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Valens Research

CF - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 09 23

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF:USA) currently trades near recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 32.3x Uniform P/E, implying bullish expectations for the firm. However, management appears concerned about generating free cash flows, sourcing acquisitions, and pricing headwinds.

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to generate free cash flow above their competitors, and they may be concerned about pricing headwinds over the next four years. Furthermore, they may be concerned about their ability to source accretive M&A opportunities, and they may be concerned about lower than expected corn acres in the U.S. in 2019.
Underlying
CF Industries Holdings Inc.

CF Industries Holdings is a global fertilizer and chemical company. The company's principal nitrogen fertilizer products are anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution and ammonium nitrate. The company's other nitrogen products include diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid and aqua ammonia, which are sold primarily to its industrial customers, and compound fertilizer products, which are solid granular fertilizer products for which the nutrient content is a combination of nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. The company serves its customers in North America through its production, storage, transportation and distribution network.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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