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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DNP PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; BOCHGR GA; TLV RO

HEADLINES: • Dino Polska: 4Q24 results spot on prelims NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (7-13 April) • Bank of Cyprus: to acquire Ethniki Insurance Cyprus POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: to acquire Microinvest in Moldova NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: WPL PW; OMV AV; BDX PW; BDX PW; CPS PW; ENA PW; 11B PW

HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: shifting up a gear for e-commerce growth (stays BUY) • OMV: making chemical bonds (stays BUY) • Budimex: final 4Q24 results confirm prelims fully NEUTRAL • Budimex: recommends PLN 25.43 DPS from the 2024 earnings, 4.5% dividend yield NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Enea: key takeaways from the 4Q24 conference NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: release date of The Alters set as 13 June NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ENA PW; CPS PW; KRU PW; AEGN GA; THYAO TI; APR PW; MIL PW;...

HEADLINES: • Enea: full 4Q24 results in line with preliminaries; PLN 7.9bn capex planned in 2025E NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 4Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 15% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Kruk: issues 1Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Aegean Airlines: 1Q25 traffic – a strong start to the year POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 1Q25 traffic – 4% ASK growth yoy NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: March sales growth recovers to 13% yoy, but still well below our FY expectations NEUTRAL • Bank M...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OTP HB; BFT PW; PEO PW; CAR PW; HUG PW

HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: agrees to limit retail fees NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: EGM approves capital increase, via issuance of up to 280k new shares NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: may face change of strategic investor NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: March sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 1Q25 bookings at USD 62m, almost flat qoq NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team
CEZ CEZ AS
OMV OMV AG ... (+8)

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – US Tariffs; VGO PW; BFT PW; BFT PW; O...

HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: tariff impact – a preliminary assessment • VIGO Photonics: signs framework agreement with PCO on infrared arrays; minimum 2026-31 contract value of PLN 191.9m POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: confirms 4Q24 preliminary EBITDA of PLN 261m NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: Medicover gets conditional approval to acquire CityFit gyms NEUTRAL • OMV: 1Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 1Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • CEZ: ANO wants to nationalise CEZ • Richter: proposes D...

Koray Pamir
  • Koray Pamir

View on Regulated Tariff Changes

Regulated electricity tariffs have been revised effective April 5, 2025: Residential tariffs have increased by 25.0% m/m, while industrial tariffs rose by 10.0% m/m. Tariffs for agricultural use have been adjusted upward by 12.4% m/m, as per tariffs prepared by the Energy Market Regulatory Authority (EMRA) and published in the Official Gazette. These tariff revisions are likely to remain in effect for a standard three-month period. Key details and implications are as follows: • Additionally, the...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Photon Energy sichert sich zusätzliche Kapazitätsmarktverträ...

Emittent / Herausgeber: Photon Energy NV / Schlagwort(e): Vertrag Photon Energy sichert sich zusätzliche Kapazitätsmarktverträge über 139 MW in Polen und erwartet damit einen Umsatz von 12,5 Millionen Euro für 2026 04.04.2025 / 12:43 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. Photon Energy sichert sich zusätzliche Kapazitätsmarktverträge über 139 MW in Polen und erwartet damit einen Umsatz von 12,5 Millionen Euro für 2026   Photon Energy bleibt der drittgrößte Aggregator für nachfrageseitige Flexibilität auf dem polnischen Kapaz...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Photon Energy Secures Additional Capacity Market Contracts f...

Issuer: Photon Energy NV / Key word(s): Contract Photon Energy Secures Additional Capacity Market Contracts for 139 MW in Poland, Locking in Revenues of EUR 12.5 Million for 2026 04.04.2025 / 12:43 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Photon Energy Secures Additional Capacity Market Contracts for 139 MW in Poland, Locking in Revenues of EUR 12.5 Million for 2026   Photon Energy remains the third-largest demand-side-flexibility aggregator in the Polish capacity market, reinforcing its leadership position The Company secured a t...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MAVI TI; TL Banks; GPW PW; BFT PW; MOL HB; EU Macro; DNP P...

HEADLINES: • Mavi: a mispriced story with solid fundamentals (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • Turkish banks: weather vs. climate (reinitiating on Akbank, Garanti, Isbank and Yapi Kredi with HOLDs) • Warsaw Stock Exchange: just move on up (stays BUY) • Benefit Systems: March sports cards addition surprises positively, mostly in Poland POSITIVE • MOL: announces dividend proposal of HUF 275/share NEUTRAL • EU macro: cohesion funds can be deployed for defence, housing and energy investments • Dino...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Türkiye in the red, again

EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.

BRE MBANK SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
7203 SHOPER SA
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Banks; ACP PW; INPST NA; KTY PW; HSBK LI; TITC GA; GPP ...

