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Valens Research

CPNG - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2022 03 22

Coupang (CPNG) currently trades at a substantial premium to Uniform assets, with a 12.0x Uniform P/B (V/A').

At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to inflect positively to 39%, accompanied by 12% Uniform asset growth.

However, analysts expect Uniform ROA to maintain negative levels through 2023, accompanied by 27% Uniform asset growth.

If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a significant equity downside for the firm. That said, as an early-stage growth name, it is not uncommon to see expectations for a material positive inflection in profitability.

Moreover, the firm's most recent earnings call suggests management may have concerns about capacity, margins, and demand.
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Valens Research
Valens Research

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