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772 reports
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Add To Value, Cyclicals The weight of the evidence remains positive and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. Value and cyclical Sectors remain our favorite areas to be invested, and recent bullish price and RS inflections within Energy and Financials suggest they are likely resuming their leadership status -- add exposure. S&P 500. The S&P 500 remains bullish as it hovers near potential resistance at the megaphone pattern. Short-term support levels to watch include 4175 and 4118, however we are constructive as long as the S&P 500 is above major 4000-4030 support. Sector Rel...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Sell In May And Go Away? The weight of the evidence remains positive and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. We are entering a seasonally weaker period for the S&P 500 ("sell in May and go away") which could lead to some softness, however that alone is no reason to be bearish and we continue to see pullbacks as buying opportunities. S&P 500. The S&P 500 remains bullish and is in an uptrend, though continues to be extended in the short-term as it hovers near potential resistance at the megaphone pattern. This leaves markets vulnerable heading into the seasonally weaker mont...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Buy Energy & Financials; EM Improving We are beginning to see rotations back into risk-on areas of the market, a bullish sign for global equities. This only adds to our constructive outlook; we are bullish and we expect higher prices in the weeks and months ahead. Bullish Developments. Our weight-of-the-evidence approach has led us to a constructive outlook for quite some time, supported by an absence of breakdowns on major global indexes, a weakening US dollar, bullish commodity prices, narrowing high yield spreads, and cyclicals outperforming relative to defensives -- to name a few suppor...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Booster Shots: Attractive bottom-fishing stocks

For investors looking for bottom-fishing candidates; stocks that are breaking downtrends, exhibiting ascending reaction lows, and showing stabilizing relative strength.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Risk-On Rotations vs. Weaker Seasonality We are beginning to see early signs of rotations back into more risk-on areas of the equity market -- a bullish sign for the broad market. Short-term outperformance and constructive consolidation/bottoming patterns are evident within biotech (IBB, XBI), small- and micro-caps (IWM, IWC), and emerging markets (EEM). This only adds to our positive outlook for the weeks and months ahead; continue to buy pullbacks. S&P 500. The S&P 500 remains bullish and is in an uptrend, though continues to be extended in the short-term as it hovers near potential resist...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Weekly summary of Vermilion's global technical equity strategy calls, including sector weightings, from both a top down and bottoms up perspective.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Commodities Improving As US Dollar Simmers Despite a more mixed and highly rotational market across Sectors, market-caps, and growth/value, not one Sector or widely followed index is breaking down; to the contrary, more are beginning to break out to new all-time highs. Overall, the weight of the evidence remains positive, and our outlook remains constructive for the weeks and months ahead; buy pullbacks. S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow, Mid-Caps, Russell 2000. Large-cap (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow) and mid-cap indexes (S&P 600) remain bullish, closing out the past week at new all-time highs. Smal...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Weight Of The Evidence Remains Positive Despite a more mixed and highly rotational market, the weight of the evidence remains positive, and our outlook remains constructive for the weeks and months ahead. S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Dow, Mid-Caps, Russell 2000. Large-cap (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow) and mid-cap indexes (S&P 600) remain bullish, closing out the past week at new all-time highs. Small-caps are more mixed, as the Russell 2000 (IWM) continues a healthy consolidation of the substantial gains that it logged over the past 12-13 months. $219 is short-term support on the IWM followed by th...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Commodities Bullishly Inflecting; Buy Energy, Materials A weight-of-the-evidence approach continues to support our constructive intermediate-term outlook. Below we highlight recent positive developments and areas of the market that are actionable at current levels. · Recent Positive Developments. Recent positive developments include the MSCI ACWI and EAFE (ACWI-US, EFA-US) breaking to new highs while the MSCI ACWI ex-US and EM (ACWX-US, EEM-US) indexes are holding above important support. Additionally, the global cyclicals vs. staples ratio (RXI-US / KXI-US) displays a bullish short-...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Insights: Bullish Stocks

Cell Tower Stocks Turning The Corner -- Buy AMT, SBAC, and CCI Amid the prolonged 5G rollout, various industry groups have had their time to shine. Today we explain why we believe the cell towers are next to benefit, and we recommend adding exposure at current levels. · The Vermilion Communications Group CO-19 Cellular Towers displays bullish short-term (6-12 month) reversals at long-term price and relative strength (RS) uptrend support... see chart below. The three stocks within this Group -- AMT, SBAC, and CCI -- exhibit bullish price and RS reversals at the same time, which gives ...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Breakaway Gaps In Place Last week we noted some deterioration in market dynamics, all while reiterating our overall constructive outlook looking weeks and months ahead. The fact is, “perfectly bullish” conditions rarely exist, and a weight of the evidence approach is necessary. To that end, the positives continue to outweigh the negatives and our outlook remains constructive. · S&P 500 Breakaway Gap. The S&P 500 broke out to all-time highs this past Thursday, and yesterday displayed some upside follow through, starting the week off with a bullish breakaway gap. Short-term gap support...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Upgrading Staples To Market Weight Market dynamics have deteriorated and are now much more mixed overall. Deteriorating signals include RS improvement for defensive Sectors, RS deterioration for small-caps, and the US dollar breaking above 92. Despite this mild deterioration in market dynamics, there are plenty of indicators that remain positive. This tells us any weakness should be treated as a buying opportunity and our outlook remains constructive for the months ahead. · Sector Relative Strength Rankings & Weighting Recommendations. We are upgrading Consumer Staples to market weig...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Defensive Sectors Improving; Small-Caps Weakening We are beginning to get some signals which suggest the market is entering a more mixed environment. These signals include RS improvement for defensive Sectors, RS deterioration for small-caps, and the US dollar breaking above 92. Despite this mild deterioration in market dynamics, the weight of the evidence remains positive and our outlook remains constructive for the weeks and months ahead. · S&P 500, Russell 2000. The S&P 500 remains constructive as it holds above support at the prior downtrend which is currently in the 3840-3853 ra...

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