HEADLINES: • Polish banks: pricing and believing (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • Asseco Poland: 4Q24 review – net profit up 9% yoy, 9% above the consensus POSITIVE • InPost: 4Q24 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA growth guidance in the mid-20%s, but a slow start to the year POSITIVE • Kety: solid full 4Q24 results, with EBITDA 12% above preliminaries POSITIVE • Halyk Bank: 4Q24 review and 2025E guidance highlights • Titan Cem...

Koray Pamir
  • Koray Pamir

Tupras

Shares' 20% decline in USD offers a better value proposition despite headwinds: Tupras remains our preferred relative pick within the Turkish commodity-based companies under our coverage, while with a Hold rating on a 12M horizon due to high return threshold set by risk free investment vehicles. Over the past 3M and 12M, Tupras shares have declined by 9% and 19% in USD, respectively. This has been driven by heightened domestic investor aversion to FX-earning companies amid the strength of the Tu...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPL PW; IGN1L LH; PZU PW; GPP PW; CZG CP; PPC GA; LAMDA GA...

HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: strategy focused on growth (stays BUY) • Ignitis Group: making headway (BUY - transfer of coverage) • PZU: 4Q24 well ahead of expectations, holding structure to be created within PZU group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q24 results – EBITDA up 9% yoy, 9% above our forecast and 1% above the consensus POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group SE: FY24 results review NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: 4Q24 earnings, and preview of a potential mega data centre NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 4Q2...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (26 March 2025)

HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong delivery in 4Q24, due mainly to the lower costs booked POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q24 EBIT 7% above our forecast; The Witcher 4 to be released after 2026E NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: 4Q24 results – below expectations NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: earnings call takeaways – focus on flagship games’ monetisation improvement in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Eurowag: takeaways from the 2H24 earnings call NEUTRAL...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BFT PW; JMT PL; OPAP GA; TPE PW; TL Macro; ALE PW; INPST N...

HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: pumping iron (stays BUY) • Jeronimo Martins: small beat in 4Q24, Biedronka margin erosion slows down; tough market environment continues in 2025 POSITIVE • OPAP: the beat goes on, in 4Q24 POSITIVE • Tauron: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA 45% above our estimate, on strong Generation and Distribution, and lower loss in Supply POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: assessment of recent political events • Allegro vs. InPost: our take on the companies' two calls • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key ...

Lukasz Wachelko ... (+3)
  • Lukasz Wachelko
  • CFA
  • Maria Mickiewicz

Benefit Systems: pumping iron (stays BUY)

We reiterate our BUY on Benefit Systems (BFT). Our new 12-month price target (PT) of PLN 4,300 (from PLN 3,400) offers a strong 47% potential upside. We maintain our view of sound growth prospects for Poland, with a 3Y adjusted EBIT CAGR of 11%. The four established foreign markets could add c.100k cards annually in the coming three years, on our estimates, vs. 110-130k for Poland. We forecast a 3Y adjusted EBIT CAGR of 29% for the four markets, although 2025E may remain under pressure from the ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; BIMAS TI; OPAP GA

HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (10-16 March) • BIM: CMB approves share cancellation NEUTRAL • OPAP: 4Q/FY24E preview (due on 19 March)

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Photon Energy Commissions Three Solar PV Power Plants in Hun...

Issuer: Photon Energy NV / Key word(s): Expansion Photon Energy Commissions Three Solar PV Power Plants in Hungary 17.03.2025 / 07:08 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Photon Energy Commissions Three Solar PV Power Plants in Hungary   The new solar PV power plants, with a total capacity of 5.1 MWp, have commenced operations in Tolna, Hungary, set to operate under a merchant model Photon Energy’s proprietary portfolio of PV power plants in Hungary has now reached a total capacity of 57.5 MWp, increasing the Company’s global I...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Photon Energy nimmt drei Solar-PV-Kraftwerke in Ungarn in Be...

Emittent / Herausgeber: Photon Energy NV / Schlagwort(e): Expansion Photon Energy nimmt drei Solar-PV-Kraftwerke in Ungarn in Betrieb 17.03.2025 / 07:08 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. Photon Energy nimmt drei Solar-PV-Kraftwerke in Ungarn in Betrieb   Die neuen Großkraftwerke mit einer Gesamtleistung von 5,1 MWp haben im ungarischen Tolna den Betrieb aufgenommen und sollen auf kommerzieller Basis betrieben werden. Das eigene Portfolio an Kraftwerken von Photon Energy in Ungarn hat nun eine Gesamtkapazität von 57,5 M...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PCO PW; AIRA LI; CEZ CP; ALE PW; SHO PW; PL Banks; MBR PW;...

HEADLINES: • Pepco Group: structurally challenged (downgraded to HOLD) • Air Astana Group: 4Q24 – good, at first glance; dividend surprises positively • CEZ: takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEGATIVE • Allegro: key takeaways from the 4Q24 call POSITIVE • Shoper: takeaways from the post-4Q24 prelims management call NEUTRAL • Polish banks: receive maximum dividend payout ratio letters from the PFSA – no surprises NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: unfavourable ruling results in closure of Wałbrzych branch (2...

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