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Shopify Inc: 4 directors

Four Directors at Shopify Inc sold after exercising options/sold 79,187 shares at between 163.431USD and 164.309USD. The significance rating of the trade was 98/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the ...

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

2025 Holiday eCommerce Tracker: Cautiously Optimistic

Holiday sales began last month with Amazon hosting its Prime Big Deal Days on October 7 and 8 alongside similar early deal events from retailers. Forecasts from Bain and Adobe anticipated Amazon US GMV growth of +7% and +6% Y/Y, respectively, during the two-day event. The majority of purchases duri

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

3Q25 Postmortem: Sentiment Guide Following Results

Post-results, we think the disconnect between fundamentals and investor sentiment offers attractive upside for the highest-quality names in our coverage. We’ve become more constructive on the companies below:META (Outperform) - We are adding Meta Platforms to the Best Ideas List and maintain our $9

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Shopify (SHOP, Neutral, $155 target) One key question - how much GMV w...

We raise our target price from $127 to $155 on higher estimates post-earnings and higher valuation on based on improved GMV and revenue growth, and an AI narrative rounding into form.

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

Solid Results, High Expectations; OP, $185 PT

Figure 1. 3Q25 ResultsSource: Company documents, Wedbush estimates, FactSet consensus3Q results healthy versus expectations. Shopify delivered 3Q GMV of $92.0B (+32.0% Y/Y) vs. consensus of $89.2B (+27.9% Y/Y), and total revenue of $2.8B (+31.5% Y/Y), approximately ~3% above St. expectations. GMV g

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Downgrading Utilities to Market Weight We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059. Shorter-term, the SPX continues to make higher lows as new leaders emerge and rotations continue; we would need to see a break below 6340-6360 in order to have confidence that a consolidation period has finally begun. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150...

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

eComm Update: Inflation supports near-term growth in the face of tarif...

We are raising our US and Global ex China eCommerce estimates in 2025, while 2026 growth eases a little owing to the harder comps.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Shopify (SHOP, Neutral, raising target to $127 from $105) Is a capita...

We think AI commerce is likely now a new driver of GMV, alongside Enterprise, B2B, offline and International. But how SHOP fits into the pareto optimal monetization of consumer AI long-term remains to be seen. Is it an affiliate link or ad? Is it a product listing? A payments provider? All three?

Matthew Weiss ... (+2)
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

2Q25 Postmortem: Sentiment Guide Following Results

Following 2Q results, momentum seems most favorable for the companies below:META (Outperform) - While sentiment was already elevated ahead of the print, 2Q results were strong and guidance for 3Q was encouraging, with expectations for revenue growth ahead of initial St. estimates by ~700bps. Additi

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Shopify (SHOP, Neutral, $105 target) GMV/revenue acceleration and AI e...

In this first take following this morning’s results we focus on: 1. 1st stock upside driver is 3Q25 revenue guidance, the second 2nd leg is AI enthusiasm 2. GMV and revenue strength are the star of today’s show 3. Latest AI innovations target a future of agentic commerce 4. Gross profit lags revenue as absolute dollar growth remains the focus 5. FCF margin outlook unchanged as reinvestment remains the focus

Matthew Weiss ... (+2)
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

Positive Inflection; OP, $160 PT

Figure 1. 2Q25 ResultsSource: Company documents, Wedbush estimates, FactSet consensus2Q results healthy versus expectations. Shopify delivered 2Q GMV of $87.8B (+30.6% Y/Y) vs. consensus of $81.6B (+21.4% Y/Y), and total revenue of $2.7B (+31.1% Y/Y), approximately ~5% above St. expectations. GMV g

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