guidance for 3Q was encouraging, with expectations for revenue growth ahead of initial St. estimates by ~700bps. Additi
SHOP SHOPIFY INC.
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
EXPE EXPEDIA GROUP INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
EBAY EBAY INC.
CVNA CARVANA CO. CLASS A
SE SEA ADS
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
BKNG BOOKING HOLDINGS INC.
LYFT LYFT
PINS PINTEREST INC. CLASS A
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
DASH DOORDASH
ABNB AIRBNB INC. CLASS A
XMTR XOMETRY
TTD INC.
YOU THE TRADE DESK
RUM INC.
CART CLEAR SECURE INC
RUMBLE INC
MAPLEBEAR INC.
- Dan Salmon
Shopify (SHOP, Neutral, $105 target) GMV/revenue acceleration and AI e...
In this first take following this morning’s results we focus on: 1. 1st stock upside driver is 3Q25 revenue guidance, the second 2nd leg is AI enthusiasm 2. GMV and revenue strength are the star of today’s show 3. Latest AI innovations target a future of agentic commerce 4. Gross profit lags revenue as absolute dollar growth remains the focus 5. FCF margin outlook unchanged as reinvestment remains the focus
- Matthew Weiss
- Scott Devitt
Positive Inflection; OP, $160 PT
Figure 1. 2Q25 ResultsSource: Company documents, Wedbush estimates, FactSet consensus2Q results healthy versus expectations. Shopify delivered 2Q GMV of $87.8B (+30.6% Y/Y) vs. consensus of $81.6B (+21.4% Y/Y), and total revenue of $2.7B (+31.1% Y/Y), approximately ~5% above St. expectations. GMV g
- Wedbush Research
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TSLA TESLA INC
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
SIMON SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION SPONSORED ADR
PSTG PURE STORAGE INC. CLASS A
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
NTAP NETAPP INC.
NCMI NATIONAL CINEMEDIA INC.
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
IMAX IMAX CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
EXPE EXPEDIA GROUP INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
EBAY EBAY INC.
CNK CINEMARK HOLDINGS INC.
AXTI AXT INC.
AMC AMC ENTERTAINMENT HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
2330 TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
2303 UNITED MICROELECTRONICS CORP.
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
BKNG BOOKING HOLDINGS INC.
TSEM TOWER SEMICONDUCTOR LTD
LYFT LYFT
PINS PINTEREST INC. CLASS A
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
DASH DOORDASH
ABNB AIRBNB INC. CLASS A
STX SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDGS PLC
GFS GLOBALFOUNDRIES INC
YOU CLEAR SECURE INC
CART MAPLEBEAR INC.
- Matthew Weiss
- Scott Devitt
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
EXPE EXPEDIA GROUP INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
EBAY EBAY INC.
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
BKNG BOOKING HOLDINGS INC.
LYFT LYFT
PINS PINTEREST INC. CLASS A
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
DASH DOORDASH
ABNB AIRBNB INC. CLASS A
YOU CLEAR SECURE INC
CART MAPLEBEAR INC.
- Wedbush Research
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
SIMON SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION SPONSORED ADR
PSTG PURE STORAGE INC. CLASS A
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
NTAP NETAPP INC.
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
ETSY ETSY INC.
EBAY EBAY INC.
AXTI AXT INC.
2330 TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
2303 UNITED MICROELECTRONICS CORP.
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
SMCI SUPER MICRO COMPUTER
VOR INC.
STX VOR BIOPHARMA
GFS SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDGS PLC
GLOBALFOUNDRIES INC
- Matthew Weiss
- Scott Devitt
- Wedbush Research
SHOP SHOPIFY INC.
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TTWO TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE INC.
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
SIMON SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION SPONSORED ADR
PSTG PURE STORAGE INC. CLASS A
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
NTAP NETAPP INC.
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
EXPE EXPEDIA GROUP INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
EBAY EBAY INC.
AXTI AXT INC.
2330 TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
2303 UNITED MICROELECTRONICS CORP.
CVNA CARVANA CO. CLASS A
SE SEA ADS
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
RCKT ROCKET PHARMACEUTICALS
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
BKNG BOOKING HOLDINGS INC.
NICE NICE LTD
LYFT LYFT
PINS PINTEREST INC. CLASS A
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
GOSS GOSSAMER BIO
DT DYNATRACE INC.
SMCI SUPER MICRO COMPUTER
TVTX INC.
DASH TRAVERE THERAPEUTICS INC
ABNB DOORDASH
NUVB AIRBNB INC. CLASS A
XMTR NUVATION BIO INC (A)
XOS XOMETRY
STX INC.
