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Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €16.4, +21%) Bouygues (Buy, TP: €54, +39%) Altice Fra...

After months of speculation, there is finally an offer for SFR in France. The deal structure is a lot more complicated than we thought it would be, but we think the offer is a fair one. We think the offer implies a synergy payment of €4.2bn, and values the SFR equity at €15/share, if XpFibre, UltraEdge, ATS, Intelcia, and FOT are indeed worth €4bn, as the release suggests.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €16.4, +21%) Bouygues (Buy, TP: €54, +39%) Altice Fra...

After months of speculation, there is finally an offer for SFR in France. The deal structure is a lot more complicated than we thought it would be, but we think the offer is a fair one.

Deutsche Telekom AG: 1 director

A director at Deutsche Telekom AG sold 1,796 shares at 29.310EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...

Ben Rickett ... (+2)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer

1&1 (Neutral, €22, +10%) United Internet (Neutral, €31, +13%) Telefoni...

With the Telefonica CMD around the corner (4 November), we revisit our 1&1 valuation and reassess potential synergies from German mobile consolidation. We estimate a transaction could value 1&1 equity at €6.7bn (€38/ share, +90% upside) assuming synergies are split equally, or potentially higher if Vodafone were also to bid.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France equity (Neutral, TP: €10.3, -14%) Altice France bonds (E...

The price war at the low end of the French mobile market, which began at the beginning of summer 2024, and which we have written about extensively (HERE, HERE, HERE and HERE), appears to be coming to an end, thanks to some tariff changes that should lead to higher APRUs. We show some new work on tariffs in France in this short report, that should be good for all the MNOs.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 10/08/2025

SoftBank Group signs an agreement to buy ABB Robotics for $ 5.4bn|AXA announces repayment of the Legacy Perp TEC|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 08/10/2025

SoftBank Group signe un accord pour l’acquisition d’ABB Robotics pour 5,4 mds USD|AXA annonce le remboursement du Perp legacy TEC|

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

UK consolidation Should VMO2 consider shutting down its HFC network?

Two of the most common questions we get asked at the moment are: 1) How will the UK broadband market consolidate?, and 2) What can VMO2 do to turn around their performance? We believe an interesting answer to both of these questions could be for VMO2 to consider shutting down their HFC network and moving to wholebuy Openreach’s FTTH network. This could be both value accretive for VMO2 and BT – and allow for a more rational UK market structure. In this thought-piece, we explore further how this...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France equity (Neutral, TP: €10.3, -14%) Altice France bonds (E...

New Altice France debt and equity is now trading. Given the material change in bond terms, and the creation of a new separately traded equity piece, we reassess our rating, and think that at these levels the bonds look pretty fairly valued, and so take the bond rating to Equal weight from Overweight (the old bonds ended up +20% from the lows), and initiate on the equity with a Neutral, as we think that the equity is already implying a high probability of a deal happening, and see minimal underli...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 10/06/2025

Seb issues a second major profit warning for this year|Isabel Marant steps back from designing collections|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 06/10/2025

Seb fait un 2e gros profit warning pour cette année|Isabel Marant se met en retrait de la conception des collections|

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 06 OCTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SANTANDER, SECTOR BANCARIO, TELEFONICA. EUROPA: SECTOR BANCARIO El Euro STOXX 50 rompe al alza sus máximos históricos del año 2000 Las bolsas europeas han continuado con las subidas y el Euro Stoxx 50 consigue marcar máximos desde el año 2000, pasando por alto el shutdown en EE.UU. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron Farmacia, Tecnología y B. Consumo mientras que Energía (tras los recortes del crudo), Seguros y Viajes y Ocio terminaron c...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

AMX and Entel working on a joint bid for Telefonica Chile

According to a Bloomberg article, AMX and Entel are working on a joint bid for Telefonica’s Chile unit. AMX would be interested in the mobile assets of Telefonica Chile while Entel would buy the fixed business.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

CityFibre Q3: Significant customer acceleration with Sky launch & BT ...

CityFibre has just released a Q3 trading update which highlights the acceleration in customer volumes that they are seeing with Sky – and this is likely to put incremental pressure on BT, especially if momentum accelerates further in Q4 which we think could be likely.

 PRESS RELEASE

Telenor og Vodafone inngår strategisk innkjøpspartnerskap

Telenor og Vodafone inngår strategisk innkjøpspartnerskap (London/Oslo, 1. oktober 2025) Telenor Group og Vodafone Group kunngjør i dag et nytt strategisk partnerskap mellom sine globale innkjøpsorganisasjoner, Telenor Procurement Company og Vodafone Procurement Company. Målet med partnerskapet er å utnytte volumet og de globale kapabilitetene til begge konsernene på sentrale innkjøpsområder. Telenor og Vodafone betjener over 550 millioner kunder i 23 land. Sammen håndterer Telenor Procurement Company og Vodafone Procurement Company et samlet årlig innkjøpsvolum på over 26 milliarder euro ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Telenor and Vodafone Agree Strategic Procurement Partnership

Telenor and Vodafone Agree Strategic Procurement Partnership Oslo/London – 1. October 2025 – Telenor Group and Vodafone Group today announce a new strategic partnership between their respective global procurement organisations, Telenor Procurement Company and Vodafone Procurement Company. The strategic partnership aims to leverage the scale and global capabilities of both groups across major areas of procurement.   Telenor and Vodafone serve over 550 million customers across 23 countries. Together, Telenor Procurement Company and Vodafone Procurement Company leverage a combined annual spen...

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