Auf Konzernebene ist es Erlebnis Akademie gelungen, die dynamische Entwicklung des ersten Halbjahres auch im dritten Quartal fortzusetzen. Bei Einbeziehung der ausländischen Standorte wurde in den ersten neun Monaten 2018 ein Umsatzwachstum von 49,6% erzielt. Über alle acht in- und ausländischen Standorte lagen die Besucherzahlen bei 1,891 Mio. (Vorjahr 1,403 Mio., +34,8% YoY). Während die Besucherzahlen der vier deutschen Standorte temperaturbedingt um 5,5% rückläufig waren, wurden die Besucherzahlen der ausländischen Standorte durch die neu eröffneten Baumwipfelpfade auf 765.000 mehr als verdreifacht. Dies zeigt nach unserer Einschätzung, dass die eingeschlagene Internationalisierungsstrategie die Wetterabhängigkeit des Unternehmens deutlich verringert. Auf Sicht von zwölf Monaten bestätigen wir bei nahezu unveränderten Umsatz- und Ergebnisprognosen unser aus einem dreistufigen DCF-Entity-Modell abgeleitetes Zwölfmonats-Kursziel von EUR 27,20 je Aktie. Gegenüber dem gestrigen Schlusskurs von EUR 20,40 entspricht dies einem Kurssteigerungspotenzial von 33,3%. Nach der klaren Outperformance der vergangenen Monate (YTD +69,3% vs. DAX -14,3%) bekräftigen wir unser Buy-Rating für die Aktien der Erlebnis Akademie AG.
Erlebnis Akademie AG is a Germany-based company engaged in the leisure and recreation industry. The Company designs, constructs and operates barrier-free nature experience facilities. It operates three treetop paths in Germany in the Bavarian and Black Forests, and in the Czech Republic in Lipno. In addition, the Company provides seminar, event and team training. Its partners include Deutsche Bundesstiftung Umwelt, Lesycr, Nationalpark Bayerischer Wald and Naturpark Schwarzwald Mitte/Nord. The Company operates Akademie Adrenalinovych Zazitku sro and DoNature GmbH as wholly owned subsidiaries, and Stezka Korunami Stromu Krkonose sro as a majority owned subsidiary.
Founded in 2010, Sphene Capital is a German based pure-play research house offering state-of-the-art research and evaluation services to European small- and mid-caps by avoiding typical conflict of interests of traditional investment banks.
As a general rule, analysts of Sphene Capital strive to understand companies better than any other analyst or investor before publishing their initiation reports. Therefore, the comprehensive initiation research reports comprise of 50-80 pages, including an extensive analysis of the value chain of the IPO candidate, its unique selling proposition, an elaborate analysis of suppliers and clients, a thorough SWOT analysis, a commercial due diligence (i. e. market and competitive analysis), an integrated financial forecast model and a profound company valuation (both DCF methodology and peer group multiples). Before publication, each of Sphene Capital’s research report will be double-checked by a fellow research colleague (“Four-eyes-principle”), ensuring highest quality and avoiding careless mistakes.
After initiation of research coverage, Sphene Capital publishes regular updates of 12-30 pages following relevant news flow from the issuer or major peers, f. ex. after acquisitions or after publication of quarterly results.
Due to Sphene Capital’s extensive experience in equity and bond research, the team has established longstanding contacts to all relevant market players, i. e. institutional investors, family offices and high net-worth individuals as well as journalists. To each of these groups, Sphene Capital’s research analysts have regular contacts during analyst and management roadshows or via daily phone calls. Finally, analysts publish articles in selected stock markets magazines and websites in which the analysts help issuers to improve their popularity on the German capital markets.
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