Report
Valens Research

SPGI - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 09 28

S&P Global Inc. (SPGI:USA) currently trades at a historical high relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 32.4x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may be concerned about ESG evaluation, RiskGauge, and Ratings margins

Specifically, they may lack confidence in their ability to improve their asset account, strengthen ESG evaluation, and accomplish more green evaluations. Moreover, they may be concerned about the surge of liquidity-driven issuances, their business position in the Chinese market, and the number of oil companies filing for bankruptcy. Furthermore, management may be exaggerating the potential of their new RiskGauge product, and they may have concerns about sustaining margins in the Ratings segment. Finally, management may lack confidence in their ability to maintain high ETF assets under management and sustain revenue growth for the Data Management Solutions segment
Underlying
S&P Global Inc.

S&P Global is a provider of transparent and independent ratings, benchmarks, analytics and data to the capital and commodity markets worldwide. The company's segments include: S&P Global Ratings, which provides credit ratings, research and analytics; S&P Global Market Intelligence, which provides multi-asset-class data, research and analytical capabilities that integrate cross-asset analytics and desktop services; S&P Global Platts, which provides information and benchmark prices for the commodity and energy markets; and S&P Dow Jones Indices, which provides a variety of valuation and index benchmarks for investment advisors, wealth managers and institutional investors.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
  • Stock analyst recommendations are not grounded in disciplined financial analysis
  • Credit agencies have been set up to grossly fail in their responsibilities to investors and the public markets
  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

  • Corporate credit ratings remain years behind the fundamental underpinnings of company performance
  • Stock analysts continue to make recommendations with deeply inherent biases
  • Research firms have failed to break down the walls between credit, equity, and macroeconomic research
  • The governing accounting bodies have created more leeway for mis-estimates and mis-classifications as financials have become unwieldy and overwhelming

The integrity of Valens Research is founded in our disciplined processes and analytics. No “star” analysts. No corporate advisory relationships. No-nonsense opinions and recommendations.

Analysts
Valens Research

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Valens Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch