Report
Valens Research

T - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 05 11

AT&T Inc. (T:USA) is currently trading near recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 16.1x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in somewhat bearish expectations for the firm, and management may be concerned about COVID-19, their capital structure, and bad debts

Specifically, management may have concerns about the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, stagnant consumer activity, and public policy focused on capacity cushions. In addition, they may be exaggerating their ability to streamline customer billings without impacting profitability, optimize their capital structure, and flexibly manage expenses through the pandemic. Furthermore, they may lack confidence in their ability to collect bad debts, continue to be opportunistic with their fiber build, and restructure their debt maturities
Underlying
AT&T Inc.

AT&T is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a provider of telecommunications, media and technology services. The company's Communications segment provides wireless and wireline telecom, video and broadband services. The company's WarnerMedia segment includes media and entertainment businesses that principally develop, produce and distribute feature films, television content, and other content globally; and operate digital media properties. The company's Latin America segment provides entertainment services in Latin America and wireless services in Mexico. The company's XANDR segment relies on using data from its customer relationships, to develop digital and video advertising that is relevant to consumers.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

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Valens Research

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