Evaluating the consequences of tariffs is challenging. We chose to help layout a simple and strong analytical baseline to understand the first-order impact of tariffs on our coverage. In a few slides we have summarised the groundwork and look forward to continuing the work and help our readers make sense of implications in weeks to come.
Yesterday President Trump announced a baseline 10% tariff on all countries exporting to the U.S., with additional reciprocal tariffs calculated as a function of the U.S. trade deficit of each country. Follow the link below for our immediate thoughts and implications on our supply chain. We will circle back with more quantified analyses in the next couple of days.
In this report we evaluate spreads in the TMT hybrids space. As the credit space still looks relatively well bid, TMT hybrid yields offer an attractive opportunity with yields above 3.5%. Higher quality TMT hybrids or lower duration TMT hybrids look most attractive from a relative value standpoint, such as the Telia, Orange and KPN hybrids. The risk/return perspective of the Infineon hybrid note looks unattractive.
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