TTD XOS INC.
TMC SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDGS PLC
GFS THE TRADE DESK
YOU INC.
RUM THE METALS COMPANY INC
SLDB GLOBALFOUNDRIES INC
CART CLEAR SECURE INC
LAC. RUMBLE INC
MXL-US SOLID BIOSCIENCES INC
MAPLEBEAR INC.
LITHIUM AMERICAS CORP NEW
MAXLINEAR
INC.
- Matthew Weiss
- Scott Devitt
SHOP SHOPIFY INC.
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
EXPE EXPEDIA GROUP INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
EBAY EBAY INC.
CVNA CARVANA CO. CLASS A
SE SEA ADS
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
BKNG BOOKING HOLDINGS INC.
LYFT LYFT
PINS PINTEREST INC. CLASS A
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
DASH DOORDASH
ABNB AIRBNB INC. CLASS A
XMTR XOMETRY
TTD INC.
YOU THE TRADE DESK
RUM INC.
CART CLEAR SECURE INC
RUMBLE INC
MAPLEBEAR INC.
- Dan Salmon
Shopify (SHOP, Neutral, $90 target) Expect FCF consensus to ease back ...
What’s New: In this first take we focus on: 1. 2QTD GMV trends solid. Key question: how much of it is being pulled forward? 2. 2Q gross margin guidance should bring FCF margin consensus back to reality 3. Enterprise pipeline continues to show strength
- Matthew Weiss
- Scott Devitt
- Wedbush Research
TSLA TESLA INC
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
LOW LOWE'S COMPANIES INC.
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
EXPE EXPEDIA GROUP INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
EBAY EBAY INC.
ARE ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE EQUITIES INC.
SE SEA ADS
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
GM GENERAL MOTORS COMPANY
BKNG BOOKING HOLDINGS INC.
LYFT LYFT
PINS PINTEREST INC. CLASS A
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
PEAK HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES INC.
IDYA IDEAYA BIOSCIENCES
DASH DOORDASH
ABNB AIRBNB INC. CLASS A
XMTR XOMETRY
TTD INC.
YOU THE TRADE DESK
EWTX INC.
RUM CLEAR SECURE INC
CART EDGEWISE THERAPEUTICS INC
RUMBLE INC
MAPLEBEAR INC.
- Matthew Weiss
- Scott Devitt
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
MELI MERCADOLIBRE INC.
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
EXPE EXPEDIA GROUP INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
EBAY EBAY INC.
SE SEA ADS
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
BKNG BOOKING HOLDINGS INC.
LYFT LYFT
PINS PINTEREST INC. CLASS A
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
DASH DOORDASH
ABNB AIRBNB INC. CLASS A
XMTR XOMETRY
TTD INC.
YOU THE TRADE DESK
RUM INC.
CART CLEAR SECURE INC
RUMBLE INC
MAPLEBEAR INC.
- Wedbush Research
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
PHM PULTEGROUP INC.
TSLA TESLA INC
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
TOL TOLL BROTHERS INC.
QLYS QUALYS INC.
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
EXPE EXPEDIA GROUP INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
EBAY EBAY INC.
CRM SALESFORCE.COM INC.
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
BLDR BUILDERS FIRSTSOURCE INC.
EA ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.
TMHC TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORPORATION
PTGX PROTAGONIST THERAPEUTICS
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
ZG ZILLOW GROUP INC. CLASS A
BKNG BOOKING HOLDINGS INC.
LYFT LYFT
PINS PINTEREST INC. CLASS A
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
CRWD CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
FUBO FUBOTV
DASH DOORDASH
ABNB AIRBNB INC. CLASS A
UFPI UFP INDUSTRIES INC.
TTD THE TRADE DESK
YOU INC.
APGE CLEAR SECURE INC
CART APOGEE THERAPEUTICS INC
ORKA MAPLEBEAR INC.
ZBIO ORUKA THERAPEUTICS INC
ZENAS BIOPHARMA INC.
- Daniel Ives
- Matthew Weiss
- Scott Devitt
- Seth Basham
TRIP TRIPADVISOR INC.
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
EXPE EXPEDIA GROUP INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
EBAY EBAY INC.
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
BKNG BOOKING HOLDINGS INC.
LYFT LYFT
PINS PINTEREST INC. CLASS A
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
DASH DOORDASH
ABNB AIRBNB INC. CLASS A
YOU CLEAR SECURE INC
CART MAPLEBEAR INC.
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