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Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Media & Entertainment: Video Game Round-Up

This report by global gaming analyst Pelham Smithers recaps (1) the recent video game data,(2) which was the best game of 2025 and (3) what is happening to online discounts for Switch 2.

Moody's Ratings affirms Netflix's A3 rating, changes outlook to stable...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) affirmed Netflix, Inc.'s (Netflix) A3 senior unsecured notes ratings and Prime-2 short-term commercial paper program rating. The outlook was changed to stable from positive.   On December 5, 2025, Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD, Ba1 RUR DNG) announced that ...

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

The Ellison Antitrust Paradox: They Need Trump but Trump Card Could Ba...

PSKY has challenged the WBD board decision to accept the NFLX bid to buy WBD, arguing that WBD is “pursuing an inferior proposal” that would lead to “a challenging regulatory approval process.” In this note we quickly identify several problems with the Ellison approach that we have not seen reflected in the coverage this morning.

Alicia Reese ... (+4)
  • Alicia Reese
  • Kade Barr
  • Matthew McCartney
  • Scott Devitt
Alicia Reese ... (+4)
  • Alicia Reese
  • Kade Barr
  • Matthew McCartney
  • Seth Basham
Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Netflix (NFLX, Neutral, target lowered to $100) NFLX + WB First Take:...

This morning NFLX announced a definitive agreement to acquire Warner Brothers for $82.7 billion in cash and stock, with $50B of new debt financing supporting the cash portion of the bid. This implies 25x pre-synergy EV/EBITDA, or 14x after ~$2.5B in cost savings.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

Update on WBD: What Trump Transaction Tax Could NFLX Pay?

Yesterday, multiple stories appeared on how the bidding for WBD by PSKY, NFLX and CMSCA is playing out, the biggest one—that WBD is now exclusively negotiating with NFLX—coming out late last night. In this note we update our thinking on the implications of the news and our sense where the game is headed.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Netflix, Inc. - September 2025 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Netflix (NFLX, Neutral, $121 target) WBD bid anxiety building + updat...

We adjust our target to $121 (vs $1,210 prior) owing to the 10:1 stock split. There are no changes to fundamental estimates for members, revenue, margins, or investments. There are immaterial changes to net interest expense, net income, EPS and FCF owing to minor below-the-line changes

Kakao Corp: 1 director

A director at Kakao Corp bought 850 shares at 60,061.177KRW and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: CMD targets at higher end, bold FTE cut to clinch 55% C/I ratio, lower CoRisk. D'Ieteren: Key Belron US glass supplier Fuyao connected to US labour allegations. Elia: Preview 3Q25 update; fine-tuning guidance to upper end of range?. NSI: KPN to leave Glass House, c.7.5% additional vacancy. SBM Offshore: Another step towards SEAP 1+2 FPSO awards. Universal Music Group: Spotify to increase its US subscription prices in 1Q26

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: 3Q TU mostly in line, better inflows, markets support AuMs. Ahold Delhaize: Peer Walmart 3Q25/26 results. Bekaert: Soft 3Q25 update, FY guidance further toned down. Corbion: Evolution, not revolution. Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music 11% revenue and 8% OIBDA beat

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Semiconductors: Readthrough from Nvidia’s Q3 Results

While the FY25 Q3 results constituted a beat, they came in quite close to what the share price implied. However, the guidance for Q4 surprised on the upside. Pelham Smithers reviews the performance and outlook, with a readacross to beneficiaries in Japan and the numbers from China.

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